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Alps Ski and Snow Forecast Blog issued 12 February 2016

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J10

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Current Synoptics and Conditions

Some heavy snow fell over the past week in parts of the Alps, with very heavy snow at high altitude towards the west, with some rain at times on lower slopes.

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Synoptics Ongoing

Rather unsettled to start the weekend, with winds for the West to South West, turning a little milder for a time Sunday. Into next week remaining unsettled with winds from the North East and turning a little colder. A little uncertainty towards the weekend, winds currently from a general Easterly direction, but either South Easterly or North Easterly, depending on this it may be cool or cold. the forecast temps below are based on the cool option.

Charts - Saturday to Tuesday

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Charts - Wednesday to Friday

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Alps Detail

Saturday – A cool West to South Westerly flow
850Hpa temps 0c to +2c and FL 1400m to 1800m (all except Eastern Austria)
850Hpa temps -3c to 0c and FL 1000m to 1400m (Germany, E and NE Austria)

Sunday –  Milder to start, then colder from the North West
850Hpa temps +1c to +5c and FL 1400m to 2200m (all except NW Alps)
850Hpa temps -1c to +1c and FL 1000m to 1400m (SW Germany, NW Switzerland)

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Monday – Cooler Winds From East to North East, coldest NW, mildest South East
850Hpa temps -5c to -1c and FL 800m to 1200m (Northern parts of Austria and Switzerland, Southern Germany )
850Hpa temps -1c to +3c and FL 1400m to 1800m (Elsewhere)

Tuesday – Winds From East to South East, coldest NW, mildest South East
850Hpa temps -5c to -1c and FL 800m to 1200m (Northern parts of Austria and Switzerland, Southern Germany )
850Hpa temps -1c to +4c and FL 1500m to 2100m (Elsewhere)

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Wednesday – Turning colder from the North West
850Hpa temps -3c to -1c and FL 800m to 1200m (Northern parts of Austria and Switzerland, Southern Germany )
850Hpa temps 0c to +2c and FL 1200m to 1800m (Elsewhere)

Thursday – coldest NW, mildest South East
850Hpa temps -3c to -1c and FL 800m to 1200m (Northern parts of Austria and Switzerland, Southern Germany )
850Hpa temps 0c to +3c and FL 1400m to 2200m (Elsewhere)

Friday – Winds veering North Easterly and turning a little colder
850Hpa temps -5c to -3c and FL 800m to 1200m (Northern parts of Austria and Switzerland, Southern Germany )
850Hpa temps -2c to +3c and FL 1400m to 1800m (Elsewhere)

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Total Precipitation
With low pressure over or close to the Alps, it is set to be an unsettled with periods of snow most days. While there are set to be heavy bursts of precipitation, most of this will be persistent as op;posed to heavy. As a result precipitation totals are set to be lower than last week generally, with 30mm-50mm widespread, upto 100mm over Southern parts of Switzerland, and under 25mm over NE Austria.

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Possibly a little drier towards next weekend.

Total Snowfall (Estimates)
Above 1500m it looks as if it will be an all snow event, Snow Totals 50cm generally, 1m locally in parts of Switzerland, up to 25cm in Eastern Austria.
1250m-1500m Rain/Snow mix this weekend, thereafter a snow event 30cm generally, 50cm locally in parts of Switzerland, up to 15cm in Eastern Austria.
1000m-1250m Mostly rain this weekend, with a rain/snow mix thereafter, with upto 25cm of snow possible in places.

Summary
An unsettled and snowy week for the higher Alps. SNnowfalls probably not as heavy last week, however lower freezing levels means more in the way of medium slopes snow.

12 Feb Rhgfs16814.gif

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