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Weather guide Monday 17th to Sunday 23rd December 2012 (W Wales and Midlands only)

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TonyH

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[b]Headline: Unsettled with rain and wind at times; rather cold to mild temperatures[/b][/size][/font]

[font=arial, sans-serif][size=3]A decent cold snap last week. The Midlands was especially cold due to persistent freezing fog, this meant that Coventry failed to top 0c on both Tuesday and Wednesday, while at least west Wales enjoyed plenty of albeit chilly sunshine.[/size][/font][b] [/b][font=arial, sans-serif][size=3]Night-wise, Llanwnnen got down to -7.4c on Tuesday (not quite as low as the -7.5c recorded on November 29th), while the lowest on Wednesday night in Coventry was -5.2c and -6c at Church Lawford, Warwickshire. At least it remained largely dry through to Friday. A milder, unsettled outlook now, and this pattern could well last through to Christmas, so a White one looking very unlikely this year![/size][/font]
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Useful websites:

[url="http://bws.users.netlink.co.uk/"]http://bws.users.netlink.co.uk/[/url]
[url="http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/wm/church_lawford_latest_weather.html"]http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/wm/church_lawford_latest_weather.html[/url]

Ground frost in places to start off Monday. Low pressure fills up over northern Britain during Monday, which will see some showers once more for many places, although a few spots escaping. Decent sunny spells between the shower clouds coming along, with a moderate westerly breeze, and not cold. Showers die out to leave clear periods and a ground frost for Monday night as a ridge approaches the west. It could be foggy to start on Tuesday. Between lows Tuesday so a dry dry and sunny day once any fog clears, but rather cold maxima of 5 to 7c. Another frost setting in during the evening especially for the Midlands, as west Wales may start to cloud over with a strengthening wind.
[attachment=149043:PPVG89 showers Mon.png][attachment=149044:ecmt850.072 dry chilly Tue.png]

Active fronts from a deep Atlantic system brings mild, wet and windy weather through Wednesday and Thursday, certainly enough heavy rain to present further flooding issues in places. Temperatures reaching 10 or 11c during Thursday morning, before the cold front comes through. Rain turning more showery perhaps through Thursday afternoon. On the balance of things Friday looks a day of sunny intervals and showers, heavy in places with hail, and colder, maxima 7 or 8c, which happens to be average for mid December.
[attachment=149045:PPVM89 mild wet windy Wed.png][attachment=149046:ecmt850.096 wet Wed to Thu.png][attachment=149048:met.120 showery colder Fri.png][attachment=149049:ecmt850.120 showery Fri.png]

Next weekend looking mild and disturbed as further deep depressions pass to our west, bringing more bouts of heavy rain and flood risks to already saturated floodplains. As for Christmas Day? My guess is that it will see further strong winds and rain at times, and definitely no snow.
[attachment=149050:ecmt850.168 more wind rain weekend.png][attachment=149051:Rtavn2281 Christmas Day.png][/size][/font]
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A spot on forecast , looking at tonights charts and data i dont think it will be far out ,but as for christmas day TONY H you are very brave but it is heading in that direction time will tell ,i enjoy your input .

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No frost or fog this morning as low reluctant to edge away from the east with cloud around it, at least the sun is coming out!

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