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Alps Ski and Snow Forecast Blog issued 20 February 2016

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J10

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Synoptic Summary and Current Conditions

The conditions over the Alps over the past week have been the best over the Alps generally for this season, with good snow cover and fresh snow over many resorts.

Currently looking rather mild over the Alps with winds for a westerly direction.

Charts - Saturday to Tuesday

A rather tricky position to gauge the Alps weather for this forthcoming week, it is set to tune much colder over much of North Europe, but current models suggest that it should remain milder for the Alps at least to start the week.

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Charts - Wednesday to Friday

The same split in the weather between the colder weather to the north and the milder weather to the south. it does seems likely that it will turn colder from the north, with the models below, probably on the milder side of the models, in comparison ECM has it colder generally towards the weekend. As a result there is a lot of uncertainty as to where the dividing line will be.

56c855bb97e12_Alps20Feb4Day.thumb.JPG.5d56c855c7d7f3c_Alps20Feb5Day.thumb.JPG.8056c855d48e628_Alps20Feb6Day.thumb.JPG.a9

Alps Detail

Saturday – A quite mild Westerly flow, remaining cooler in East
850Hpa temps -4c to -1c and FL 800m to 1200m (Austria and Eastern Alps)
850Hpa temps -1c to +4c and FL 1500m to 2100m (France, Switzerland and Western Alps)

Sunday –  Much milder for all parts
850Hpa temps +3c to +4c and FL 2200m to 2400m (Germany and Northern parts of Austria)
850Hpa temps +4c to +7c and FL 2400m to 3000m (France, Italy and Southern parts of Austria and Switzerland)

Monday – Mild with Westerly winds and a Tropical Maritime airmass
850Hpa temps +4c to +7c (generally, +2c to +4c locally) and FL 2800m to 3200m (France,

56c855db927fa_Alps20FebEurope.thumb.JPG.56c855e2e04d4_Alps20FebEurope1.thumb.JPGAlps 20 Feb Europe +2.JPG

Tuesday – Turning colder from the North West
850Hpa temps 0c to +3c and FL 1400m to 2000m (Germany, Austria, most of Switzerland and France)
850Hpa temps +4c to +6c and FL 1800m to 2200m (S Switzerland and NW Italy)

Wednesday – Easterly winds, mild to the south, cold to the North
850Hpa temps -4c to -2c and FL 600m to 1000m (Northern parts of Austria and Switzerland, Southern Germany)
850Hpa temps -3c to +1c and FL 1400m to 1800m (Central Austria and Switzerland)
850Hpa temps +2c to +6c and FL 2000m to 2400m (Southern Austria and Switzerland, Italy)

56c855f49d9af_Alps20FebEurope3.thumb.JPG56c855fc59ff9_Alps20FebEurope4.thumb.JPG

Thursday – Easterly winds, mild to the south, cold to the North
850Hpa temps -6c to -3c and FL 600m to 1000m (Northern parts of Austria and Switzerland, Southern Germany)
850Hpa temps -2c to +2c and FL 1200m to 1800m (Central Austria and Switzerland)
850Hpa temps +2c to +4c and FL 1600m to 2200m (Southern Austria and Switzerland, Italy)

Friday – Winds from a general Easterly direction
850Hpa temps -4c to -2c and FL 600m to 1000m (Northern parts of Austria and Switzerland, Southern Germany)
850Hpa temps -2c to +2c and FL 1400m to 2000m (Central and Southern Austria and Switzerland, Italy)

56c8560387848_Alps20FebEurope5.thumb.JPG56c8560b0ee30_Alps20FebEurope6.thumb.JPG

Precipitation

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Some heavy precipitation seem likely over the Alps, over this weekend, with milder weather spreading in it seems that snow will be reserved to over 1800m, with over 20cm of snow possible.

Thereafter apart from some patchy precipitation for Monday. It does seem likely that further precipitation seem likely from around Wednesday, with snow down to lower levels, possibly 1200m-1500m but this is very uncertain, depending on how far south the cold weather pushes.

Snowfall
Snowfall totals 20mm possible over 2000m this weekend.

56c85ce6e4204_AlpsPrecip20Feb-noon.thumb56c85cea472de_AlpsPrecip21Feb-6am.thumb.56c85ced47319_AlpsPrecip23Feb-6am.thumb.

Snowfall totals over 25cm possible over 1500m from Wednesday to Friday.

56c85cf0af2aa_AlpsPrecip24Feb-3am.thumb.56c85cf3d2a37_AlpsPrecip25Feb-noon.thumb

Summary
A mixed week over the Alps, with rising and falling temperatures, Unsettled this weekend and towards next weekend.

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