Well after my April forecast was quite successfull,(though my C.E.T prediction is quite off the mark) here is my thoughts and forecast on May 2008.

Summary

I think May 2008 is going to be a contrasting month, with a mostly warm possibly thundery first half, then turning more unsettled mid month,(euro monsoon) and much cooler, then slowly turning warmer and eventually drier by months end.

Early May

May will begin as we all know on an unsettled note, though it will turn milder. Tunring drier and much warmer into next week with the Arzores ridging in, so largly fine warm and sunny, though there is the chance of some scattered t-storms/showers in inland areas in the south. Temps between 16c-23/4c North to South, cooler on coasts. This sunny fine weather continuing into the second full week, before it starts to turn unsettled with the first possible spanish plume of the year, still uncertain, but could turn quite hot espescailly in eastern districts, with the thundery breakdown soon following, but staying unsettled thereafter with lows slowly pushing in from the west as we go into mid May.

Mid May

Into the middle part of the month and i think it will become changable, unsettled to being with with low pressure slowly pushing in from the west, though it high pressure never to far away. I think there is a possiblity that we could have a cooler spell of weather around this time with north westerly winds and showers for many, temps between 11c-14c and cold nights as well frost possible in sheltered spots in the north. Turning milder and drier for a brief period before again more rain approches from the west, though staying mild/warm.

Late May

Into late May and still quite changable, with showers or longer spells of rain across most of the uk, but slowly becoming drier and warmer from the south as high pressure builds back in again, warm and mainly dry condidtions are likely to prevail to months end but the chance of the odd scattered shower or t-storm cant be ruled out, very warm closing days. Temps 14c-18c to begin with but warming up to around 17c-23c.

So overall a changleable May, with warm/very warm dry spells early and late, with unsettled and cooler conditions around mid-month, risk of cool/cold spell late second week.

C.E.T Prediction: 12.9c