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Weather guide Monday 7th to Sunday 13th July 2014

TonyH

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[font=Helvetica][b]Headline: Sunny spells and a few showers; wet in places Thursday; warm with thundery shower potential next weekend[/b][/font]

[font=Helvetica][color=rgb(0,0,0)]June 2014 was a rather warm month with variable but generally below average rainfall, just a few spots in the Midlands being wetter than normal due to localised downpours[/color][color=rgb(0,0,0)] [/color][color=rgb(0,0,0)]towards the end of the month. Some monthly totals:[/color][/font]

[font=Helvetica][color=rgb(0,0,0)]Long Lawford, Warwickshire 78.1mm[/color]
[color=rgb(0,0,0)]Church Lawford, Warwickshire 67.0mm [/color]
[color=rgb(0,0,0)]Bablake School, Coventry 48mm[/color]
[color=rgb(0,0,0)]Llanwnnen, Ceredigion 58.5mm[/color]
[color=rgb(0,0,0)]Trawsgoed, Ceredigion 54.8mm[/color]
[color=rgb(0,0,0)]Pembrey Sands, Carmarthenshire 39.6mm[/color]
[color=rgb(0,0,0)]Llanelli, Carmarthenshire 34.8mm[/color]

[color=rgb(0,0,0)]Some reasonably warm weather last week with sunny spells, nothing spectacular again temperature-wise, highest readings being 24.8c Llanwnnen and 24.2c Porthmadog on Tuesday, 23.9c at Wellesbourne and 23.8c Church Lawford, both Warwickshire on Thursday. Thursday was rather cloudy and drizzly over West Wales while the Midlands had another warm day with sunny intervals. On Friday it was wet across Wales, but still mostly dry and warm for the Midlands, while it reached 29c in SE England, the hottest of the Summer to date. It has not been a bad weekend with only a few showers about. Sunday night was very cool over parts of Wales, here it fell to 3.2c, one of the coolest July nights I have recorded.[/color]

[color=rgb(0,0,0)]Another week with a fair bit of generally dry and rather warm weather although there will be some rain or showers about too, the warmest weather may coincide with next weekend. Sunny spells and a few scattered showers on Sunday afternoon, if you do catch one it could be very heavy with a clap of thunder. Highs of 19 to 21c, close to the early July average. Another cool night with clear periods, some rural spots getting down to around 5c. A few showers continuing for western coasts. A shallow low is centred close to Scotland early this week, so the overall showery theme continues, however many of us escaping with very few showers and some stay completely dry, but where they occur they give heavy downpours with the chance of thunder. Decent sunny spells between any showers and so feeling quite warm in these with temperatures up to 19 to 21c again and only light winds. Another largely clear and cool night to follow, most places getting below 10c. High pressure attempts to ridge in from the SW during Tuesday but may not prevent some more showers from developing, there will be further pleasant sunny intervals, maxima 18 to 21c, so not bad with many places having an essentially dry day bar the odd shower. We are in a kind of weather 'No Man's Land' mid week as the UK sits between various weather fronts and ridges of high pressure. Sunny intervals and generally dry again on Wednesday, just the outside chance of a shower, and familiar temperatures of 18 to 21c, although we may notice the northerly breeze freshening through the day. [/color]

[color=rgb(0,0,0)]A pincer movement of fronts gradually advancing from both west and east during Thursday, but as these are moving into relatively higher pressure over us, the energy tends to get squeezed out. However still enough frontal energy extant to produce some localised areas of rain or showers, these perhaps thundery, and no doubt some areas see more in the way cloud on Thursday. Variable temperatures due to the patchy nature of the cloud, rain/ showers on Thursday, a warm 23c where sunny breaks occur, but a cool 17c where wet, difficult to specify who gets what though! To hazard a guess would be a scenario in which rain or showers affect the East Midlands Thursday afternoon with West Wales more likely to have a fine and warm day...[/color]

[color=rgb(0,0,0)]Our weather remains in an indecisive vein for the end of the week and indeed next weekend, the only certainty seems that we are in a warmer air mass by then. For Friday and the weekend then, the stab is for warm and quite sticky weather, oft-times dry but with the threat of some thundery showers. Maxima in the 21 to 26c range, with sticky night for coasts, towns and cities where it may not fall lower than 15c. [/color]
[color=rgb(0,0,0)][attachment=218081:PPVG89 scattered showers MO.png][attachment=218079:ecmt850.048 rather unsettled MO TU.png][attachment=218082:h850t850eu few showers near ave.png][attachment=218083:PPVL89 NML m dry.png][attachment=218084:h850t850eu rain threat form E TH.png][attachment=218080:ecmt850.120 NML Thu squeezed out fronts.png][attachment=218085:ecmt850.168 warm weekend threat of thundery showers times.png][attachment=218086:h850t850eu warm sultry weekend some thundery showers.png][attachment=218087:prcpWest~Midlands greater rain threat weekend.png][attachment=218088:prmslWest~Midlands indifferent pressures.png][attachment=218089:t850West~Midlands warmer mass from FR.png][attachment=218090:mgram_Birmingham.png][/color][/font]


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I notice you haven't put up a monthly weather thread this month?

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No shall I bother? Just a test to see if anyone was bothered to start it!

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I understand, it's a pity only a few contribute. I always find it interesting, and it's fun to add my entry to the thread. I don't mind starting it off if you prefer ( it'll have to be on Friday when I have more time )  but I think the others that are usually part of it may be waiting for you to begin it.

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Love the term "pincer movement of fronts" by the way :)

( Word and term totally new to me..will use some time !)

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Ok you have twisted my arm I will belatedly start one, thanks re my terminology, I like to experiment, I enjoy writing!

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Some places were wet Thursday. just not the regions I cover..not quite..East Midlands narrowly escaped warm and sunny! Inch of rain Lincs.

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