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  2. (a) CET May averages and other statistics ___ table includes all CET values for the period 1981 to 2018 ___ 21.2 ... warmest daily mean (29th, 1780) 20.0 ... 15th (1833) earliest 20.0 CET day. Warmest months and warmest third of recent May CET (13/38) 15.1 ... (1833) 13.9 ... (1848) 13.8 ... (1758, 1788) 13.7 ... (1808) 13.6 ... (1727, 1992) 13.5 ... (1784, 1868, 1919, 1947) 13.4 ... 2008 (tied with 1726, 1952) 13.2 ... 2017, 2018 13.1 ... 1998 13.0 ... 1989 12.9 ... 1999 12.6 ... 1990, 2001 12.5 ... 2016 12.3 ... 2006 12.2 ... 2011, 2014 Averages and middle third of recent May CET (13/38) 12.1 ... 2000, 2003, 2004, 2009 12.0 ... ... ... 2001-2017 average _ _ and _ _ 1989-2018 average 11.9 ... 1988, 2007 _ _ and 1991-2018 average (converging on future 1991-2020 average) 11.8 ... 2002 11.7 ... 1981-2010 average and 1986-2015 average, 2012 CET 11.6 ... 1982, 1995 11.5 ... 1997 11.4 ... 1993, 2005 .. 1901-2000 average 11.3 ... 1971-2000 average, 1701-1800 average 11.2 ... 1981 ... 1961-1990 average, 1659-2018 average of all data (11.23) 11.1 ... 1986 ... 1801-1900 average 10.9 ... 1985 10.8 ... 1991, 2015 10.7 ... 1994, 2010 ... 1659-1700 average Coldest Months and coldest third of recent May CET (12/38 starting at 11.2^^) 10.4 ... 2013 10.3 ... 1983 10.1 ... 1987 9.9 ... 1984 9.1 ... 1996 tied 13th coldest with two other years, the coldest in recent years) 8.9 ... 1879, 1885, 1902 tied 5th coldest 8.8 ... 1855 was 4th coldest 8.7 ... 1817 was 3rd coldest 8.6 ... 1740 was 2nd coldest 8.5 ... 1698 was coldest Extreme cold 3.5 .... mean for 3-5 May, 1877 2.9 .... coldest daily mean (8th, 1861) ___________________________________ Post your May CET forecasts before end of day Tuesday 30th of April to avoid time penalty, or in first three days of May with increasing late penalties. ______________________________________ (b) England and Wales precip (EWP) contest Note: this is verified against the Hadley version of EWP (1766 to present), The contest asks you to predict the average England and Wales precip in mm. These are the extreme values and recent averages. 151.8 ___ max 1766-2018 in 1773) 142.4 ___ second wettest in 1782 140.7 ___ third wettest in 1967 118.4 ___ maximum 1981-2018 (2007) __ (115.2 in 1983) 63.6 ___ average 1981-2010 62.2 ___ average 1989-2018 13.7 ___ minimum 1981-2018 (1991) 07.9 ___ (min 1766-2018) in 1844 _ 12.0 in 1896 the only May drier than 1991. ________________________________________________________________ Recent ... 2018 _ 51.9 mm ... ... 2017 _ 65.0 mm ... ... 2016 _ 61.7 mm ... ... 2015 _ 86.6 mm ... ... 2014 _ 102.8 mm. Enter the EWP contest in the same post as your CET temperature forecast. Scores are by rank order out of 10.0, 0.2 penalties per day late. Same deadlines apply as CET contest. ... Good luck in both contests ...
  3. Today
  4. Easter Sunday is held the first Sunday after the first full moon following the spring equinox.

    © Kevin Bradshaw

  5. It was a strange day here in Bewdley. As in your neck of the woods, the sunshine was hazy when it was there at all, and the wind was a pain. It actually felt noticeably cooler than yesterday until late afternoon. We then got some stronger sunshine and maxed out at 19.7 °C, a new 2019 high for me. But it really didn't feel like the warmest day of the year so far. It might be interesting to have a couple of minutes each evening on the BBC News channel to look back at the forecast for that day and see how well it panned out. I suppose one reason they don't is that the forecasters get enough ill-informed criticism as it is -- but I think it could actually be quite worthwhile if there was some explanation of why things hadn't panned out as expected. We do occasionally get that, and I appreciate it when it happens, but it's fairly rare. (Well, except for my long-standing feeling that, for the Severn Valley at least, both Met Office and MeteoGroup/Beeb frequently underestimate cloud amounts and so also fail to forecast quite a bit of non-frontal light rain.) Hoping for a better Good Friday and my first 20 °C of the year!
  6. I think lightning is just the same colour everytime - white light, but its just things like dust or mist and other atmospheric conditions that give it the illusion that its a different colour. But never really had chance to look at it for long enough to see what colour it is.
  7. Yesterday
  8. This is a list of the entries that I see on the thread. I have copied verbatim the locations as the posters gave them, what they actually mean in terms of counties is up to Paul and/or the organizers. This is not contest official, just a free service from Kontestmann. (I do these in my sleep) ... ... note ... duplicate entries are shown in order of submission ... any comments about timing are reduced to very small print Top temp ___ Forecaster _______ Predicted location (verbatim no edits by me except where showing a user location in one case, info underlined) 28.8 _______ leedsnowfan ______Northolt and Heathrow 28.2 _______ Roger J Smith _____in Middlesex 27.5 _______ Sizzling Heat ______on Bournemouth Beach 27.2 _______ Let It Snow! _______in Kent 27.2 _______ Emmett Garland ___Gravesend 27.1 _______ SunnyDazee ______ Kent (Gravesend) 26.6 _______ markwells ________ in Cambridgeshire on Monday 26.5 _______ Norrance _________ Surrey 26.5 _______ Polar Gael ________ London 26.4 _______ Candice __________ greater London 26.3 _______ mother nature rocks _at Heathrow 26.2 _______ Azazel ___________ Kew 26.2 _______ mikeofmacc _______ Kent 26.2 _______ Mark wheeler ______Northolt 26.2 _______ Matt Tarrant _______ Kew Gardens 26.1 _______ Rickoza67 ________ in Faversham. 26*________ Radiating Dendrite __ somewhere to the west of central London later this weekend early next. 25.9 _______ matty40s _________ Heathrow 25.8 _______ Stargazer _________ Heathrow 25.8 _______ Pembroke Dangler __ Flintshire 25.7 _______DiagonalRedLine ___ Manchester (5pm on Saturday) 25.7 _______ Ross Andrew Hemphill _in Kent 25.7 _______ DAVID SNOW ______ "my back garden" (user location Romford, Essex) 25.7 _______ Huntforsnow _______ Heathrow 25.7 _______ fromey ___________ St James park 25.6 _______ 38*5 C ___________ Northolt 25.3 _______ Dancerwithwings ___ Kent 25.3 _______ Gazbo ___________ Winsley Surrey 25.3 _______ Man with Beard ____ Heathrow (is that iMiddlesex or Berkshire?) 25.3 _______ Frosty hollows _____ Heathrow 25.2 _______ Ed Stone _________ in Kent 25.2 _______ wolvesman _______ Middlesex (Heathrow area) 25.2 _______ Earthshine _______ (no location given) 25.2 _______ Team Squirrel _____ West Sussex 25.2 _______ SteveB ___________Oxfordshire 25.2 _______ Summer of 95 _____ Porthmadog 25.1 _______ Leo97t ___________ in St James Park 25.1 _______ I Remember Atl 252 _Gravesend area, to be reached 3.30pm Sat 20th April 25.1 _______ Quicksilver 1989 ___ at Heathrow airport. 25.1 _______ cookie ___________ Yorkshire 25* ________ AnthonyMcquade7__ Cardiff on Saturday 24.9 _______ Paul1968 _________ Heathrow Airport 24.8 _______ Joneseye _________ Wisley 24.8 _______ laddie ____________ Oxfordshire 24.7 _______ CheesepuffScott ___ in Hampshire 24.7 _______ pinball wizard _____ Oxfordshire 24.6 _______ Mapantz __________South London 24.6 _______ smichling _________ Middlesex - Heathrow 24.4 _______ virtualsphere ______ Lincolnshire, Easter Monday 24.3 _______ DR(S)NO _________ London area 24.2 _______ Kirkcaldy Weather __ Hampshire 24.1 _______ Feb1991Blizzard ___ Richmond, Surrey 23.8 _______ Milhouse _________ Wiltshire 23.8 _______ DanBaynes _______ Gravesend 23.4 _______ Chris R. __________ at Porthmadog, gwynedd. 23.4 _______ matt111 __________ North London 23.2 _______ Lauren ___________ in Kent 23.2 _______ Badgers01 ________ wisely 23.1 _______ Mike Poole ________ Surrey 22.9 _______ Daniel* ___________ at Heathrow 21.7 _______ Another Kent clipper _ in Chelmsford __ 61 entries, consensus (median value) 25.2 __ __________________________________________________ * no decimal given (26, Radiating Dendrite) .. (25, AnthonyMcquade7)
  9. Another colourful one this evening. Let's see how NW treats the colour... Hmm, dully, it seems. It was more salmon pink.
  10. Continuing dry with mostly clear skies and no breeze Temp 6.5c
  11. 12.2°C here, still have the windows open as like everytime, it takes forever for this house to cool down! A nice breeze though when it comes around
  12. Its a shame that the slowdown won't be enough to stop and reverse the Artic and Antarctic rapid meltdowns.
  13. The most prolific poster(s) hot weather rampers as you describe them live 100'S of miles away from the usual UK hot spots/heat wave areas, same every year....'likes' from afar I suppose...
  14. I often wonder if the hot weather rampers actually ever go outside to 'enjoy' it.
  15. Aberdeen mate? You get about. Looking like a warm weekend coming up, nothing exceptional though.
  16. I think pink lighting is my favourite. Not particularly because it's pink but because gives me the impression that the air is dirty, dusty, and ripe for a good storm
  17. Lovely day in Ashford, Middlesex, reached 21C. Much cooler here in Aberdeen this evening but nice weather, nonetheless.
  18. which chasing channel is best to view these days?
  19. Apologies for bringing this thread back a bit but God Almighty I can't believe in 2019 we are sitting here with some people on this forum virulently arguing that climate change isn't real, or it isn't anthropogenic. Its often ignorance, even wilful ignorance and perhaps I'd go as far as to say that its at times deliberate maliciousness that isperpetuating this nonsense. Please can we have a more robust attitude on this forum i.e remove unsubstantiated contrarian opinion instantly... Apologies again. I don't usually take a lighthearted forum seriously....
  20. continuation of last nights storm conveyor belt see the enhanced area move east to Louisiana and the gulf states. It looks like there is some sort of low forming , possibly a triple point, and brett adair is scooting east as fast as he can to try and catch it up.
  21. Fire warnings already, potential for drought and it's only April. But hey, at least there's "plenty of Warm Sunshine to enjoy"... *barf* I hope the hot weather rampers are happy.
  22. Hoping the fine weather hangs on as first game of cricket in the Peaks next Saturday
  23. Evening ! A thundery breakdown after the Easter weekend...is the Atlantic coming in or not ? Just a wifff off Brexit here !
  24. 25.2 Porthmadog it's an easterly, logically West downwind of hills should be warmest, need this haze to eff off from most of England to get into the 20s widely there. Should beat Febs temp but nothing record breaking like April 2003
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