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Weather Guide Monday 26th March To Sunday April 1st (west Wales And Central Midlands Specific)

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TonyH

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[b]Headline: More dry, very warm and sunny weather. Much cooler next weekend.[/b]

All of us have seen very warm, sunny conditions over recent days, Saturday was exceptionally warm in west Wales, with most of Ceredigion reaching 20 or 21c, this being 9 or 10c above the late March average! Sunday is similarly Summer-like.

More dry, very warm and mainly sunny weather for much of the coming this week. High pressure is currently centred over the North Sea dragging up this warm continental air from the south-east. Over the next few days the high gradually edges west, and is centred over England by Wednesday. Temperatures reaching between 16 and 20c widely, this probably lasting up to Thursday, perhaps even 22c in places, with west Wales most favoured again. Unusually warm for March, and close to, but not quite an all- time UK March record- we need 25c somewhere for that. Fog and low cloud could be problematic over the Midlands on some of the mornings, especially early in the week, just as it has over recent mornings. Rural areas could just about see a touch of ground frost mid week, what with the clear nights being quite lengthy still .
[attachment=132562:brack0 another Ex Warm March day Monday.gif] [attachment=132563:Recm482 Very warm sunny Tue.gif]
[attachment=132564:brack2 H slap bang over UK Wed.gif] [attachment=132565:Rtavn661H over us Wed.png] [attachment=132566:Rtavn8417 very warm spell goes on Wed.png]

Changes from Thursday, with the high shifting west into the Atlantic, this having the effect of switching the wind to a much cooler north-westerly. The cool down should hold off until Friday however. Probably more cloudy on Friday, with sunny intervals and temperatures down closer to average, reaching 12 to 15c.
[attachment=132567:brack4 retrogression cool down imminent.gif] [attachment=132568:Rtavn1021 retro Thu.png] [attachment=132569:H west cooldown Fri.gif]

Next weekend keeps the dry spell going, high pressure remains close to our west, and there will be a chilly north breeze, so much cooler than this weekend, maxima of just 10-12c. Sunny spells by day but could well be slight frosts overnight.
[attachment=132570:Rtavn1501 cool H Sat.png] [attachment=132571:Rtavn15617 much cooler dry Sat.png] [attachment=132572:Recm1682 chilly dry weekend.gif]
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