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March 23 rainfall upto this point is more or less identical (yesterday was 58mm vs 60mm from 23) though 23 got increasingly wet towards the end of the month and raced up.
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Worryingly Wet & Worryingly Sunless
kold weather replied to SunSean's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
danm I think that does back up my showers idea as to why we are seeing more days rather frontal rain, which in theory shouldn't lead to an increase in sunshine. (If anything stronger frontal rain would lead to larger cloud canopy I'd have thought? Less frontal rain vs showers though would do the trick for that combination though. Obviously this is probably a vast simplification! -
A couple more comparisons below between 1961-1990 and 1991-2020. Average rainy days >10mm between the two periods: Average total annual rainfall between the two periods: We have got a little wetter and there are a few more rainy days each year on average. On the flip side though, it has got sunnier: Between '61-90, London averaged 1,519 hours of sunshine per year. Between '91-2020 London averaged 1,674 hours of sunshine per year.
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Worryingly Wet & Worryingly Sunless
In Absence of True Seasons replied to SunSean's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
SunSean Very telling that you can go away for nearly a week, come back, and it's still exactly the same dross! You've missed nothing of note or positivity here, weather wise. Same old, day-in day-out. Think I saw the sun partially for 2/3 hours on Sunday afternoon...that was about it. Unfortunately I've had some personal plans crop up which need me to be in the UK for the next couple weeks...which has scuppered my plans to take a trip somewhere sunny -
Worryingly Wet & Worryingly Sunless
CryoraptorA303 replied to SunSean's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
B87 Good point, I had no idea May 1989 saw 29.8°C! Funnily enough, February 1989 was one of February 2024's closest relatives. Far too early to call yet, many years that had dull and wet starts turned it around and hosted some of the most acclaimed spells in our history, 1989 included. Looking at data from 1989, it's quite incredible and sad just how many stations we've lost since then. 572 reports for May 23rd 1989 vs the ~300 you'll get today. Unsurprisingly to many, much of the decline appears to be after 2010. -
Sun Chaser I think summer 2017 was a rather poor summer overall. June was dreadful we missed out on the heatwave the best I could do was three days off warm sunshine and dry weather and even then the maximum temperature never rose above 25.C. Either side of that the weather was cold, wet and windy. In fact June 2017 is my wettest June on record for nearly 30 years and in Edinburgh it was the wettest June in over 100 years. July wasn’t overly bad but it was generally cool, strangely though we had most the bad weather in the first half whereas the second half was actually quite pleasant with a few warm days. August was dire the highest maximum I recorded was only 22.4.C and it was generally dull and wet although nowhere near as bad as June. Even the September that followed was also poor.
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Cheshire Freeze Maybe less in terms of thunderstorms but more rain falling during frontal rainfall perhaps?
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Model Output Discussion - 22nd Jan 2024 onwards
Rain All Night replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
0z deterministic runs, out to Tue 26th (day 7) GFS and ICON are still finding height rises to mix things up a little at the beginning of next week. 0z ensemble means, out to Wed 3rd (day 15) The one bit of hope to cling to is that the trough signal seems to peak just before the start of the actual Easter weekend. The GEFS is as keen as the GFS on the idea of "wedgyness" after the northerly this weekend, perhaps slowing the trough down a bit. -
Model Output Discussion - 22nd Jan 2024 onwards
johnholmes replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Summer8906 So where in Hampshire do you live. I'm sure the weather stats for Bournemouth are nothing like as bad as your post suggests? -
CryoraptorA303 May 1989 as well, after a catastrophic April. I wonder if 2024 will challenge 2021 for the dullest year on record?
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CryoraptorA303 Camden is valid.
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Worryingly Wet & Worryingly Sunless
kold weather replied to SunSean's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Cheshire Freeze 1mm of rainfall really isn't that much from showers, a modest shower will probably get you close to that level. Thunder maybe decreasing but you sure as heck don't need a thunderstorm for that... Fronts I don't think will play much of a part since the vast majority will contribute over 1mm to begin with and thise drizzly fronts often don't even give 0.5mm yet alone 1mm when looking at the actual statistics. -
Worryingly Wet & Worryingly Sunless
CryoraptorA303 replied to SunSean's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
29.1°C at St. James's Park on the 19th, which is the hottest April day on record and beat a 125 year old record by an entire degree (29.4°C at Camden in 1949 isn't valid). If the preceding autumn, winter and low spring had been dry then we could've seen >30°C in that spell. -
It will be interesting to see how this weather develops next. Will it continue to be as wet throughout the year?
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Worryingly Wet & Worryingly Sunless
Summer8906 replied to SunSean's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Cheshire Freeze Yes I don't think it's showers, down here for example we don't actually get many classic showery days. Seems to be, as I said, more in the way of really active frontal systems, combined with less in the way of ridges of high pressure in between (so we get a lot of 'drizzle showers' between the fronts, which may not contribute that much to rainfall, but it all adds up...) -
Model Output Discussion - 22nd Jan 2024 onwards
Summer8906 replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
ANYWEATHER Just seems to be showing again and again on most model runs, I guess.