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  2. Eastern CET,use to be the western one used. Well this morning the plume and heat is going to Europe as the atlantic wakes up,much cooler outlook.
  3. Humidity should drop as the day goes along.
  4. This next "heatwave" if it does eventually expose itself, still and always will be limited to the southeastern corner/third of the country, not the whole of the UK.
  5. Super humid today. It's 9.55 and I already have boob sweat.
  6. The PIT

    General Volcanic Activity Thread!

    Latest update KILAUEA VOLCANO (VNUM #332010) 19°25'16" N 155°17'13" W, Summit Elevation 4091 ft (1247 m) Current Volcano Alert Level: WARNING Current Aviation Color Code: ORANGE Kīlauea Volcano Lower East Rift Zone Fissure 8 continues to erupt lava into the channel leading northeastward from the vent. Overnight UAV flights were grounded due to weather. The most vigorous ocean entry is located a few hundred meters northeast of the southern flow margin with a few tiny pahoehoe toes were entering the ocean from the Kapoho Bay lobe to the north. The southern margin of the flow remains about 500 m (0.3 mi) from the boat ramp at Isaac Hale Park. No other fissures are active this morning. Pele's hair and other lightweight volcanic glass fragments from the lava fountain at Fissure 8 continue to fall downwind of the fissure, dusting the ground within a few hundred meters (yards) of the vent. High winds may waft lighter particles to greater distances. Residents are urged to minimize exposure to these volcanic particles, which can cause skin and eye irritation similar to volcanic ash. The most recent map of lava flows can be found at https://volcanoes.usgs.gov/volcanoes/kilauea/multimedia_maps.html HVO field crews are on site tracking activity as conditions allow and are reporting information to Hawaii County Civil Defense. Observations are also collected on a daily basis from cracks in the area of Highway 130; no changes in temperature, crack width, or gas emissions have been noted for several days. Volcanic gas emissions remain very high. VOG information can be found at https://vog.ivhhn.org/ The ocean entry is a hazardous area. The interaction of lava with the ocean creates "laze", a corrosive seawater plume laden with hydrochloric acid and fine volcanic particles that drifts downwind and can irritate the skin, eyes, and lungs. Close to the ocean entry, flying debris from explosive interaction between lava and water is a primary hazard. Additionally, submarine magma-water interaction can result in explosive activity beyond the visible lava delta, creating a hazard that extends offshore. The lava delta is unstable because it is built up to 800 m (0.5 mi) from the former coastline on unconsolidated lava fragments and sand. This loose material can easily be eroded away by surf, causing the new land to become unsupported and slide into the sea. Magma continues to be supplied to the Lower East Rift Zone. Seismicity remains relatively low although higher amplitude tremor is occasionally being recorded on seismic stations close to the ocean entry. Additional ground cracking and outbreaks of lava in the area of the active fissures are possible at any time. Residents downslope of the region of fissures should remain informed and heed all Hawaii County Civil Defense messages and warnings. Kīlauea Volcano Summit The last collapse event occurred at 4:36 p.m. HST Thursday (July 19). Seismicity at the summit decreased immediately following the event and is now back to 20-35 earthquakes per hour. The next collapse event is expected this morning. Inward slumping of the rim and walls of Halemaʻumaʻu continues in response to the ongoing subsidence at the summit. Sulfur dioxide emissions from the volcano's summit are very low. This gas and minor amounts of ash resuspended by wind are being transported downwind. Small bursts of ash and gas may coincide with the summit collapse events. The summit region is occasionally impacted by sulfur dioxide from the lower East Rift Zone eruption. Forecasts of ashfall under forecast wind conditions: https://volcanoes.usgs.gov/observatories/hvo/ash_information.html Information on volcanic ash hazards and how to prepare for ash fall maybe found at http://www.ivhhn.org/information#ash (health impacts) OR https://volcanoes.usgs.gov/volcanic_ash/ (other impacts).
  7. TomSE12


    BARCELONA AGE APPS GLS * L.MESSI* 31 32 34 L.SUAREZ 31 32 25 PAULINHO 29 21 9 P.COUTINHO 26 16 8 P.ALCACER 24 8 4 JUVENTUS AGE APPS GLS *C.RONALDO* 33 27 26 P.DYBALA 24 26 22 G.HIGUAIN 30 32 16 S.KHEDIRA 31 24 9 M.MANDZUKIC 32 27 5 NB - Ronaldo's goals in season 2017/18, were scored with REAL MADRID. MANCHESTER CITY AGE APPS GLS S.AGUERO 30 22 21 R.STERLING 23 29 18 G.JESUS 21 19 13 L.SAHE 22 27 10 K.DE BRUYNE 27 36 8 MANCHESTER UNITED AGE APPS GLS *R.LUKAKU * 25 33 16 A.MARTIAL 22 18 9 J.LINGARD 25 20 8 M.RASHFORD 20 17 7 A.SANCHEZ 29 12 2 R
  8. Looking at both the GFS, UKMO and ECM show the clue to be the actual position of the low pressure in the Atlantic. Differences between the three are showing at T96 and the exact placing of this system will decide if we bake or just mildly done. The overall look is slightly cooler after this week away from the south and south east and more pleasant conditions.
  9. to illustrate the accuracy of the noaa 500 mb charts... heres the chart for 8-14 days ahead published on the 15th july. in comparison to the gfs predicted chart for the 26th (mid point at the 8-14 days chart starting on the 15th). after much 'too-ing and fro-ing' the ops are now agreeing with the noaa's. not on just one run, but on all current ones that are unlikely to change much before the 26th. the main feature to note is the predicted position of the mean upper trough in the north atlantic, and outgoing flow over the north coast of norway/scandinavia. pretty much bang on.
  10. From first thing to last thing yesterday.. In between.."funda bugs" does your head in after a while
  11. Looks like the Met have called this correct(same for several days) with their models and others, in that if your looking for very hot conditions the south east is the place to be, outside of this small area, then no. As they say though, such conditions are possible not guaranteed.
  12. Dry and mainly sunny with some patchy cloud Temp 21.0c
  13. Garden thermometer here says 20.8C but it is certainly warm and much better than yesterday.
  14. And to rub salt into the wound, the southern counties WILL get spectacular thunderstorms at the end of the upcoming southern heatwave and the NW will get stratus cover and patchy drizzle as per this morning Even if we joined in with heat and sun , we would still get patchy drizzle at the breakdown, or if we are lucky.. moderately heavy rain ! haha Still not a single rumble here since May 2017, is am now banking on 2018 being complete thunder free here , amazing to think we once got multiple storms in a day , and it would be rare to get through a fortnight without thunder in the 3 main summer months in the seventies and eighties
  15. I stick with ecm as gfs has been a nightmare recently. The pattern is not going anywhere fast. North south split but ecm pushes the warmth and dryer weather back in rinse repeat. Nothing is going to far East this wall in Scandinavia and down into southeast Europe in fact other than few little lows floating around in the Atlantic. and there just no momentum. I'd also like to say that were really into drought territory here in the south, not seen a single drop of rain for sometime. Nothing substantial anytime soon either maybe some instability towards the end of the week. Certainly a year to remember so far. With flat lined solar activity I don't see a major change anytime soon.
  16. Terminal Moraine

    Sunday 22nd July weather observations

    Yesterday's cloud cleared during the early evening but it was only a temporary clearance as further cloud moved in later in the night. Dry, humid and cloudy so far this morning, with the lower cloud just beginning to show signs of breaking. At 0800 g.m.t Temp; 16.3c 24 hr max; 21.6c 24 hr min; 12.9c Grass min; 11.0c Rainfall in 24 hrs ending 0800 g.m.t; 0.0 mm Mean wind speed; 9 mph W 7 oktas St and Ac Vis; 30 km.
  17. Morning to all! Much better day today here than yesterday... just after 9am, temp here already +23 degrees. Although some suggestions of heavy showers later.
  18. karyo

    Solar and Aurora Activity Chat

    Yes, this wonderful stretch is over. Ironically the solar flux is lower today than it has been for a while.
  19. Sunny Sheffield at 19.4C +3.5C above normal. Rainfall unchanged.
  20. Snow free zone

    Northwest England regional thread 3 /3 onwards

    Not seen much sun for a few days here either. Can tell it's hot in the SE with all the knicker wetting in the mo thread. Rain friday, drizzle yesterday and more of the same today, cloudy and damp at the moment. Looks like the week ahead promises more of the same with a more noticeable nw/se split. Whilst we may miss out on most of the rain it looks like cloud and dampness will persist. Been a great spell of weather up to now though .... but it just had to end when the schools shut for summer didn't it !
  21. Today
  22. And it’s yet another very poor cloud forecast. Just watched the Met forecast video and all it mentioned was low cloud and mist! Do they actually check the satellite images any more?
  23. Those spikes of high 850s later next week are largely gone on the GEFS. Anyone looking for the really hot stuff might have to wait until early August - a significant cluster still brings a plume event to our shores.
  24. SteveB

    Solar and Aurora Activity Chat

    Looks like Spaceweather have counted the spot, although to my eyes it looks like it gone again this morning.
  25. Dry and cloudy and calm. Current temperature 20.2. Dewpoint 15.0. Yesterday's high: 29.0 Low: 15.8
  26. Dry warm partly cloudy start Temp 20.1c
  27. TomSE12

    Golf Chat

    I agree Kevin, he's looking very ominous. It's days, like today, that I wish I still had Sky Sports. But I'm on disability benefits, lost my job when I suffered a Brain Haemorrhage/Stoke, in 2015, can't afford Sky now. Last day of the Open, is one of my favourite days, in the sporting calendar. I think it's one of those events that should remain on terrestrial television, for the masses!! Really fed up with Sky for "creaming off", top sporting events!! Had I been well, I would have been working ( I used to work every Sunday, in a Bookmaker's Credit Office). The company I worked for, took "fortunes" on golf but they were bought out, two years ago. I would've still been working for a Bookmaker's somewhere, no doubt though!!! Bookmaker's, no doubt, will take fortunes this afternoon with only four shots, covering a dozen players. I suppose "hosting" the ""Fantasy" Open Competition, is the next best thing and helps me, relive the "buzz" and "craic", of a big sporting week. Here are the current Bookmaker's Odds, for the Open 15/8 Jordan Spieth 9/2 Xander Schauffele 11/2 Kevin Kisner 14/1 Francesco Molinari 14/1 Rory McIlroy 14/1 Tiger Woods 16/1 Tommy Fleetwood 20/1 Kevin Chappell 22/1 Alex Noren 33/1 Justin Rose 33/1 Matt Kuchar 33/1 Zach Johnson 50/1 bar .
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