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Showing content with the highest reputation on 24/12/11 in all areas

  1. I think it's a shame that so many equate interesting weather only with snow and cold. Personally, after over 4 decades of being interested in weather, I can find interest in many different weather types. For example, today we had a very vigorous cold front, with heavy rain and squalls (wouldn't be surprised if someone somewhere had a tornado, or at least a funnel cloud), a temperature drop of 4C in around an hour, and the Atlantic is continuing to feed in further active LP. What I can't stand is the grey, murky, slack anticyclonic muck we can get in winter, cold, miserable and sunless. Such conditions can go on for days - at least it's not like that. Having said all that, in my younger days I eagerly awaited snow and can remember the amazing 1962/63 winter where, even on the Isle of Wight where I lived at the time, we had snow drifts on our lawn from December to March! It hardly needs saying ,but it is wise not to set too much store by anything the models say beyond 5 days so it's not necessary to become despondant if they keep repeating the same pattern in the extended time frame. Looking at the latest model output, there is a consensus on the development of a vigorous LP around 28th, but I don't think they handle what happens very well thereafter. Yes, we still have a pretty intense jet out of the US but it looks more likely to me that a more meridional wave pattern will develop as the upper trough in mid-Atlantic amplifies. I think we still need to watch for a pressure build over E Europe in the coming days - it's the absence of any blocking there that I think is keeping the model output mobile.
    2 points
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