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Weather guide Monday 16th to Saturday 22nd June 2014

TonyH

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[color=rgb(0,0,0)][font=Helvetica][b]Headline: Mostly dry bar the odd shower; sunny spells, rather warm to Thursday then cooler[/b][/font][/color]

[color=rgb(0,0,0)][font=Helvetica]A showery start to last week, the West Midlands in particular getting some thunderstorms on Monday with a few more on Tuesday. Generally dry though since Wednesday, and some warm and sunny weather on Thursday and Friday, although a few places caught a shower later Friday. Highest temperatures last week were 23 to 25c over the West Midlands, and 20 to 22c over West Wales (WW) on Friday. Saturday was particularly warm at Pembrey, Carmarthenshire where the temperature reached over 23c. A few parts of the Midlands caught showers on Saturday too, but it was a generally dry day.[/font][/color]

[color=rgb(0,0,0)][font=Helvetica]Plenty more dry and reasonably warm weather in the week ahead too, variable cloud but with decent sunny spells at times, especially over WW. Cooler for Friday and the weekend, but still a mainly dry and bright picture. Sunday a pleasant day, rather cloudy at times, especially the Midlands but with some sunny spells, Pembrokeshire faring well. Fairly warm highs between 19 and 21c. Just the chance of a shower for a few spots. Mostly dry and quite mild tonight. On Monday high pressure remains close to NW UK with a fairly gentle NE flow over us. The Midlands may be troubled by areas of cloud coming from off the North Sea at times, but there should be some sunny intervals, while WW sees decent sunny spells and has a warm day. Highs around 18c for the cloudier East Midlands and 22c for parts of sunnier WW. It should stay dry everywhere on Monday. Very similar weather on Tuesday too, dry, some sunshine especially for WW, where it will be warmest, highs ranging from 19c East Midlands to 22 or 23c WW. Quite a fresh NE breeze for the East Midlands. More of the same on Wednesday as well, dry and warm with sunny spells, best for the West Midlands and WW, areas of cloud coming into the East Midlands from the North Sea at times. Temperatures reaching 19 to 21c for the Midlands and 22 or 23c for WW. Just the chance of an isolated afternoon or evening shower, but 90% of us stay dry again. Nights through this early part of the week reasonably mild with minima largely in the 8 to 12c bracket.[/font][/color]

[color=rgb(0,0,0)][font=Helvetica]High pressure still close by to the west of Ireland on Thursday, so a generally dry picture once more. Sunny spells and rather warm for most areas, highs 20 to 23c, although it may turn cooler later in the day as a weak cold front moves down from the north, this feature also may set off a few showers afternoon and evening. Perhaps a cooler, fresher night to follow with clear spells. HIgh pressure still quite close by to the west for Friday and probably next weekend too. So the generally dry theme set to continue bar the odd shower or two, these more especially affecting the East Midlands. Cooler on Friday highs in the 17 to 20c range and something of a northerly breeze, especially over the Midlands. Sunny spells for most. Mostly dry and bright then next weekend with temperatures near or a little below the late June average (which is 18 to 20c). The potential in what will be quite a cool air mass of some chilly nights, GFS model shows a local ground frost for Saturday night giving lows of an unlikely 1c over the Welsh Marches![/font][/color]
[color=rgb(0,0,0)][font=Helvetica][attachment=216356:PPVG89 m dry some sun Mo.png][attachment=216357:ecmt850.048 dry SS MO Tu warm W.png][attachment=216358:PPVL89 SS warm in W.png][attachment=216359:h850t850eu SS r warm Tu.png][attachment=216360:PPVO89 m dry r warm again Th.png][attachment=216361:ecmt850.120 warm SS Th.png][attachment=216362:metslp.120 cooling late Th.png][attachment=216363:ecmt850.168 cooler m dry WEND few showers Mids.png][attachment=216364:ukmintemp local GF Sat night.png][attachment=216365:prcpWarwickshire m dry week odd shower.png][attachment=216366:prmslWarwickshire H all week m dry.png][attachment=216367:t850Warwickshire warm to TH then r cool.png][attachment=216368:mgram_Birmingham.png][/font][/color]

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