All Activity

Alderc 2.0 Nothing surprises me at the moment. All I recall seeing for weeks now is model runs that do everything they can to end up with a northerly!

As the weather has been "non-existent" recently, i've been searching around for various meteorological articles on past weather events both locally and nationally in my spare time. Below is pretty much everything I have found for the Midlands, plus the odd widespread event such as the Beast from the East. Some events found range from the winter of 1947, winter of 1981-82 in areas of the Midlands, late 2020 snowfall, to various severe thunderstorm events such as 28th June 2012, the July 2005 Birmingham tornado, and more recently the thunderstorms last June. Happy reading! Snow Birmingham on 28 January 2004.pdf SNOWSTORMS, 23–26 APRIL 1981.pdf winter of 1947 in Halesowen West Midlands.pdf Beast from the east 2018 historical precedents and perspective.pdf Beast from the east 2018 cold pool and snowfall.pdf winter of 2009 2010 compared prev winters.pdf late 2010 cold and snow.pdf heavy wet snowfall on 28 December 2020.pdf winter of 1981 1982 in Tenbury Wells.pdf Late June 1995 cold front reaches Birmingham.pdf 2 thunderstorms Birmingham summer 1994.pdf August 1996 flood event Ashow Warwickshire.pdf Four SW Birmingham flood events 1998 2000.pdf july 2005 birmingham tornado.pdf Thunderstorms 11 June 2023.pdf supercells 28 June 2012.pdf Snowfall of 18 December 2010 south Midlands.pdf hailstorm Leicestershire 20 July 2021.pdf

I agree, there is no "should be". An average is an average, sometimes colder, sometimes warmer. The problem isn't so much the temperatures - we've had cold spells in April before - it's the persistence of the duller and wetter than average weather that's the main problem. We just can't seem to get a stretch of dry and sunny weather at the moment. I accept that in late Autumn and winter, it's what the weather is like at that time of year, but by now you'd hope we would get something more consistently dry and sunny. The SSW definitely put a wrench in things and hasn't helped. I dreaded the talk at the end of Feb of an imminent SSW, knowing this would be the exact result of it. Not snowy mid March nirvana as many on the Mod thread were hoping for, but a perpetuating northern blocking pattern, shunting troughs into the mid latitudes giving us dull and damp weather.

August is the one that pops out to me, we're now ten consecutive years in without an August annual max, which is the longest run since at least 1875. In that time we've had two September annual maxes. The last shortest was about seven years so we're definitely due a few August-centric summers. It seems like we're missing heat in June as well, last year was the first notably hot June since 2018, and before that 2003 if I recall. 2017 had the heatwave but overall it didn't end up overwhelmingly hot. We have been getting sunny Junes in that time, they're just not turning the thermometer up much.

In Absence of True Seasons It's worse because the last two months have been like it as well. Dull Aprils happen but it's not so often we get a hat trick like this, along with December being abysmal too.

danm I wonder if that owes to the theory that a late season SSW would be beneficial for a warmer and drier summer? At some point, the pattern shifts and gets stuck with the opposite synoptics. That could be ideal if you like hot and dry summers à la 2018.

B87 Lack of sun has been super noticeable. This sort of daily, blanket greyness is quite overwhelming for this time of year. Especially in the SE / London. It's definitely not some something I associate with Spring. I'd expect it in the depths of December or whatnot but not nearly May. I think the stats are being bumped up by sun hours occuring in the mornings and evenings/nights which is the least beneficial time for those hours and doesn't make the day really "feel" sunny

If we believed Gufus, it would be like taking a warm shower on May 4th

A mostly cloudy rather cold day with sunny spells late on. A few spots of rain at times. Max temp 10C, now 9.1C, Barometer 1000mb falling slowly, Wind F1 WSW, Rainfall Trace

Perfect one you shared today. But I realised I don't have a lawn to mow, it's all gravel!

stainesbloke Yes!!!!! 15c minimum

CryoraptorA303 We are overdue a sunny July and August and a bone dry and sunny October/November, and maybe one of the sunniest Decembers on record with how many extremely dull ones we have had recently. 3 of the 4 dullest Decembers have occurred since 2010. 4 of the 5 dullest Augusts since 2008.

Markus03 London averages about 110 wet days per year. That isn't one dry month out of a year.

Markus03 B87 Yeah, it's a bit of a stereotype taken to America by northern English and Scottish migrants. East Anglia has among the driest Cfb climate in the world.

B87 What I meant, it's actually wet over there. Maybe there will only be a total of a month a year when days in one year are actually dry.

Markus03 We don't expect wet all the time. That is why the last 11 months have been so terrible.

B87 Indeed, in that time we had 2015, 2017, 2019, 2020, 2021 and 2022, vs 2018 being the most mixed bag on the planet and 2014, 2016, 2023 being the only ones that can be described as at least a bit poor. Quite the surplus of sunny and/or warm Aprils, looks like the 2020s are hitting us with the overdue poor ones all at once. I won't mind too much if it means we also get the sunny, drier autumns we're very overdue in turn.

I feel bad for you. In the UK you expect wet all the time. There are rare occasions where you're like "Finally, there will be dry weather for a week".

Markus03 I wish we had 15c and sun. Nothing but cool, wet and cloudy for the forseeable future. In Absence of True Seasons It has felt like being in a warmer version of Glasgow or Bergen. Constant rain and rarely seeing the sun.

Frigid Issue is too, it comes off the back of prolonged dullness and wetness as a dominant theme. Winter was incredibly dull and wet, as was last Autumn (aside from the heatwave in Sept and the few days in Oct). Before that? Virtually all of high summer bar a few days at the end of August. This Spring wouldn't have been such a downer if it was preceded by a lovely sunny, crisp, snowy winter, and a comparable Autumn prior to that. Instead, we've had 9-10 months where nearly every single day has been a variation of 10-14c, overcast and some degree of rain. Genuinely has felt like living in a different climate for much of the last 12-18 months, to me, and it shows no signs of abating. Really impressive, for all the wrong reasons.

In my area there's rain and 3 degrees. It's not as bad where you have around 15 degrees. That's actually pretty good. Not hot but not cold either.

Frigid Yes, it’s been a long, dreary slog. I’m not after April heatwaves either, a pleasant 16°C with predominantly sunny conditions and some traditional showers would suit me fine.

Daniel* Yup I'd expect todays CET to come in at around 5.9C (due to minima at Stonyhurst being a bit higher from what I can see of the hourly obs).

stainesbloke As someone who usually doesn't mind dull and wet, even I'm starting to get bored of it. Sunny days in spring are perfect, shame the majority of it has been so cloudy.

Rain in Southern Finland right now. Temperatures around 3 degrees so it's not feeling pleasant. Snow will however melt quickly. Currently only 5 cm of snow left. I really hope there won't be another winter situation this spring. However next week will look promising anyway with temperatures nearly 20 degrees