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Weather guide Sunday 10th to Saturday 16th November 2013

TonyH

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[font=arial][size=3][b]Headline: Rain early in the week, becoming much drier with average to cool temperatures and some night frosts[/b][/size][/font]

[font=arial][size=3]Gales affected West Wales last Saturday, gusts of over 80mph recorded at Mumbles near Swansea and 51mph here at a much more sheltered inland Llanwnnen -there were trees brought down, some structural damage and power outages, as well as huge waves! An unsettled week gone with rain at times but also some drier intervals. Most places have picked up between 25 and 50mm rain in the past 7 day, although parts of West Wales had more than this, but not enough to create flooding issues as far as I am aware. Temperatures have been around or a little below average generally and there have been some night frosts, mainly for West Wales and with 5 of the past 7 nights having grass frost at this frost prone location, with an air frost last night down to -1.4c. Very cool across the Midlands on Friday, the 'high' at Coventry just 7.3c and the coldest max of the Season to date [url="https://twitter.com/bablakewx"]https://twitter.com/bablakewx[/url][/size][/font]

[font=arial][size=3]Some showery rain over the Midlands this morning clearing by mid afternoon, while for West Wales Saturday afternoon sees sunny intervals and some showers in places. Highs around 9 or 10c on Saturday. There will be a longer spell of rain this evening for mid and south Wales but this should miss most of the Midlands. Then clearing skies lead to a widespread ground frost overnight, and as with last night a few spots creeping below zero. A fine frosty start to Sunday and for the Midlands there will be plenty of sunshine all day. For West Wales it clouds over through the afternoon with rain into Pembrokeshire by sunset. Quite a cool day though no higher than 9 or 10c during the daytime. A rather wet and windy evening and night across Wales - the rain reaching the Midands in the early hours. A warm sector eventually arrives during Sunday night and so temperatures rise after midnight to 10 to 13c by dawn, mildest over SW Wales. A cloudy Monday morning with further rain and drizzle at times, this clears West Wales around lunchtime but may linger over the Midlands to the end of the afternoon. MIld and breezy on Monday, maxima in the 12 to 14c range. Another pulse of rain may affect Wales and the Midlands on Monday night but this is not certain. [/size][/font]

[font=arial][size=3]For Tuesday high pressure is ridging in from the SW so a mainly dry and bright day is expected with sunny spells but we are in cooler, fresher air once more so maxima no better than 11c for most. Clearing skies on Tuesday night with a widespread ground frost and even a touch of air frost in a few spots where it gets down to -1c. A belt of high pressure is over southern most England on Wednesday with low pressure passing north of Scotland. Generally speaking another dry day with sunny intervals and a touch milder perhaps highs at around 11c but not feeling it with a freshening westerly wind. Fronts associated with the low to the north affect West Wales later in the day with rain in places here by evening but staying dry for most of the Midlands. There could be a little rain overnight for the Midlands too, but clear spells and some blustery showers for West Wales.Thursday and we lie between high pressure to the SW and low over Scandinavia, a mostly dry, bright and quite cool day with a brisk NW breeze, temperatures only managing 9 or 10c. There could well be a widespread grass frost at least on Thursday night as the wind drops off. Another marked ridge of high pressure for Friday which should be dry with sunny spells and maxima 9 to 11c after the early frost and perhaps fog patches. [/size][/font]

[font=arial][size=3]No clear signals for next weekend, but probably not so mild and not so wet! [/size][/font]
[font=arial][size=3][attachment=191992:PPVG89 (1) fine m dry Sun.png][attachment=191993:PPVJ89 damp mild Mon.png][attachment=191994:PPVO89 rain later WW Wed.png][attachment=191995:h850t850eu dry most of Wed.png][attachment=191996:PPVL89 dry Tue.png][attachment=191997:ecmt850.144 Th HSW LNE m dry r cool.png][attachment=191998:ecmt850.168 dry prospects R Fri.png][attachment=191999:ecmt850.192 cool some rain next weekend.png][attachment=192000:h850t850eu R dry bright Tue.png][attachment=191999:ecmt850.192 cool some rain next weekend.png][attachment=192000:h850t850eu R dry bright Tue.png][attachment=192001:prcpWarwickshire fairly dry week.png][attachment=192003:mgram_Birmingham m dry from Tue.png][/size][/font]


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