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  2. On a break in New Forest and just heard two deep rumbles to our SW - around Wimborne Minster showing a few strikes on lightning maps. Just wondering weather to go for a drive to see if we can catch a strike or two from a vantage point: or just stay in and eat chocolate truffles
  3. Meanwhile we might get an Easterly on this current GFS by 384, but this time if it does it will be a warm Easterly.
  4. There is a lot of flip flopping going on with the models at present with regards to next week,all good model watching at the moment,will the cold win out or will we get a warm plume from the south? the ICON seems to want the northerly again just like last evening,can it be trusted? well looking at the scatter from the gefs/ecm ens shannon's in the house(this for my local) gefs/ecm means at day ten show ridging still into Greenland with main chunk of TPV in Siberia,it doesn't look to out of the ordinary for the southern half of the uk and maybe warmer than of late with some pleasant weather with some patches of fog and frost at night the latest from cpc 8-14 day outlook showing stronger ridging into Greenland than last evenings and the NAO still into neg values gfs 18z rolling out and it looks quiet pleasant for the uk at this point.
  5. Yes, what we cannot afford though is a half baked effort, all that will do is delay the strengthening and thus delay any MMW.
  6. The only long range forecast model singing for a colder than average winter, yea looks like a persistent Greenland high -NAO..
  7. Seems I'm in a gap between two lively lines of showers at the moment. Feels surprisingly cold out there considering it's 14.0’C
  8. @feb1991blizzard seems it wasn't just me seeing the warming potential in the charts...
  9. Just seen a flash of lightning here in Christchurch, popped outside and my god it's windy! And cold Looks to be passing to the north east of where I am.
  10. Massive downpour here, with hail and gusty winds. Rain rate of 128mm/hr at 23:06 And now a long deep roll of thunder!
  11. Keep an ear out tonight if you're in the south - could see some thunderstorms tracking north off the channel.
  12. Cool start then sunny spells and some heavy showers. Maximum 14.9, minimum 7.2. Wind light SE.
  13. Wealth probably dictates that question, some outspoken 'celebrities' seem to have accrued a net worth in the 100s of millions and some have 100s of properties around the globe, but hey, do as I say and not as I do.
  14. Today
  15. Thanks - get it now. @Steve Murr Have you got the website for those charts please so i can bookmark it ready for winter please?
  16. Possibly some better news especially for the marine life UW Weather Prof: 'Blob (Part 2) is Dying...' KOMONEWS.COM SEATTLE -- The second coming of The Blob is dying, says University of Washington atmospheric sciences professor Cliff Mass. But that's a...
  17. me thinks -PDO is warm in the western Pacific and cold In the east..currently its warm and warm so its neutral
  18. Just had a convective gust of 32mph during a small shower. I should imagine it might be higher in the more intense ones.
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