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Weather guide Monday 14th to Sunday 20th July 2014

TonyH

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[size=4][font=arial][b][b]Headline: Mostly dry with sunny spells, becoming very warm but local thunderstorms; cooler unsettled weekend[/b] [/b][/font][/size]

[size=4][font=arial][color=rgb(0,0,0)]Although there were some showers last week, overall it was another reasonably dry week. Tuesday saw fairly widespread showers, but even then some areas missed them completely, not so the Aldridge area of the West Midlands where there torrential thunderstorms caused quite serious but highly localised flooding. Temperatures close to average although rather cool at times early last week with the NW breeze. The East Midlands narrowly escaped a soaking on Thursday, with the nearby Fenlands having a cool wet day, while places such as Leicester and Nottingham just 40 miles west had a warm sunny one! Highs on a generally warm Thursday then included 24.7c at Pershore, 24.3c Church Lawford and 22.5c Mumbles. Saturday was the warmest day of the year so far over much of the Midlands, with maxima between 24 and 26c, West Wales in contrast was cloudy and drizzly with temperatures below 20c. Noticeably milder by night this weekend, it has not dropped below 12c in most places, and last night some spots stayed above 15c.[/color]

[color=rgb(0,0,0)]It has cooled off for today Sunday, but the warmth is set to return this week, especially over the Midlands where 27c 81f is likely come Thursday, but we get some thunderstorms in places before it cools off in time for the weekend. Sunday afternoon and a scattering of showers over the Midlands, but mostly dry for West Wales with sunny intervals. Highs between 18 and 21c. Dry and fresher tonight minima around 10c. A transient ridge of high pressure moves away during Monday with weak fronts moving into Wales, this means a largely dry day with sunny intervals for the Midlands and maxima around 22c, so quite warm here, but after a bright start clouding over for West Wales (WW) even with a little rain or drizzle about during the late afternoon and evening, highs nearer 19 or 20c here. High pressure building to our south on Tuesday but still some weak weather fronts to contend with. Variable cloud as a consequence of these fronts and perhaps the odd spot of rain or even shower popping off, but with sunny breaks developing as we go through the day. Temperatures a rather humid 21 or 22c, even a 24c where decent sunny spells occur. A mild night to follow, no lower than 13c. [/color]

[color=rgb(0,0,0)]A decent ridge of high pressure over southern Britain on Wednesday which is another largely dry day, more in the way of sunshine too, so a warm day everywhere, highs between 22 and 25c, best for the Midlands, and cooler along some coasts with sea breezes. Thursday could be the warmest day of the week with a drag of very warm, humid air from off the Continent. Plenty of sunshine and temperatures responding well with the ambient heat, so maxima in the 24 to 28c range, hottest over the Midlands. Some sharp showers and localised thunderstorms breaking out later in the day and especially for the evening as a heat low approaches from Spain or France. Some of us seeing flashes of lightning or catching a storm then during Thursday night, along with some very heavy bursts of rain. Quite a sticky night too, no lower than 15c for towns, cities and some coasts. [/color]

[color=rgb(0,0,0)]The storms may not have succeeded in clearing the air though as it looks like another warm or very warm day on Friday. There will be sunny spells and some further showers and thunderstorms, but some places escape dry as is typical in showery set ups. Highs somewhere between 22 and 27c on Friday. It does though cool down by Saturday and the weekend looks quite unsettled with low pressure close by our NW, so cooler and breezy with showers and some longer spells of rain. Still rather warm for the Midlands perhaps next Saturday but rather cool everywhere by Sunday highs of 18 to 21c. Looking further out and the rest of July appears somewhat unsettled too but warm at times, so not so bad![/color]
[color=rgb(0,0,0)][color=rgb(34,34,34)][attachment=218551:PPVG89 dry warm Mids drizzle pm WW MON.png][attachment=218552:PPVJ89 m dry sunny ints TU r warm.png][/color][color=rgb(34,34,34)][attachment=218553:ecmt850.072 H builds over S TU.png][/color][color=rgb(34,34,34)][attachment=218554:PPVL89 m dry warm WE.png][/color][color=rgb(34,34,34)][attachment=218555:ecmt850.096 m dry warm We.png][/color][color=rgb(34,34,34)][attachment=218556:PPVO89 very warm TH.png][/color][color=rgb(34,34,34)][attachment=218561:ukmaxtemp very warm or hot TH.png][/color][color=rgb(34,34,34)][attachment=218557:ecmt850.120 hot humid thundery showers later TH to FR.png][/color][color=rgb(34,34,34)][attachment=218558:ecmt850.144 warm showery FR.png][/color][color=rgb(34,34,34)][attachment=218559:h850t850eu warm showery FR.png][/color][color=rgb(34,34,34)][attachment=218560:ecmt850.168 weekend cooler showers lsr.png][/color][color=rgb(34,34,34)][attachment=218562:prcpWarwickshire unsettled FR SA.png][/color][color=rgb(34,34,34)][attachment=218563:prmslWarwickshire more unsettled by next weekend.png][/color][color=rgb(34,34,34)][attachment=218564:t850West~Midlands mostly a warm week.png][attachment=218565:mgram_Birmingham.png][/color][/color][/font][/size]


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