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Alps Ski and Snow Forecast Blog issued 11 March 2016

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J10

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Synoptic Summary and Current Conditions

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There is currently an elongated High Pressure covering a narrow strip from Scandinavia running through the UK down to the Azores, with the Alps on the SE side of the High with cold/cool NE winds. Lower pressure to the  South of the Alps over parts of Italy. Conditions over the Alps are very good generally with the recent heavy snowfalls over the past month, looking a bit drier for the coming week, with more in the way of sunshine, but some showers still possible at times more especially towards the South and South East of the Alps.

Charts - Saturday to Tuesday
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For the weekend, the high pressure is set to move a little to be centred over Southern Scandinavia/ NW Midland Europe, before moving further north to be centred over northern UK through to Scandinavia by Tuedays, The flow is generally set to be from the East for the Alps. Lower pressure never to far away from the south, and some showers are likely to build up from time to time especially in the afternoon and for more Southern parts of the Alps.

Charts - Wednesday to Friday

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A similar there towards the end of the week, perhaps with the pattern becoming a little more unsettled from the south, with a little more in the way of showers towards Friday.

Alps Detail
Winds generally from an Easterly direction, with the coolest weather on the whole for N and E Austria, S Germany and N/NW Switzerland, milder further SW for SW Switzerland, NW Italy, and Eastern French Alps)

Saturday –
850Hpa temps -4c to -2c and FL 1000m to 1400m (Southern Germany, N Austria, N Switzerland, Liechtenstein, W France Alps)
850Hpa temps -2c to +3c and FL 1600m to 2000m (S Austria, S Switzerland, Italy, E France Alps)

Sunday -
850Hpa temps -4c to -2c and FL 1000m to 1400m (Southern Germany, N and E Austria, N Switzerland, Liechtenstein, W France Alps)
850Hpa temps -2c to +3c and FL 1600m to 2000m (SW Austria, S Switzerland, Italy, E France Alps)

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Monday–
850Hpa temps -7c to -5c and FL 800m to 1000m (NE Austria)
850Hpa temps -6c to -2c and FL 900 to 1400m (S Germany, Liechtenstein, N Switzerland, C Austria, W France Alps)
850Hpa temps -2c to +3c and FL 1600m to 2000m (SW Austria, S Switzerland, Italy, E France Alps)

Tuesday–
850Hpa temps -7c to -4c and FL 800m to 1100m (E Austria, S Germany, N Switzerland)
850Hpa temps -3c to +1c and FL 1200m to 1700m (W Austria, S Switzerland, Liechtenstein, Italy, France Alps)

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Wednesday –
850Hpa temps -6c to -2c and FL 800m to 1000m (E Austria, NW Switzerland, S Germany)
850Hpa temps -3c to +1c and FL 1100m to 1600m (W Austria, rest Switzerland, Liechtenstein, Italy, France Alps)

Thursday -
850Hpa temps -3c to 0c and FL 1000m to 1400m (Southern Germany, N and E Austria, N Switzerland, Liechtenstein, W France Alps)
850Hpa temps -1c to +3c and FL 1400m to 2000m (SW Austria, S Switzerland, Italy, E France Alps)

Friday –
850Hpa temps -5c to -2c and FL 900m to 1200m (N and E Austria, NW Switzerland, S Germany)
850Hpa temps -2c to +2c and FL 1400m to 1900m (SW Austria, S Switzerland, Italy, E France Alps)

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Precipitation

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A drier week than recently, however some showers are likely to develop at times, these most likely for Southern and Southern Eastern areas, and many of these may develop for the afternoon, after a dry sunny morning. The showers are not likely to be focussed on certain areas as per the precipitation charts, but they may well be isolated and heavy in nature,

Weekend
Showers tending to develop into the afternoon on both days, more especially for Austria, snow levels 1200m midday, down by 500m, by evening.

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Next Week
Drier Monday perhaps more general precipitation for Western areas Tuesday into Wednesday, with afternoon showers again developing further east, snow level 1200m midday, dropping back to 500m or so evening/overnight.

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Showery precipitation again developing for Southern areas Thursday and Friday, some of the showers heavy and prolonged, snow levels upto 1500m midday, dropping rapidly back to 500m for evening/overnight.

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Snow Amounts
Some topups can be expected, but less than recently generally, perhaps 25-50cm possible in some parts of Austria.

Summary

A drier and sunnier week over the Alps, but recent heavy snow should mean good conditions. The overnight very low temperatures and spring sunshine , should mean freeze thaw conditions, so a little icy for the morning and slushy for the afternoon, however better conditions expected on the higher slopes, say above 1500m.

But overall a good week to go skiing, but take your sun cream.

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