Winter 2010 Good Or Bad?
As some of you may know, I prefer the much colder months of the year. Particularly when we get the snow, or when we are supposed to at any rate.
This year is really looking interesting. We have a much colder feel to it, much like last year, except its expected to be on average a little colder this time
round.
So far my observations have only started on November 20th, because anything before it just did not interest me from a winter perspective. I.e when i really begin to monitor my back yard weather station gadgets.
So far from my measurements and remember it's still early days yet. Things are really starting to look up for a possible snow filled winter during December. This month on average as been much colder than last year, and certainly colder since November of 2003, which was full of sleet and snow showers on and off by the early start of the month. That winter we ended up with snow lying on the ground on Christmas day. We also had snow on the ground last Christmas day too.
One interesting thing to note however, is that the last 6 November's for my area have by and large been slightly cool each year. And they are much cooler than any November in the 90's apart from the one or two years where we had snow, but it wasn't to last. Is this a gradual cooling trend in the north west in general? I think personally it is, but the professionals could point and probably rightfully say -> the last six winters for your region don't tell the whole story or 6 past winters don't equal gradual cooling. Even though the measurements prove otherwise. Scientist's heh?
November 23rd saw min low temp hit -3.1C the coldest it's been so far. Nov 24 min low temp -2.5C, two nights now at below freezing.
So what do I reckon about the incoming snow from the North East?
Though currently our temperatures over the North west are by and large perfect for snow conditions, I think those on the other side of the Pennines are going to benefit the most from any possible snow shower activity. The radar I use from raintoday which is high rez like netweather's can forecast ahead of time, and it clearly shows the snow showers becoming more organized and getting over the Pennines into the Greater Manchester region by lunch time or just after.
I don't actually think NW Cheshire or indeed Merseyside will see anything of this current snow banding from the North East. But there is something on the horizon during late Friday / Saturday and Sunday that gives me more optimism.
I think day time temperatures will turn any of this incoming showery activity straight to rain or wet slush the further east you are.
This year is really looking interesting. We have a much colder feel to it, much like last year, except its expected to be on average a little colder this time
round.
So far my observations have only started on November 20th, because anything before it just did not interest me from a winter perspective. I.e when i really begin to monitor my back yard weather station gadgets.
So far from my measurements and remember it's still early days yet. Things are really starting to look up for a possible snow filled winter during December. This month on average as been much colder than last year, and certainly colder since November of 2003, which was full of sleet and snow showers on and off by the early start of the month. That winter we ended up with snow lying on the ground on Christmas day. We also had snow on the ground last Christmas day too.
One interesting thing to note however, is that the last 6 November's for my area have by and large been slightly cool each year. And they are much cooler than any November in the 90's apart from the one or two years where we had snow, but it wasn't to last. Is this a gradual cooling trend in the north west in general? I think personally it is, but the professionals could point and probably rightfully say -> the last six winters for your region don't tell the whole story or 6 past winters don't equal gradual cooling. Even though the measurements prove otherwise. Scientist's heh?
November 23rd saw min low temp hit -3.1C the coldest it's been so far. Nov 24 min low temp -2.5C, two nights now at below freezing.
So what do I reckon about the incoming snow from the North East?
Though currently our temperatures over the North west are by and large perfect for snow conditions, I think those on the other side of the Pennines are going to benefit the most from any possible snow shower activity. The radar I use from raintoday which is high rez like netweather's can forecast ahead of time, and it clearly shows the snow showers becoming more organized and getting over the Pennines into the Greater Manchester region by lunch time or just after.
I don't actually think NW Cheshire or indeed Merseyside will see anything of this current snow banding from the North East. But there is something on the horizon during late Friday / Saturday and Sunday that gives me more optimism.
I think day time temperatures will turn any of this incoming showery activity straight to rain or wet slush the further east you are.
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