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  2. It wasn't easy, in fact it was very difficult but I managed to find a good one from the GEFS 6z
  3. Friday 26 Apr - Sunday 5 May A band of showery rain is likely to reach the southwest on Friday, pushing eastwards with strong winds though the day. The weekend could be very unsettled, with often heavy rain and the risk of gales, especially in the west and southwest. Thunder and hail are also likely at times. Thereafter, for the remainder of April and early May, unsettled conditions are likely to dominate, with a chance of showers or longer spells of rain and some periods of stronger winds, especially in the west and southwest. Whilst some rain is expected at times, there could be a shift towards more settled conditions later. Temperatures will most likely be near normal in the west, and warmer than average in the south and southeast. Monday 6 May - Monday 20 May For the start of May, some rain and unsettled conditions are likely, but a shift towards more settled conditions is probable. Whilst some rain is possible at times, a good deal of fine and dry weather is most likely, with temperatures above the seasonal average. Any warmer conditions are most likely in the south and southeast. https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast
  4. Got up to 25C here in Torquay yesterday under full blue skies all day, it was as busy as it is in the summer which really surprised me. Currently 21C and sunny. Some pictures from yesterday:
  5. Absolutely glorious out again with open clear blue skys and temp already 19.5c here.
  6. Yes @ciel and @Hairy Celt orange tips abound! Today appears to be all about little black poo flies... Had a drunken evening in Peebles yesterday and in the 1am taxi home there was a stunning double moondog https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moon_dog Have seen many sundogs over the years but this was a first for me.
  7. Warm summery weather continues with unbroken sunshine Max temp so far 20.2C, Barometer 1019mb falling, Wind F2 SSW, Rainfall Nil
  8. I knew that, if we waited long enough, a Gricelandavian HP would eventually rear its ugly head!
  9. Today
  10. Another glorious sunny day here. High yesterday was 25.9c at [email protected] It was still 17c at midnight, then dropped to a low of 9.6c at 6am. Now 22.3c
  11. Another lovely warm sunny day 21.7°C, 38% RH, shame its all coming to a end next week but with a risk of thunder so its not all bad!
  12. And, by next weekend, temps are also rather depressed: But is there a hint of warmer conditions moving northwards?
  13. Unbelievable amount of Tadpoles in the pond this spring, you may need to zoom in on the photo to appreciate the number. Almost certainly a bumper breeding season due to an exceptionally mild winter.
  14. Huge fire ravages West Yorkshire moorland https://news.sky.com/video/huge-fire-ravages-west-yorkshire-moorland-11699551
  15. We have been really dry since last winter. Now we are at the point of cracked earth and yellowed grasses where first silage has been taken. Thing is I do not see it letting up any time soon. In the same time the washout summer highlighted we can now find ourselves forced into patterns very different to those of the last century ( even though it is just 'weathers' we did see in the last century) I do not think we can remove the measured changes we see across our world ( be it the background global temp rise and the associated water vapour increases in what the air now holds or the odd circulation behaviours we see as the planet struggles to balance its 'new' extremes) from what we see happening in our weather day to day? Is our current H.P. dominance ( everything resets to H.P. over UK be it azores extension or Scandiwegian extension?) which itself is driven by a very different polar jet positioning than that which gave us our run of 'washout summers'? You find your own reason for these different patterns but don't ignore the existence of them! For my part I was leaning toward a low ice forcing for both washout summers and now or entrance into our 'drought' forcing until I ran into the 2013 paper that was investigation the Holocene optimum weather across NW Europe? Now I do not know which to weight more as we sit around the global temps ( and so forcing) of the Holocene optimum yet the low Arctic sea ice ( and the shedding of copious amounts of energy into the arctic atmosphere each autumn/early winter now) is also obviously impacting the polar jet behaviour ( frequency/amplitude). It does appear that all roads point to drought until the next major change in forcing? ( if the record lows of 2012 installed this current pattern and the Changes in Pacific Naturals in 2014 augmented it once the super Nino was spent) As such we should sit back and enjoy the dry weather and any sun it might bring with it! But do not think we will not see potential record breaking precipitation events thrown in for good measure!
  16. 8.4c to the 20th 1.1 above the 61 to 90 average 0.6 above the 81 to 10 average _______________________________ Current high this month 8.4c to the 20th Current low this month 5.9c to the 4th
  17. Out to Thursday, and it's turning decidedly unsettled, though -- at this stage -- certainly not cold:
  18. Don't get to disheartened Karl, the long range models are looking good for quite a lot of high pressure again this season. I've heard it being said that statistically a summer like last year would be not the normal!! But the normal no longer applies, the majot shifts in climate change is seeing to that.... Unfortunately!!! Summers like last year could becoming the norm very soon.... Good for some reasons, but very bad for others! A liitle unsettled spell in April wont stop the next batch of heat and sun from rearing its head again very soon... Until then enjoy the next couple of days....
  19. Yes indeed, QS: healthy scepticism (of the 'I don't know, but really would like to learn' variety) is what makes science progress; but, alas, simply posing and posing and reposing the same stock 'questions' (usually in the form of thinly-disguised contrarian statements) ad nauseum is not healthy scepticism: it's treating genuinely curious, though uneducated, people as though they are cretins... And actively reducing the human population? What's the point of that? Once resources run-out, our numbers will decline accordingly...so there's no need for intervention?
  20. Never mind banning discussions on climate change it appears you cannot event mention data that alludes to 'change' over on TWO now??? How the hell are you to make money as a weather site offering services to others if you do not use current data in your forecasting or using the tweaks changes brings to atmospheric circulation in your projections The sad thing I am also finding is the need for climate change deniers to link both science and mitigation to the 'left' in politics? How did saving our world and its population become a thing of the left and the continued wanton destruction a thing of the right?
  21. I can't sugar coat the GEFS 00z mean, once this current summery spell ends it's turning cooler and unsettled for quite a while.
  22. Totally agree,very well put. We all need to do more,taking care of this home we have floating in space is a priority.
  23. Happy Easter folks... Great post from singularity, and well made points from DRL. Yes folks don't get to disappointed over this mini breakdown, I expect a week at most of more unsettled conditions before pressure rises and brings warm weather yet again! And when it does, it will be the 3rd warm spell since February already.... Not bad Considering it still won't be technically summer!!
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