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Weather guide Monday 1st to Sunday 7th July 2013

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TonyH

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[font=arial][size=3][b]Headline: Rather unsettled and cool, rain at times mainly mid week; fine and warm from Friday[/b][/size][/font]

[font=arial][size=3]Some pleasant sunny spells last week, although Thursday, and in some places Friday too, turned out disappointing with quite a drop of rain, and wetter and cooler than anticipated in the previous guide. Ceredigion was the coldest part of the UK on Monday night, with lows of 2c at Swyddffynnon and Llanwnnen and a grass frost - yes in late June! June 2013 has been fairly dry but slightly cool overall, rainfall figures:[/size][/font]

[font=arial][size=3]Llanwnnen: 53mm[/size][/font]
[font=arial][size=3]Rugby: 33mm[/size][/font]
[font=arial][size=3]Coventry: 56mm one of a few locally average spots![/size][/font]

[font=arial][size=3]Another somewhat changeable week ahead, some, but not an awful lot of rain at times, and temperatures mostly on the cool side for July. Average maxima for July are as follows and as warm as they will get during the course of a year:[/size][/font]

[font=arial][size=3]Lampeter: 20c[/size][/font]
[font=arial][size=3]Aberystwyth: 20c[/size][/font]
[font=arial][size=3]Coventry: 22c[/size][/font]

[font=arial][size=3]Although a cloudy start in places on Sunday, sunshine is breaking through, and we should all be seeing warm sunny spells through this afternoon, although coastal West Wales cloudier and cooler, even some drizzle in places here. Highs on Sunday afternoon ranging from 24c for the East Midlands to 17c for Pembrokeshire coasts. A weakening front brings cloud to all of us this evening, again with drizzle in places, then overnight clear intervals develop and a cooler fresher night, lows of 9 to 11c. A weak ridge of high pressure follows for Monday, a bright, cool day with a westerly breeze, sunny intervals and the odd light shower, although SW Wales could end up with a nice, sunny evening. Highs on Monday just 15c for coastal West Wales and 18c for the Midlands. Dry and quite cool on Monday night with lows around 9c. Turning unsettled for the mid week period as Atlantic lows march across towards Scotland. Fronts bringing rain to Wales from early Tuesday morning, this spreading into Midlands by midday, although this may turn lighter and patchy through the afternoon, before a wet evening for West Wales. Cool with all the cloud on Tuesday, highs of just 14c or so for West Wales, but 18c for the Midlands, where a few brighter chinks may occur. Further rain at times through Tuesday night, much of it quite light though. Quite a strong SW wind for Tuesday evening and night, especially over western coasts.[/size][/font]

[font=arial][size=3]One low is moving away on Wednesday with another hard on its heels moving to the NW of Ireland. A bit messy, various fronts and bits and pieces of rain or drizzle, equally some sunshine in places and feeling muggy over the Midlands, highs again showing the west: east disparity, ranging from 16c for coastal Wales to 20c over parts of the Midlands. A more appreciable spell of rain and strong winds likely overnight Wednesday into Thursday along the cold front of the system, a possibility the rain could linger a while, but Thursday more likely to eventually be a brighter day of sunny intervals and a few showers. Quite cool again on Thursday highs 16 to 19c west to middle. [/size][/font]

[font=arial][size=3]Improvements from Friday, as high pressure takes charge over the UK, it will be dry and bright with sunny spells, warm over the Midlands, maxima up to 23c, but cooler with onshore breezes keeping it closer to 19c for coasts of West Wales. High pressure looks like remaining in control over next weekend also, so the promise of a fine, reasonably sunny and warm one, potentially very warm by Sunday when 26c may be reached over the Midlands, but refreshing sea breezes for the Welsh coasts, 20c nearer the mark here. The likelihood that it could warm up even further early in the week that follows, into the 80's even![/size][/font]
[attachment=176251:PPVG89 wk R m dry cool Mon.png][attachment=176252:ecmt850.072 rain times Tue.png][attachment=176253:PPVO89 rain to showers Thu windy.png][attachment=176254:ecmt850.120 H moves into Eng dry r warm Fri.png][attachment=176255:h850t850eu mostly settled warm weekend.png][attachment=176256:h850t850eu mostly settled warm weekend.png][attachment=176257:t850Caerdydd~-~Cardiff.png]
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