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January 2015 Forecast

Zenarcher

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Hi everyone, well its that time of the month again when I release my monthly forecast. My winter forecast released back in November seems to be doing okay at the moment you can still read it here [url="https://forum.netweather.tv/blog/227/entry-4843-winter-2014-2015-forecast-december-to-march/"]https://forum.netweather.tv/blog/227/entry-4843-winter-2014-2015-forecast-december-to-march/[/url] Anyway here are my latest thoughts on January 2015.

Made using the CFS long range model along with the Climate Simulator.

[b]Rainfall[/b] - Ireland, Wales and Western parts of Scotland and England will see above average rainfall while the Eastern coasts of Scotland and Ireland see average rainfall.

[attachment=235384:janrain.png]

[b]Temperature[/b] - It's expected to be average for most of the month however the Southern Coasts of England may see some short milder spells.

[attachment=235385:jantemp.png]

[b]Pressure Patterns[/b] - Low pressure will mainly be over the UK during January however it doesn't look to be strong so high pressure may move in from time to time. High pressure is expected to sit to our far North, South and North West though which I think is something that will come into play at the very end of the month.

[attachment=235386:janpressure.png]

[b]Overall Summary[/b] - Like I said in my winter forecast the first half of January will stay on the colder side but it will be mostly very wet and windy with some very unsettled and stormy bring high winds and large amounts of rainfall especially for those in the West. The second half of January see's the Atlantic lose strength as a blocked pattern begins to develop but won't be fully in place until the final few days of the month. This will give the second half of January a more settled spell of weather with frosts and ice being widespread. Temperatures on a whole are expected to be close to average overall we may see some mild weather develop in the first half of the month with the unsettled weather but the temperatures should remain close or just below average in the second half. It's expected to be a very wet first half to the month for most places so flooding may become an issue and for the second half the rainfall looks average.

[b]Too Long Didn't Read Version[/b] - Temperatures mainly average. Rainfall mostly very wet in the West average elsewhere. Low pressure mainly in control but blocking pattern expected to arrive in the final part of the month.

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