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April 2024 C.E.T. and EWP contests
damianslaw replied to Roger J Smith's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Summer Sun Nearly a 1 degree drop in 5 days. A finish in the 9s increasingly likely based on current output, a late sudden heat spike could pop up, but the theme is for a sustained cool northerly sourced airflow, possibly becoming cut off in the latter stages of the month to a more cyclonic near average flow. We shall see. We are seeing some notably chilly minima in sheltered spots presently colder than at first anticipated. -
May 2024 C.E.T. and EWP forecast contests
Catbrainz replied to Roger J Smith's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
11.8 and 70mm -
Overcast and drizzly morning but started brightening up about an hour ago. April so far I would give a 3.5/10 a pretty meh month with no real heat,sustained sunshine or exciting weather and the first week was very poor but also many usable days. Not a month cursed to bogey man status but not a month that will be remembered fondly ether.
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Lots of sunny spells now, after a brief sharp shower.
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Wimbledon88 No doubt they will still claim that April 2024 was the "hottest April ever!" like they do every month though lol
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At last, a shower. Kinda puts me out of misery, just sat around. Damned forecast though - i could've done the job this morn at 9.30 and by now the seal would've been fine.
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Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
Rain All Night replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
0z deterministic runs, out to Fri 26 Apr (day 7) ...oh, balls. How very disappointing... 0z ensemble means, out to Sat 4 May (day 15) That miserable trough from the east looks like it's going to move west and attack us head-on in the latter part of next week. It's not then clear whether the Azores high will be in a position to spare us from the trough subsequently establishing itself on the Atlantic side. That's how I'm seeing it, anyway. -
Moans, ramps and banter
*Stormforce~beka* replied to Community Team's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
midlandsun Amen. I don't trust the weather to ever change any more. We're doomed! -
Ben Sainsbury I do think we are starting to enter a much more active period for severe weather, late April May and even June should be this years main show. GFS/GEFS looking fairly active as we go into late april/early may
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Moans, ramps and banter
*Stormforce~beka* replied to Community Team's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
In Absence of True Seasons 13 months ... Don't under do our suffering ... -
Moans, ramps and banter
*Stormforce~beka* replied to Community Team's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
BBC Weather lied on TV! They told me the sun would break through the cloud. I did however laugh and go yea right ... In Absence of True Seasons High pressure means nothign any more -
Worryingly Wet & Worryingly Sunless
richie3846 replied to SunSean's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Metwatch under the surface, roots are sucking the water out much faster than we often appreciate on the surface. This gives surface water a larger space to travel into. Grass can suck down to about a metre and trees around 3 metres or so. -
April 2024 C.E.T. and EWP contests
Summer Sun replied to Roger J Smith's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
10.6c to the 18th 2.7c above the 61 to 90 average 2.8c above the 81 to 10 average -
Storms and Convective discussion - April 2024
Atmogenic replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
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If this is what 'high pressure' looks like nowadays then I really give up
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Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
Sherry replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Gfs ensembles do show more average temps maybe a bit above and tbh heading into may thats not a bad temp to be at looking at 16/17 in the south! Any sunshine should feel nice! But does also show unsettled with rain spikes -
Just had some of the heaviest rain I've seen in ages in South London. Glad I read the met's forecast for 'scattered light showers' before heading out with a now very wet dog!
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Worryingly Wet & Worryingly Sunless
Metwatch replied to SunSean's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Last April into May was similar too before it turned drier through mid May. It does appear the short lived trend of drier Aprils this century is coming to an end with the second April in a row with rainfall near average / wetter than average now. If April 2025 isn't dry then that's an era of recent drier Aprils over and done with completely!