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Weather guide Monday 19th May to Spring Bank Holiday 2014

TonyH

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[color=rgb(0,0,0)][font=Helvetica][b]Unsettled, showery rain at times; warm to average temperatures[/b][/font][/color]

[color=rgb(0,0,0)][font=Helvetica]Last week was mostly dry at least after the showers early in the week. Most places warmed up mid week, with some quite high temperatures for May. The past 3 days all exceeded 21c here at Llanwnnen, while Pershore, Worcestershire was the warmest in the UK on Friday at 23c, and with many parts of the Midlands reached 21c to 23c on Friday and Saturday. However some places also had a barely noticeable ground frost or two during the week, here Saturday it started off at a chilly 2.3c to remind us it is still only Spring! In contrast the past 3 nights in Coventry have not dropped below 9c. Unsettled in the coming week as low pressure takes hold but with respectable temperatures. Not straightforward to detail this week's weather, and especially rainfall distribution, with a static low close to our shores all week, and so quite a bit of variation to be expected between our regions some days, particularly this may be applicable to Thursday.[/font][/color]

[color=rgb(0,0,0)][font=Helvetica]Warm again on Sunday, clouding over this afternoon for West Wales (WW) while some good sunny spells still for the Midlands if turning more hazy. Quite a windy afternoon for WW, just the chance of a shower by this evening. Highs 20 to 23c inland, best for the Midlands. A diffuse area of low pressure to our west forms a centre close to SW England on Monday. We are still in a warm SE feed of air from off the Continent and for the Midlands it may be another dry and warm day with some sunshine. For Wales though, showery outbreaks of rain on and off through the day, some heavy bursts and the chance of thunder. Some warm sunny intervals also. Parts of the Midlands also catching a sharp shower or two on Monday, but some decent sunny intervals here. Maxima around 19c for WW and 22c for the Midlands and light winds. A very mild night to follow some places not dropping below 12c. The same low still close by our SW on Tuesday, a cold front slowly edging NE with showery rain and perhaps thunder. Locally some spots catching heavy downpours in a short period, but very hit and miss in nature the showers on Tuesday. Still some sunny intervals, but generally a rather cloudy day, quite warm and humid feeling though highs 18 to 21c. The showers clear to a fresher night, although not expecting the ground frost that GFS is showing so expect lows around 5c in the countryside, higher for towns, cities and coasts. Difficulty in detail with this slack lowish pressure set up prevailing, but Wednesday perhaps not a bad day, we may miss the worst of the showers! Sunny intervals, the odd shower if you are unlucky and reasonably warm again, highs 18 to 21c. More in the way of showery rain a possibility for Wednesday evening, with a chance of thunder.[/font][/color]

[color=rgb(0,0,0)][font=Helvetica]Still a messy picture chart wise for Thursday, although the signals are for it to be the wettest day of the week. Hard to say where the rain band will lie, but for some areas a wet period in prospect on Thursday. Highs just 14c where it rains a lot, and 17c where there are sunny intervals and it is relatively dry, so a cooler day all around. Although pressure is undergoing a rise by next Friday, low pressure is still close enough to the NW for showers and possible longer spells of rain at times. There should be some decent dry, brighter interludes too over the Spring Bank Holiday weekend between the showers, as always in such set ups some areas escape the worst and wonder what all the fuss is about! Temperatures in the region of the seasonal average over the weekend with highs anticipated in the 15 to 20c range.[/font][/color]
[color=rgb(0,0,0)][font=Helvetica][attachment=213330:PPVG89 showery esp WW warm Mon.png][attachment=213331:ecmt850.072 showery rain warm Tu.png][attachment=213332:PPVJ89 warm showery rain, local downpours Tu.png][attachment=213333:PPVL89 r warm few showers WE.png][attachment=213334:ecmt850.120 wet in places Th.png][attachment=213335:h850t850eu cooler, wet band TH.png][attachment=213336:PPVO89 messy wet in places Th.png][attachment=213337:ecmt850.168 unsettled weekend ave temps.png][attachment=213338:prcpSir~Ceredigion~-~Ceredigion rain at times.png][attachment=213339:prmslSir~Ceredigion~-~Ceredigion pr rise FR.png][attachment=213340:t850Shropshire warmish week ahead.png][attachment=213341:mgram_Birmingham.png][/font][/color]

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