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Absolute shocker of a day here. It’s hardly stopped raining since the start of the day. 2 batches of thundery activity in the past 24 hours. I do wonder with the amount of rain that’s fallen if a yellow warning could have been issued. Causing issues on the railways and doubtless on the roads too. Disruption on GWR trains in the west due to flooding https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-bristol-68682702
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Model Output Discussion - 22nd Jan 2024 onwards
Jason M replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Cheshire Freeze Plant growth and evaporation rates are increasing sharply now. That won't completely mitigate but it will certainly help. -
Model Output Discussion - 22nd Jan 2024 onwards
Cloud 10 replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
GFS 12z with an interesting set-up for Northern areas middle of next week as a sharp frontal boundary delivers heavy snowfall, Ensemble mean has the boundary very similar to the op. run. -
April 2024 C.E.T. and EWP contests
NeilN replied to Roger J Smith's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
7.8c and 77mm - the wetness carries on and on.... -
Storms and Convective discussion - November 2023 onwards
Metwatch replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Looking east to that storm / possible supercell near Northampton about half an hour ago: Another shower passing here at the moment which looked very dark ahead of it. Jack got the best capture of the lightning and thunderclap which went through Coventry then Nuneaton: -
Storms and Convective discussion - November 2023 onwards
Zak M replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
matty40s Holy s#@t. -
Ireland Regional Weather Discussion
na52 replied to snowydogh's topic in Ireland Community Group's Ireland Weather Discussion
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Storms and Convective discussion - November 2023 onwards
WeatherArc replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
This thing has tracked for at least 120 miles now 12z GFS proximity soundings from 15z and 18z. Decent cape values, helping to maintain the cell although could well be starting to run out of instability as it tracks further north east. Im not surprised with the amount of lightning this things been producing, likely due to the steep lapse rates throughout the atmosphere. Interesting to note the bulk shear values, anything 30+ knots is good for supercells, not sure if this is a true supercell (unless anyone on here can confirm) but that level of bulk shear is certainly enough for updraft-downdraft separation though, could well be the reason this thing has been so long lived. Am surprised with the amount of hail this thing has been chucking out though. Really happy with today, not expecting anything here in Birmingham but still just nice to see proper convective weather return. -
Storms and Convective discussion - November 2023 onwards
matty40s replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
No chance to see structure, it was torrential before and then just changed to small hail, medium hail and then... 20240328_165520.mp4 20240328_165409.mp4 -
Moans, ramps and banter
*Stormforce~beka* replied to Community Team's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Methuselah I keep telling you ... I'm not watching ... I gave up a long time ago! . -
March is commonly described as " In like a lion and out like a lamb". But this year it has been the other way round.