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Weather guide Monday 15th to Sunday 21st April 2013

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TonyH

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[b]Headline: Rain at times, breezy, becoming dry late in the week; temperatures around average[/b]

Last week witnessed the passing of the Winter that refused to let go! Near average temperatures for the most part, although the Midlands only warmed slowly. We all have seen some rain of late, although it took until Thursday for measurable rain in my gauge to end the 18 day 'frosty drought' which had parched and dessicated the countryside locally.

A very wet night and Sunday morning for West Wales with over an inch of rain in my rain gauge. In contrast only a little rain for the Midlands today where it is proving to be the warmest day so far this year, into the mid 60's Fahrenheit here, in the warm sector air ahead of the front that is giving Wales all the rain. This rain has now cleared through West Wales to give sunny intervals and the odd shower, while the Midlands gets some showery rain at times the rest of this afternoon, lowering the temperatures.

On Monday a fairly mild SW wind brings plenty of cloud but also sunny intervals. Mainly dry apart from the odd light shower scattered about, highs 13 to 16c. By evening a low pressure is passing close to Ireland and brings rain to Wales with a freshening wind once more. Overnight this mostly light rain spreads to the Midlands as well, quite a mild night lows of 6 or 7c. Tuesday starts with light rain in places, but this soon clears to sunny spells and a few passing showers, a brisk SW breeze and maxima of 12 to 15c. A slight hint of higher pressure kills off any showers to leave clear spells until further cloud spreads from the SW before dawn. The next in the succession of lows arrives over Ireland later on Wednesday, bringing more wet weather, and it could be a washout day for West Wales, as we will be within a rain producing warm sector similar to today's, so the potential for another inch of rain here. The Midlands also seeing some rain at times through Wednesday. Quite a windy day too for Wednesday, cool in the rain for Wales highs just 11c, but up to 14c for the Midlands which is around to the mid April mean.

By Thursday the low is over Scandinavia with a cooler showery NW airstream, noticeably cooler for the Midlands with highs 11 or 12c. The showers die out Thursday night with a touch of ground frost in places. For Friday high pressure is close to our SW, so a fine if not especially warm day with decent sunshine, highs of 12 to 14c. High pressure over England on Saturday so a largely sunny day after a slight frost at dawn. Temperatures higher on Saturday reaching a respectable 13 to 17c. Unfortunately it does not look as though our end of week high will hang around, because through Sunday it starts to turn more unsettled again, with westerly winds arriving from a deep low close to Iceland, this looking set to bring rain bands and wind into the week that follows.
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