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Glastonbury Forecast 21 - 27th June

J10

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Remember to keep in touch with the latest updates via the Net Weather twitter account which will publish a link to all new blog posts. This is the penultimate forecast for the festival, with the final one tomorrow.

[b]Thursday 27 June[/b]

The main rain band has just been passed through Glastonbury at time of writing (5.10pm)

[attachment=176042:Glastonbury Radar 3.JPG]

Further patchy rain is expected for the next few hours, with some heavier bit mixed in. This is likely to dampen things down somewhat and may lead to some mud in places, but given the dry ground conditions things should dry up over the weekend. Keep in touch with the latest conditions by looking at the Netweather free radar below.

Link to free Net Weather radar [url="http://www.netweather.tv/secure/cgi-bin/premium.pl?action=radarv6;sess=15e6b621b68dfe2a3be341513d9ffd35"]http://www.netweather.tv/secure/cgi-bin/premium.pl?action=radarv6;sess=15e6b621b68dfe2a3be341513d9ffd35[/url]

[b]Friday 28 June [/b]
The High Pressure is set to be centred to the South West of the UK with winds from a North Westerly direction, and for pressure to be around 1022mb for South Western England, so very similar to what was suggested yesterday. Friday is expected to start rather damp and cloudy with perhaps a little bit of drizzle. The afternoon sees a drying and brightening, with the chance of decent bright/sunny spells into the evening. Big difference in the models for max temps, GFS says 22-23c, the Met Office says 17-18c
Morning Runs (L-R, UKM, ECM, GFS)
[attachment=176026:UKM 27a 24.gif] [attachment=176029:ECM 27a 24.gif] [attachment=176033:GFS 27 06 1.JPG]

Afternoon Runs (L-R, UKM, ECM, GFS)
[attachment=176035:GFS 27 12 1.JPG]
[b]Saturday 29 June[/b]
The High Pressure is set to move closer to the UK on Saturday, with pressure around 1026mb, as a result the fronts are further north than over the past few days, with winds from a West to North West direction.
The air source is Tropical Maritime, so very mild but also damp. As a result a rather damp but warm start to the day, with a lot of cloud, possibly low cloud, during the day this is set to lift, with once again the chance of brighter/sunnier weather as we move into the afternoon/evening. Big difference in the models for max temps again, GFS says 21-22c, the Met Office say 18-19c

Morning Runs (L-R, UKM, ECM, GFS)
[attachment=176025:UKM 27a 48.gif] [attachment=176028:ECM 27a 48.gif] [attachment=176032:GFS 27 06 2.JPG]
Afternoon Runs (L-R, UKM, ECM, GFS)
[attachment=176036:GFS 27 12 2.JPG]

[b]Sunday 29 June[/b]
The High Pressure set to edge back south again with pressure around 1020-1025mb with winds from a general westerly direction. Fronts are set to give Sunday a miss. Sunday looks set to follow the pattern of Friday and Saturday, rather cloudy and damp to start but more in the way of brightness/sunshine in the afternoon with Temps around 20-23c.

Morning Runs (L-R, UKM, ECM, GFS)
[attachment=176024:UKM 27a 72.gif] [attachment=176031:GFS 27 06 3.JPG] [attachment=176027:ECM 27a 72.gif]

Afternoon Runs (L-R, UKM, ECM, GFS)
[attachment=176037:GFS 27 12 3.JPG]

[b]Overall [/b]
The total rainfall chart 00Hz and 12Hz around 4-6mm over the course of the festival, the vast majority of this on Thursday. The ensembles largely in line with the op run.

[attachment=176030:Rmgfs96sum 27 1.gif] [attachment=176034:Rmgfs96sum 27 0.gif] [attachment=176039:GEFS 27a 3.png]
The total rainfall chart shows that after today's rain, the rest of the festival is looking dry.
The ensembles shows the GFS op run is in line with the ensembles for the rest of the festival period.
[attachment=176038:GEFS 27a 2.png]

[b]Summary[/b]
For the rest of the festival, looking damp and cloudy in the morning, but an improving picture during the afternoon and evening, with more in the way of brighter/ sunnier spells and quite warm into each afternoon.
Any mud caused by today's rain is set to be drier out quite quickly over the rest of the festival.

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