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About this blog

My seasonal and other forecasts, review and analysis of monthly and seasonal weather aswell as cold snaps, snow events and other events.

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Kilted Review of the Weather of 2012

[center][size=5]A Kilted Review of the Year in Weather: 2012[/size][/center]

[center][img]http://cdn.theguardian.tv/brightcove/poster/2012/5/10/120510PrinceCharlesWeather_6163198.jpg[/img][/center]




The year started off with a bang as the country was battered in the early hours of the 3rd January thanks to a sting jet. There was widespread damage and distruption and at Blackford Hill, Edinburgh where there was a gust of 102mph - the storm was judged to have been the worst in 13 years.

[url="http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-16385049"]http://www.bbc.co.uk...otland-16385049[/url]
[url="http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-16392381"]http://www.bbc.co.uk...otland-16392381[/url]
[url="http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climate/uk/interesting/2012_janwind"]http://www.metoffice...ng/2012_janwind[/url]

[img]http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/media/image/e/j/asxx_20120103_0600UTC_sm.gif[/img]

[img]http://i.telegraph.co.uk/multimedia/archive/02101/weather-glasgow_2101482i.jpg[/img]
Much of the first third of the month was unsettled with atlantic lows sweeping the country - as a result it was a mostly mild and wet period with some stormy weather. Dundrennon in Dumfries and Galloway on the 4th had a gust of 76mph and a peak gust of 65mph was recorded at Peterhead on the 6th.

There was a change to colder and settled conditions around mid-month with some fine sunny and frosty conditions and some fog. There was some low minimum values such as -10.5C recorded at Aboyne on the 16th and a maximum of -2.8C at Cassley on the same day.

[img]http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/archive/ra/2012/Rrea00120120116.gif[/img]


There was a return to unsettled weather on the 17th but there was a snowfall that left a depth of 8cm at Aviemore on the 19th. There was a return to windy weather with a gust of 70mph at Loch Glascarnoch on the 21st as the weather remained changeable and on the mild side across the country.

The month ended on a cold, anticyclonic note with a southeasterly breeze developing and there were some snow showers at times in parts of the country. Loch Glascarnoch recorded a low of -6.9C on the 27th.

[img]http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/archive/ra/2012/Rrea00120120130.gif[/img]

January was the mildest since 2008 in Scotland with a mean temperature of 3.2C. The mean maximum and minimum was 5.8C and 0.6C. Despite rainfall being above average at 183mm, it was the 5th sunniest January in Scotland with a total of 44.1hrs. Air frosts stood at a fairly low 10.4 days.



February started where January left off, as the cold and settled conditions persisted throughout the first third of the month. There were frosty nights, some fog patches and locally some snow flurries to begin with and there were some days of rainfall as fronts edged further east into Scotland. There was even some freezing rain in Dumfries and Galloway on the 9th. Temperatures on a few nights went down to -10C in the highlands.
[url="http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-south-scotland-16869164"]http://www.bbc.co.uk...otland-16869164[/url]
[url="http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-16950627"]http://www.bbc.co.uk...otland-16950627[/url]


[img]http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/archive/ra/2012/Rrea00120120203.gif[/img]



The settled conditions continued into the start of the middle third of February in eastern areas but it was mild for everyone with maximum temperatures of reaching 11C or 12C on a few days. There was some wet weather in north western areas during the period.

Following a very breif cold spell, the final third of the month was unsettled and very mild. It was very mild in the north east with highs of 15.7C at Aboyne on the 22nd, 15.9C on at Dyce on the 23rd and 17.2C at Dyce on the 28th which is just short of the Scottish record.

[img]http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/archive/ra/2012/Rrea00120120228.gif[/img]


It was a very mild month overall, 8th mildest since records began and the mildest since 1998, with a mean temperature of 4.4C. Mean maximum and minimum was 7.1C and 1.7C. It was also a fairly dull month with 50.4 hours of sunshine and rainfall was closer to average at 108.3mm. It was a poor month for air frosts with only 9.1 days.

The winter 2011/2012 was the mildest winter in Scotland since 2007/2008 with a mean temperature of 3.56 (making it the 17th mildest winter on record) and mean maximum and minimum of 6.27C and 0.87C. The coldest and snowiest weather of the winter mostly took place in December 2011, whilst the first two months of 2012 saw some prolonged periods without any real winter weather but there were some cold and settled periods aswell. The mildest month of the winter was February. There was a total of 31.4 days with an air frost throughout the winter which was below average. A rainfall total of 555.7mm was 118% of the 1981-2010 average. 117.9hrs of sunshine is 91% of the average.




March began on a changeable note with some fronts, showers, spells of sunshine and a brief wintry spell which resulted in a snow depth of 3cm at Aviemore on the 8th.


[img]http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/archive/ra/2012/Rrea00120120305.gif[/img]

The 10th-14th saw dry, mild but cloudy conditions with the best of sunshine in eastern areas. Some areas of rainfall affected southern and western areas whilst northern areas stayed sunny just after mid-month. There were some cold nights in the highlands with a low of -8.5C at Braemar on the 18th.

[img]http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/archive/ra/2012/Rrea00120120312.gif[/img]

The final third of the month was very dry, sunny and most notably very mild and even warm. It reached 17.6C at Lossiemouth on the 21st. There was some mist and low cloud at times in eastern areas, but the period 24th-30th was exceptional for it's fine and warm weather: a number of days the temperature reached 20C in a good number of places - 22.8C recorded at Fyvie Castle on the 25th broke the Scottish March maximum record, then it peaked at 23.2C at Cromdale the following day and finally the record was set at Aboyne on the 27th with a high of 23.6C. It stayed dry to the end but temperatures began to drop and it became cloudier.

[url="http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-north-east-orkney-shetland-17506257"]http://www.bbc.co.uk...etland-17506257[/url]
[url="http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-north-east-orkney-shetland-17512701"]http://www.bbc.co.uk...etland-17512701[/url]
[url="http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-17511244"]http://www.bbc.co.uk...otland-17511244[/url]
[img]http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/archive/ra/2012/Rrea00120120327.gif[/img]
[img]http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/5/5c/United_Kingdom_26_March_2012.png/250px-United_Kingdom_26_March_2012.png[/img]


March was exceptional for it's very mild temperatures and dry and sunny conditions. It was the warmest March of record with a mean temperature of 7.1C and the mean maximum and minimum was 10.9C (another record) and 3.3C. It was the 4th sunniest March with a total of 126.8 hrs and it was the 11st driest with a rainfall total of just 58mm. It was the 3rd poorest March for air frosts with just 4.2 days.
[url="http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-17595024"]http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-17595024[/url]


April however was a different story. The temperature continued to drop during the first few days and there were some spells of rain. The turnaround was complete with a notable snowfall on the 3rd which left a snow depth of 22cm at Whitehillocks, Angus. The chilly conditions followed the snow with a dry couple of days followed by spells of rain and showers. The maximum at Carterhouse on the 3rd was only 0.3C and Braemar recorded a low of -8.2C on the 5th.
[url="http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-17578739"]http://www.bbc.co.uk...otland-17578739[/url]
[url="http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-17595143"]http://www.bbc.co.uk...otland-17595143[/url]
[url="http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-17597584"]http://www.bbc.co.uk...otland-17597584[/url]
[url="http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-17601709"]http://www.bbc.co.uk...otland-17601709[/url]


[img]http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/archive/ra/2012/Rrea00120120403.gif[/img]


[img]http://news.bbcimg.co.uk/media/images/59452000/jpg/_59452899_jex_1368520_de27-1.jpg[/img]

There was showery conditions before midmonth and there was some hail and thunder included in the showers. A spell of wetter weather arrived around midmonth and much of the final half of April was cool and showery. There some low minimum values of -7.2C at Tulloch Bridge on the 28th and -6.4C at the same location on the following day.
[url="http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-south-scotland-17852535"]http://www.bbc.co.uk...otland-17852535[/url]

[img]http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/archive/ra/2012/Rrea00120120419.gif[/img]



It was an unusual scenario in which April was colder than March. The mean temperature was 4.9C making it the coldest April in Scotland since 1998. The mean maximum and minimum was 8.6C and 1.3C. It was wetter than normal across the eastern half of the country - the national rainfall total stood at 113.7mm. Sunshine was below average with a total of 121.1 hrs. There was 8.8 days with an air frost. Tiree was the sunniest place in the UK with 237 hrs.





The first three weeks of May was generally cool and unsettled with the odd fine day and occasionally strong winds. There was some spells of rain during the start although the second was a pleasant day with a high of 20.1C at Kinlochewe. This was followed by a spell of dry but cold weather with the maximum at Fair Isle on the 5th only 4.5C and a low of -6.2C at Saughall on the same day. There was also some snow showers aswell as the frosty nights.

[img]http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/archive/ra/2012/Rrea00120120505.gif[/img]


The period 7th-18th May was changeable was some cool days, some heavy rainfalls with 101mm at Kinlochewe on the 13th. The 13th was also a stormy day with a gust of 67mph at Blackford Hill, Edinburgh. There were also some cool showery days with some brightness.
[url="http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-glasgow-west-18022243"]http://www.bbc.co.uk...w-west-18022243[/url]

[img]http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/archive/ra/2012/Rrea00120120513.gif[/img]
The 19th-28th saw a marked change to much more settled, dry conditions with plentiful of sunshine and most notably an impressive Scottish heatwave during the 24th-28th with temperatures reaching the high to mid 20s. On the 23rd it reached 27.3C at Altnaharra, on the 24th it reached 27.3C at Bishopton, 28.1C at Kinlochewe on the 28th, a new Scottish record for May on the 25th with a high of 30.9C at Inverailort, 28.1C at Kinlochewe on the 26th, 29.0C at Cromdale on the 27th and 26.6C at Aberfeldy on the 28th. The final few days of the month saw a drop in temperatures and a return to rainfall.
[url="http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-highlands-islands-18176494"]http://www.bbc.co.uk...slands-18176494[/url]
[url="http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-18189728"]http://www.bbc.co.uk...otland-18189728[/url]
[url="http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-highlands-islands-18210356"]http://www.bbc.co.uk...slands-18210356[/url]
[url="http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-18236851"]http://www.bbc.co.uk...otland-18236851[/url]


[img]http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/archive/ra/2012/Rrea00120120525.gif[/img]



May equalled the 1971-2000 average with a mean temperature of 8.6C and a mean maximum and minimum of 13.3C and 4.2C. Sunshine was above normal with a total of 205.2hrs whilst rainfall varied across the country, it came out as 83.2mm. There was 4.1 days with an air frost which is the 6th highest on record. Tiree saw 273 hrs of sunshine making it the sunniest place in the UK in May.

Spring 2012 was very contrasting and interesting. Unusuall, April was the coldest month of the season with a mean temperature of 4.9C (just 0.5C warmer than February, and 2.2C lower than the record breaking warm March). There were notable periods of dry and warm weather, with new records being set in both late March and late May for maximum temperatures across Scotland. For most areas, the heat during late May was the warmest of the year. The snowfall in early April was for a number of areas the most significant of the 2011/2012 season. The mean temperature in Scotland was 6.9C with mean maximum and minimum for the Spring at 11C and 2.9C respectively making it a warmer than average Spring overall. Sunshine was also above average with a total of 453.1hrs (115% of the average) and 254.9mm of rainfall is 81% of the average. Air frosts only a little below average at 17.1 days, the very mild March being the major factor.





The first half of June saw generally cool temperatures and wet conditions with showery spells and some heavy bursts of rain and occasionally pretty windy. It was fairly dry and fine in the north west Highlands at times. A low of -3.5C at Loch Glascarnoch on the 5th. It reached 20.6C at Kinlochewe on the 6th.

[img]http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/archive/ra/2012/Rrea00120120607.gif[/img]

Throughout the rest of the month, the cool, unseasonal conditions continued with further showers and frontal rainfall. There were a few pleasant and fine days at times and there were some thunderstorms aswell.

[img]http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/archive/ra/2012/Rrea00120120622.gif[/img]


A month dominated by low pressure, it was the 9th wettest June on record in Scotland with 126.2mm of rainfall. The north west highlands and islands saw the best of the conditions in what was a very poor summer month for much of the country. It was a cool month too with a mean temperature of 10.4C, mean maximum and minimum of 14C and 7.1C. It was the 3rd dullest June on record with only 110.4 hrs of sunshine. It also had the 3rd highest number of air frost days with a total of 0.6. The sunniest place in the UK once again was Tiree with 167 hrs of sunshine.




The showery theme continued into the start of July and there were some thunderstorms and this followed by a spell of more persistent and heavy rainfall. It reached 24C at Lusa on the 6th.
[img]http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/archive/ra/2012/Rrea00120120706.gif[/img]

The familiar story of unsettled, wet and generally cool conditions continued into the middle third of the month. There was further showers, some heavy frontal rainfall with just a few fine, dry and bright days.
[url="http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-edinburgh-east-fife-18890247"]http://www.bbc.co.uk...t-fife-18890247[/url]

[img]http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/archive/ra/2012/Rrea00120120714.gif[/img]
It was more of the same into the first part of the final third of the month but the 24th-26th were better days with more sunshine and temperatures into the low 20s but the changeable conditions returned to see out the month.

[img]http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/archive/ra/2012/Rrea00120120725.gif[/img]

It was the coolest July since 1998 with a mean temperature of 12.2C, mean maximum and minimum of 15.5C and 9C. It was the 10th dullest July with only 100.5 hrs of sunshine and a wet month with 127.7 mm of rainfall.




The showers became less frequent and more scattered during the first couple of days of August and there was a spell of pleasant weather with maximum temperature of 22.8C at Achnagart on the 3rd. But it was brief as thunderstorms developed and there was a return to changeable conditions with thundery showers. There were some funnel clouds spotted during the stormy weather.
[url="http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-19162914"]http://www.bbc.co.uk...otland-19162914[/url]

[img]http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/archive/ra/2012/Rrea00120120805.gif[/img]

From the 8th-11th there was a spell of fine, settled, sunny conditions and warm temperatures up into the mid twenties for many as Eskdalemuir
recorded a high of 25.9C on the 10th.

[img]http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/archive/ra/2012/Rrea00120120810.gif[/img]

This fine spell was followed by another changeable period of weather which lasted for around 10 days. There were some fine days and temperatures into low twenties for many and into the mid twenties in Moray on the 18th but there were further spells of rain and showers and even some thunder.

[img]http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/archive/ra/2012/Rrea00120120818.gif[/img]

There was a mixture of fine days, showers, + bands of rain in what was a changeable and an unseasonal end to August. There was strong winds for the north west on the 27th with a gust of 64mph recorded at South Uist. The month ended on a cold note with a cold and frosty final night of summer with a low of -2.4C at Braemar.
[img]http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/archive/ra/2012/Rrea00120120831.gif[/img]

It was the warmest August since 2004 with a mean temperature of 13.5C. Mean maximum and minimum was 17.3C and 9.7C. Sunshine was above normal aswell with a total of 144 hrs. Rainfall was above average with a total of 133.9mm. With 0.2 days days with an air frost is the third highest total for August.

Summer 2012 continued the run of below par summers in Scotland since the stunning summer of 2006. The mean temperature was 0.5C below average at 12.1C with mean maximum and minimum of 15.6C and 8.6C. August was the warmest month of the year. Sunshine was below average with a total of 348.3hrs (82% of the average) and rainfall was 27% above average with a total of 387.5mm. However in north western areas, it was a dry summer with some problems with drought conditions.



The first couple of days of autumn started wet - especially in the western isles - but away from the north west, the remainder of the country was then generally dry with sunny spells and it reached 25.2C at Dyce on the 3rd.

[img]http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/archive/ra/2012/Rrea00120120903.gif[/img]

Changeable conditions returned from the 7th. There was a mixture of weather: bands of rain; cloudy and dry days; bright and sunny days; showery and breezy days; drizzle. There was a gust of 56mph at Altnaharra on the 13th as the country experienced changeable and autumnal conditions.


[img]http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/archive/ra/2012/Rrea00120120909.gif[/img]

The autumnal conditions continued with showers, some heavy rain and brighter/dry days. It turned pretty chilly too around two thirds of the way through September, with a cold night on the 22nd/23rd as Braemar recorded a low of -4.1C
[img]http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/archive/ra/2012/Rrea00120120923.gif[/img]

Unsettled and very autumnal conditons saw the month out. However the worst September storm in around 30 years hit Scotland around the 23rd-26th. This brought strong winds, low temperatures, heavy and prolonged rainfall and even some thunder. Inverbervie recorded a gust of 72mph on the 25th. Final days of the month was unsettled with a mixture of sunshine, showers and frontal rainfall.
[url="http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-19713761"]http://www.bbc.co.uk...otland-19713761[/url]
[img]http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/archive/ra/2012/Rrea00120120925.gif[/img]


It was the coolest September since 1994 with a mean temperature of 10.3C. The mean maximum and minimum was 13.4C and 7.2C. It was quite a sunny September with a total of 113.2 hrs. And it was also a wet September with a total of 148.7mm. The total number of days with an air frost was 0.7 days which is the 9th highest.




The first 5 or so days of October started with a mix of sunshine and showers and a little bit of thunder. There was a settled period from 5th to 10th with fine, sunny spells, showers in the far north. There were some cold frosty nights too with a minimum of -5.3C at Tulloch Bridge on the 10th.
[img]http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/archive/ra/2012/Rrea00120121007.gif[/img]
The following days up to the 19th brought periods of persistent heavy rainfall, overcast skies and some spells of sunshine, showers. There was some cold temperatures too: A maximum of 3.2C at Aviemore on the 16th and and a low of -7.8C at Braemar on the 17th and there was some snow to low levels in parts of the highlands for a time of the 17th.
[url="http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-19935712"]http://www.bbc.co.uk...otland-19935712[/url]
[img]http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/archive/ra/2012/Rrea00120121017.gif[/img]

The 20th to 25th saw another settled spell with sunshine at the start and end of the spell and fog and some drizzle inbetween.
[img]http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/archive/ra/2012/Rrea00120121023.gif[/img]

The 26th was a cold day with frequent wintry showers and a spell of significant snow in the north east. A maximum of 2.3C at Loch Glascarnoch on the 26th. However the end of the month was changeable with temperatures on the chilly side and spells of rainfall.
[url="http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-20106383"]http://www.bbc.co.uk...otland-20106383[/url]

[img]http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/archive/ra/2012/Rrea00120121026.gif[/img]


It was the 6th coldest October on record with a mean temperature of 6.1C and the coldest since 1993. Mean maximum and minimum was 9.5C and 2.7C. Sunshine was above average with a total of 85.2 hrs and rainfall was close to average with a total of 154mm. It was the third highest October in terms of days with air frost with a total of 6 days.





The first 4 days of November chilly and showery conditions with typically autumnal weather. These showers were quite heavy and there were cold nights with a low of -5.7C at Loch Glascarnoch on 1st. There were also some decent spells of sunshine.
[img]http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/archive/ra/2012/Rrea00120121103.gif[/img]

It was much milder and wetter from the 6th-20th with bands of rain, at times strong winds and a few sunny and showery days in what was changeable period. It was also much milder with some very mild days: a high of 14.1C at Tain Ridge on the 7th and 16.3C at Kinloss on the 13th.
[url="http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-20405763"]http://www.bbc.co.uk...otland-20405763[/url]
[img]http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/archive/ra/2012/Rrea00120121113.gif[/img]

This was followed by a period of further unsettled conditions and more heavy rainfall but temperatures were generally on the chilly side. It was a cold and wintry end to the month with frosty nights and sunny days with some showers and spells of rain in places at times. There were some very cold temperatures: Braemar saw a maximum of 0.3C and a minimum of -7.3C on the 29th.
[img]http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/archive/ra/2012/Rrea00120121128.gif[/img]

It was another below average month with a mean temperature of 4.6C and a mean maximum and minimum of 7.3C and 1.8C. Overall, it was the 10th sunniest November in Scotland with a total of 55.1hrs. Rainfall was quite close to the average with a total of 154.1mm. A decent month for air frosts with a total of 7.4 days.


Autumn 2012 was notable cold with a mean temperature of 7.0C (1.0C below the 1981-2010 average) and mean maximum and minimum of 10.1C and 3.9C. November was the coldest month with a mean temperature of 4.6C (just 0.2C higher than February) whilst October was one of the coldest on record - a very different story compared to 2011. Sunshine was 12% above average with a toatl of 253.5hrs and rainfall was 4% below average with a total of 456.8mm. Air frosts also above average with a total of 14.1 days. There was some problems with flooding at times, but with an unusual blocked scenario at times it was pretty dry. And an early start to the snowfall of the 2012/2013 season in late October.



The cold, crisp and wintry conditions continued into the first part of December. Overall there was plenty of sunny spells, ice, frost, some fog and snow with temperatures widely struggling to reach 5C during the day. There was a widespread frontal snow late on the 2nd into the 3rd which left much of the country under a blanket of snow that would stay for several days. At Loch Glascarnoch on the 2nd it reached a high of just -2.2C and a low of -8.2C. Aviemore and Tulloch Bridge recorded a snow depth of 6cm on the 5th and Fettercairn had a snow depth of 20cm on the 6th. A low of -12.9C was recorded at Braemar on the 6th. The cold conditions continued with some snow showers before briefly turning less cold with loss of snow cover between the 6th-9th.
[url="http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-20575339"]http://www.bbc.co.uk...otland-20575339[/url]
[img]http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/archive/ra/2012/Rrea00120121203.gif[/img]


There was another cold and settled spell between the 10th and 13th with dry, bright days and very cold temperatures both at day and at night. A number of locations had an ice day and lows in the highlands dropped below -10C: Braemar reached a high of just -3.8C on 11th and on the 13th it recorded a low of -12.5C. There was some snow showers and patches of fog at times in some locations.

[img]http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/archive/ra/2012/Rrea00120121212.gif[/img]

From the 14th onwards saw a very unsettled, wet and wild second half to December with less cold conditions. Frequent frontal activity meant that drier and clearer spells were brief and there were showery spells at times. For much of the period it was dull and damp, but most notably it was very wet with significant problems with flooding in the run-up to Christmas. 89.4mm was recorded at Tyndrum on the 20th. It was also windy and wild at times: severe gales early on the 15th caused extensive damage in places; a gust of 72mph was recorded at Stornoway on the 28th. The year ended on quite a showery note and there was some snow showers in places during the final days.



[img]http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/archive/ra/2012/Rrea00120121220.gif[/img]
A month of contrasts but overall it was colder than average with a mean temperature of 2.3C (0.5C below the 1981-2010 average) and a mean maximum and minimum of 4.9C and -0.2C. Sunshine totals overall were a little above average with a total of 31.3 hours. Rainfall was above average, mostly due to the wet second half, with a total 212.7mm. A decent month for air frosts with a total of 13.9 days.

2012 was a very unusual year with a variety of weather with notably warm, cold, dry, wet, quiet and stormy periods. December 2012 was the coldest month of the year with a mean temperature of 2.3C contributing to a below average winter. The warmest month was August, but for many the warmest weather occured in late May with the warmest temperature of 2012 being 30.9C at Inverailort, Highland on the 25th. -12.9C recorded at Braemar on the 6th December was the coldest temperature of 2012 and Braemar was the site of the coldest maximum temperature with a high of just -3.8C on the 11th December. The month with the least amount of sunshine was December with 31.3hrs and the sunniest month was May with 205.2hrs. The wettest month was December with a rainfall total of 212.7mm and with 20.8 days with >1mm of rainfall. The driest month was March with a total of 58mm and just 9.1 days with >1mm of rainfall. December had 13.9 days with an air frost which was the highest total of 2012. The highest snow depth was 22cm at Whitehillocks, Angus on the 3rd April. The strongest gust of wind was 102mph recorded at Blackford Hill. The overall mean temperature for 2012 was 0.1C below average at 7.3C and mean maximum and minimum at 10.6C and 4.0C. Sunshine was bang on the average with a total of 1187.6hrs. Rainfall was 2% above average at 1602.6mm. There were 65.3 days with an air frost which was just short of the average.




[size=3][color=rgb(255,0,0)]Warmest Temperature: 27C (24 May), [/color][color=rgb(0,0,255)]Coldest Temperature: -8 (11 Dec), Coldest Max: 0C, [/color][color=rgb(255,0,0)]Warmest Min: 15C , +20C days: 32 (26 Mar-21 Aug), +15C (24 Mar-21 Oct) [/color][color=rgb(0,0,205)]<0C max: 1,[/color][color=rgb(255,0,0)] [/color][/size][size=3][color=rgb(0,0,255)]<5C max: 29 (11 Feb, 24 Nov),[/color][color=rgb(255,0,0)] [/color][color=rgb(0,0,255)]<10C max (18 May, 16 Oct), [/color][color=rgb(255,0,0)]15C+min: 6 days (4 Jul-1 Sept), [/color][color=rgb(0,0,255)]<5Cmin (18 Jun, 31 Jul), [/color][color=rgb(0,0,205)]Air Frosts: 73 (20 May, 22 Sep), <-5Cmin: 10 (5 Apr, 29 Nov)[/color][/size]
[size=3][color=rgb(238,130,238)]Snowfall: 20 (6 May, 26 Oct Torrance) 10 (3 April, 2 Dec, Glasgow Airport), Lying snow 8 days (2 Dec), max depth 5cm (3 Dec)[/color][/size]

A Winter's Tale

A Winter's Tale

 

My Weather Diary of December 2012

December 1st: Welcome to winter, and a fantastic way to start it with another sub 5C maxima, frost and fantastic sunshine and wintry scenes aswell as some snow showers across parts of Scotland. But there was a lot of ice on surfaces this morning - very dangerous.

Went for a drive this afternoon with another fantastic wintry sunset and dusk, magical winter colours and shadows to everything. There was some snow on the Campsies, plenty of icy slushy deposits on the roads. The Queen's View had a fantastic view of the snow covered mountains (down to 1500ft) all the way from the Luss Hills to the Ochills. The Trossachs looked stunning and frozen, took a trip around Aberfoyle through wonderful rich Scottish scenery before taking an icy drive through Duke's Pass with a fantastic view of the snow covered Ben Ledi. Loch Venachar looked great as the calm water reflected the sky during dusk. Also another fantastic view looking south above the Lake of Menteith. All in all a fantastic journey through magical Scottish countryside and atmospheric, wintry weather.

Currently -2C at Glasgow Airport and I wonder whether tonight we'll see the temperature drop below the coldest this season (-5C) or even the coldest this year (-7C). In other parts of the UK we've already seen ice days this season and the coldest so far is -7C, hopefully the first -10C of the season tonight. It's shaping up nicely for the first snowfall of December 2012 during Sunday night in many areas and there's a potential for the biggest snowfall of the year for some. The mountains will be pasted, rural areas should also be pasted and even many parts of central lowlands could potentially be pasted. I'd say that parts of Lanarkshire, Stirlingshire, Falkirk into Perthshire and parts of Fife could do very well out of this event and I was delighted to see that Ian Fergusson mentioned that Glasgow could get a serious dumping. The lying snow could be short-lived here, nonetheless it'll be fantastic to see snowfalling, hearing snow reports from elsewhere and potentially to have a wonderful, Scottish-wide significant snow-event. It'll be good to have the first significant and lying snow event of the season out of the way so that we can enjoy the rest of the season without chasing and sweating over snow events. Of course, as ever during any snow event, it's a matter of nowcasting considering all the variables and factors regarding snowfall. Next week is looking staying cool before we get another northerly. A great way to start winter and there's a lot look forward to regarding the interesting developments regardining synoptics and I'm looking forward to the weather that lies infront of us.

2nd December:

EPIC: Coldest temperature since February 2012, low of -6C and a very cold night - -8C at Loch Glascarnoch and an ice day there. Joint coldest day of the year here with maximum temperature of 2C. Magnificent sunshine, hard frost and wintry scenes - you can well and truly smell winter in the air with snow showers in northern parts. Front moving in from the west, cloud increased this evening and then came the snow - 3rd this season - see my signature, my diary and you'll get more detail there. First snow of the season at Glasgow airport. Wonderful seeing snow steadily falling through the glow of the lampost and the noise of it landing on surfaces. And because of the cold surfaces it lay very quickly and it has snowed from around 9pm to now 11pm. Best snowfall since December 2011 here, the first proper lying snow of the year and the season ensuring that we continue our series of winters that deliver the goods and it's great to have it in December. Snow depth now 3cm, cars, roofs, roods, trees and everything is white. It's a winter wonderland, the wonderful sound of snow falling and the quite sound of the areas. Vivid and wonderful wintry scenes, most of it should melt by tomorrow morning but hey it's great to have a significant snow event out of the way, to have good memories from the winter already in what has been a very decent cold spell and start to winter. Some more comment and plenty of pics tomorrow.

3rd December

It snowed till around 2am - last wintry precipitation was at around 9am in a shower once the band had cleared. The maximum depth was 4cm and it was one of the days that I love winter for is a proper day of lying snow. It rained quite a bit in the showers - maximum temperature 4C so snow was at threat of melting but it has survived and there's still a winter wonderland outside - roofs, graff is still covered in snow but there has been a melt, now 2cm. Cold outside, went to check the snow depths and the driveway was an icerink. The coming days are looking active, on the cold side and wintry as the wonderful cold spell continues aswell as the bonus of the lying snow that has confirmed that already the winter 2011/2012 has delivered. I hope to enjoy the rest of the snow, cold spell and the weather during the coming days aswell as getting into the festive period - and there's the potential for very interesting winter synoptics later this month. Interesting times ahead of us and content times we are in now. Perhaps once the snow and this cold spell is over, I'll upload the pictures and look back at the stats/events. Certainly I can already tell you that this has been the best snowfall and quite possibly the best cold spell of 2012...so far! Currently fantastic clear skies with stars, cold and with a blanket of snow on the ground - looks like the lying snow should be present during three different and consecutive days.

4th December - 11pm

The tree is up yet to be decorated. Maximum temperature 2C (joint coldest of this year) with a low of -2C. Snow cover has stayed all day - I went for a walk in the very cold evening and observed a depth of 2-3cm on the pavement and concrete - seemingly between 4 and 7cm on the grass but I think that could be the influence of the length of the grass. Nevertheless, not only do we have a fantastic, classic white landscape it has stayed for three different days and about to be four days which is just so pleasing for winter to have a spell of such wonderful winter scenes of fantastic looking lying snow for a duration of days - it's nice to have the snow on the ground for a while. There was freezing fog during much of this morning keeping the temperature around freezing - the area looked fantastic with lying snow but the pavements where lethal with ice on the foot steps. The fog cleared in the afternoon and conditions become overcast as snow fell in northern and eastern parts of Scotland. The temperature went up to 2C when the fog cleared as the weak band edged closer to the central belt. It brought a few snow flakes here so we've had three days of falling snow here and also at Glasgow airport - on top of that many consecutive days of maxima below 5C and minima below freezing with some of the coldest weather of the year and by far the snowiest and just in time for the festive period. Tomorrow is looking like another cold but sunny day - it could be coldest maximum temperature at Glasgow Airport this year with a bit of luck. A cold night to follow but a band of rain could potentially end the run of sub 5/0C maxima/minima but in doing so it could bring some snow here and elsewhere. After that it stays chilly, possibly wintry and certainly changeable for a while and into next week there are interesting synoptic developments, possibly more blocked so something to keep an eye on.

5th December

A very cold start with temperature of -5C, it briefly warmed up to 4C in the afternoon so that's now day 8 of this great cold spell. No snow today, but very wintry with a frozen landscape and a crystal clear sky and very wintry looking sky too with the low sun. The wonderful golden colours, the dark mornings and the colours at dusk with a pink glow on the horizon at sunset. And the snow cover of 2cm, very icy, makes for a very wintry scene on the ground. So very wintry and seasonal scenes and moods in a very good period of wintry weather. This eveing has been very cold with the temperature constantly at -5/-6C here so the coldest temperature this season so far at Glasgow Airport and the first -10C of the season at Loch Glascarnoch. Also some snow in England today as a band moved south and some snow showers in northern and eastern areas. A crystal clear sky, with stars tonight but tomorrow a band of rain should meet the cold air - so there could be another snowfall, it should turn back to rain but there may be some accumilations here and certainly in other areas with elevation. A very active, more unsettled day and the next 5 days are looking like staying on the cold/cool side, less wintry prospects after tomorrow. But this could be a transition between this cold spell and the next, and indeed the next cold spell could be very special with a Scandi block, possible retrogression to Greenland. A solid trend for the general location of the block and this could open the door to a very seasonal and possibly significant period of wintry weather, some biblical charts today with easterlies so this will make for very interesting times ahead of us.

6th December

No snow observed today, I woke up to rain and it seemed like it precipitation was mostly rain from the atlantic system. Maximum temperature of 5C, minimum of -5C in the early hours so the cold spell continues and there was still a very decent covering of snow in the early hours. A decent cover throughout the day but temperatures hovering at 3/4C and plenty of rain with heavy showers following the front has led to snow melt so in places where people have been walking, near busy roads and under trees there is no snow cover but in some gardens, fields and some pavements there there's still snow cover. It's currently raining but there has been snow in parts of Fife and Perthshire as a front moves southward, it may turn to snow here. Tomorrow could be a cold day but for the weekend it should be a bit milder and next week is looking like a return to cold weather.

7th December

Well the cold spell has ened. Maximum temperature of 8C which ends the run of sub 5C days but there is an air frost tonight. The morning started off very cold with ice on the cars and there was some lovely wintry sunshine and wintry colours throughout the day. And today was another day with lying snow, there's still a covering in many gardens, some pavements, even some roofs and roads - variable but still a lying snow day. The Campsie Fells looked pretty white this morning and I went on a drive towards Strathblane in the late afternoon, a wonderful wintry sunset and colours combined with a decent covering of lying snow on the ground and the mountains in particular. A cold, clear, calm and starry night right now. This weekend looks a little bit milder (maxima of 6-8c) but becoming colder later on Sunday and into the start of next week but a lot of uncertainty remains regarding the details. As promised as the cold spell has finished here is a gallery of the wonderful snow earlier this week: [url="http://forum.netweather.tv/gallery/album/1165-snow-early-december-2012/%20details"]http://forum.netweat...r-2012/ details[/url]. At Glasgow airport, we've had 14 consecutive air frosts since November 24th, 9 consecutive days with temperatures below 5C between November 28th and December 6th. On 6 days the minimum temperature has been below -5C, aswell as the joint coldest maximum temperature of the year on 3 days (2C). Plus snowfall on 3 (consecutive) days, lying snow on 6 consecutive days and a depth of 4cm and in addition, the lovely wintry scenes, weather and colour that we've seen during this cold spell. A very decent period of wintry weather and a fantastic way to start the winter and already in the first week of winter, 2012/2013 and December has delivered.

8th December:

There was still a covering of snow this morning and another air frost with a low of -2C at Glasgow Airport. However the position of the high pressure further south in the British Isles extending westwards into the atlantic has allowed some atlantic systems to influence the weather in Scotland so things have become milder today with periods of rain - temperatures now rising to around 8/9C. There was some clear spells at times in the afternoon and tonight the cloud cover should flood southwards whilst clear skies follow in Scotland in Sunday. Temperature should also fall on Sunday and the start of next week is looking like another seasonal, cold and seasonal spell just after the very decent wintry period we've just experienced. Thereafter it's not very clear as the Atlantic tries to return to the British Isles but the Siberian high could have a bit of fight in it. It makes for interesting times, certainly another cold spell after a very good period of seasonal, wintry weather is makes for a very satisfying start to winter. Also, I've got 1 out of the 2 Christmas trees up and decorated!

9th December:

A much better day - maximum temperature of 9C in the early hours with some rain, 1C at Glasgow airport at 11.20pm with a crystal clear, starry, calm night. Some fantastic sunshine and clear skies today with nice wintry colours with dusk coming in the afternoon. Winds are now from an origin of cold air so the next 3-4 days are looking seasonal, calm, clear and cold - possibly a chance of snow duringthe breakdown - after that there could be a battle between the atlantic and the block to the east - intruiging!!!

10th December:

And on the 10th day of December the weather gave to me.....a cold frosty morning, fantastic sunny skies, lovely wintry colours, maxima of 6C, a cold starry evening and a low of -5C . And the next two or three days are looking cold too as the run of many consecutive frosty days continues - very impressive. And as I've said yesterday there could be a snowy breakdown this week as the models continue to map a particulary uncertain run-up to Christmas. Hopefully I'll be able to get the other tree up soon!

11th December:

Officialy the coldest day of the year here. A very cold morning with a minimum temperature of -8C at Glasgow Airport (the coldest since late December 2010!) and a maximum temperature of 0C in the afternoon (the coldest since January 2011). That is very impressive and just about rounds off what has been a excellent December so far. And today's weather was seasonal and pleasant with wonderful wintry scenes and colours with calm, largely clear and sunny conditions with a mixture of haze on the horizon, some mist and some wall to wall blue skies as shadows and colours change during the sun's short duration in the sky. Also the wonderful green, glittering surfaces from quite a hard frost. A cold evening with temperature dropping to -6C at one stage but cloud cover increased and so has the temperature but nonetheless it looks tomorrow will be yet another day with an air frost. Tomorrow should be another cold day, possibly a little cloudier with a small risk of wintry flurries before the atlantic returns but details are yet to be clarified regarding key players such as the Scandi/Siberian block and co. so the outlook in the run-up to Christmas remains in the balance.

12th December:

Another very cold day here with a minimum temperature of -6C and a maximum temperature of 0C with frost staying all day in the grass. It was a relatively bright day but there were variations between bright and cloudy and clear but it was a clear, cold dawn and dusk with fantastic wintry scenes. There was also some snow flurries during the early hours. So this wintry start to December continues and this December is already looking impressive with the coldest and snowiest weather of the year - infact the run of consecutive days with an air frost since the 24th November could be the longest since I can remember at Glasgow airport. And the lowest maximum/minimum values are already colder than last winter. This evening it also went down to -11C at Loch Glascarnoch with ice, fog and cold wintry weather across the British Isles. Tonight there is an area of precipitation moving north and it's close to Glasgow - snow is forecast for western and central parts of Scotland and expected accumilations so possibly there could be another snowfall and importantly another event with lying snow which would be fantastic in this seasonal and excellent start to winter. Another cold and wintry day tomorrow before becoming milder and unsettled afterwards with the run of air frosts ending but already this month has been a success and with 18 days to go until the New Year - I'm looking forward to the remaining weather of 2012.

13th December:

There was some snow during the early hours and I woke up to a dusting of snow on pavements, some roads, cars etc and grey, wintry looking skies throughout the area with some snow grains throughout the morning. Another cold day with a low of -1C and a maximum temperature of 2C as December 2012 has already beaten 2011 in terms of air frosts and almost everything else bar the snow - having said that this month has been pretty decent for snow here. The dusting of snow disapeared very quickly and it was a cold afternoon with more a breeze that made things feel very little and the sun came out a bit in the afternoon and there was one last wintry sunset before the atlantic comes back tomorrow with milder temperatures, heavy rain and strong winds. The general theme for the weekend and into next week is unsettled, changeable and not as cold as recently but December 2012 will go down as a good winter month as far as I'm concerned but it would be nice to have some more wintry and seasonal weather in the second half and a white Christmas would be especially nice. And if January and February 2013 have a continuation of the sort of weather we've had so far this December then that would be great.

14th December:

It was a cold, start with the 14th air frost of the month with a low of -1C. However it was cloudier with influence of milder winds coming from the south however the combination of a breeze and cold temperatures was absolutely bitter. Then in the afternoon the rain arrived and it wasn't all that pleasant - temperatures reached a high of 5C at Glasgow airport so the cold spell continued but tomorrow should be milder. And the indeed the following days should be milder than of late and also unsettled but we await further details.

15th December:

A milder day today with a low of 3C and maximum temperature of 8C. Also it was very much an atlantic day with overcast skies, quite dark too in the evenings. The coming days may also see temperatures near to/above average with some fairly average December weather - possibly on the cloudy side with the threat of showers. Great uncertainty about what will happen in the run-up to Christmas but all will be clear as time goes by.

16th December:

Quite mild today with maximum and minimum temperatures of 8 and 5C respectively. A cloudy start with some pockets of sunshine before these breaks became much larger to make for some bright sunshine as the sun set in the afternoon and also a crescent moon was in sight.So through this afternoon and evening the sky was half clear/cloudy with a stars in the deep pruple of the night sky amongst thin, scattered clouds tinted by the orange glow of Glasgow. The unsettled theme should continue for a whilse but it remains very uncertain as we see a battle between Scandi/Siberian block and the Atlantic - there are a variety of outcomes but no one really knows what wil happen for Christmas but this will make for good model watching and hopefully with a result of seasonal weather.

17th December:

A quiet day. Calm, mostly cloudy and grey with poor visibility at times but some clear pockets and I was able to see the stars in the evening. Some unsettled weather to come this week, a knife-edge easterly and God knows what next. Maximum at Glasgow airport 6C, min 4C.

18th December:

Another quiet day here with calm and fairly average conditions with a high of 7C and a low of 3C. There was some clear periods, particulary in the afternoon when a crescent moon could be seen aswell as the colours of the sky at dusk in December. However the sky was mostly cloudy this evening but quite a thin layer of cloud with the orange glow and some patches of the clear, dark night sky. A wet day instore for many areas of the British Isles with a risk of flooding in south west England. However there is certainly a brief chance of an easterly and snow for parts of Scotland for a time in the coming days the but confidence is very low at a very short-range so changes are expected. It doesn't look like this Christmas will be a white one, it could be positively mild, but a few changes here and there could allow for something wintry and seasonal and that emphasises the uncertainty. Nevertheless it is the season to be jolly and it's worth enjoying the festive period and to have a merry Christmas regardless of the weather.

19th December:

Shocking conditions here in the afternoon it what was a grey and benign day - once the front arrived, skies became very dark and very heavy rain was dumped all over the region for a period - poor visibility today and mild with maxima 7C and minima 5C. And Flooding concerns continue in the run-up to Christmas across parts of Scotland and the rest of the UK. It looks like the south easterly flow for the weekend is not looking as promising as it has been on past runs but some parts could see some brief wintryness from it - especially Shetland. Christmas Day could be unsettled - who knows whether it will be a white one but with a bit of luck, if the charts during the coming days ugrade the uppers in the north westerly flow later on the big day then there could indeed be a white christmas for some. After seeing the potential for eastern areas during this weekend be downgraded - for Boxing day - the focus switches to more western areas with potential for snow showers to be fed inland in a decent north westerly flow.
So all and all, the model output is particulary changeable at the moment and at short time-frames aswell. There's some certainly some active weather to be looking out for during the run-up to Christmas and at the same time there's the potential for some festive magic - and although it's near impossibe to define what could follow in the new year, I'd say that things are looking decent for a more enhanced potential for wintry joy across Scotland during the rest of the winter.

20th December:

Another dreich day with further heavy rain and temperatures of 6/4C at Glasgow Aiport making for unpleasant wintry conditions and flooding problems and of course very dark as we approch the solsitice. The unsettled theme continues in the run-up to Christmas but the big day itself could see a north westerly flow and potentially a white christmas. It's also looking interesting beyond with a wintry end to December judging on latest runs. Interesting developments that could unwrap itself during the festive period.

21st December:

The winter solsitce today but there were no clear skies to observe the dusk and dawn. Some wet conditions overnight with grey, quite damp conditions lasting into the afternoon and big flooding problems further east in Scotland. At Glasgow airport the maxima/minima was 6/5C and right now there are a few clear patches in the night sky. This weekend is looking very wet and also quite windy with more flooding concerns. Christmas Day could be drier, cooler and possibly a chance of snow but the potential of wintry weather increases after Christmas.

22nd December:

A very dark day today. I woke up at 12pm thinking it was 9am as it was so dark with heavy rain and thick cloud cover - not a single glimpse of sunshine today. The really dreich conditions lasted all day with further damp weather - tomorrow could be wet too and a very changeable outlook with the potential for snow being downgraded. A white christmas doesn't look likely but it isn't impossible - at least it'll be drier and cooler.

23rd December:

The mildest day of the winter 11C/7C and started off grey but there were some pockets of brightness and some clear patches developed but also some very heavy showers with a fast moving and constantly changing sky. Right now it's quite calm with some clear patches with the stars in view. The unsettled theme should continue but the specific details will vary so it's quite an active outlook.

24th December - Christmas Eve:

I wish you all a Merry Christmas time at the most wonderful time of the year. However flooding problems continue across the UK in what has been possibly the poorest weather in the run-up to Christmas I've seen in a while. Today was mostly grey to start with and also some rain too but a few hours before midnight, it's a more festive scene with a fairly calm and a partly clear night with some thin clouds with an orange glow and a lovely shinning moon and the wet rooftops reflecting it's light. Temperatures today was 8/4C. Christmas Day could be colder, possibly some precipitation but much drier than of late and beyond the unsettled outlook continues but there's always a room for variability regarding weather beyond a couple of days. Nevertheless, tomorrow is Christmas and hopefully it'll be an enjoyable one for all.

25th December - Christmas Day:

Merry Christmas everyone! Well, this year it wasn't a white one with maxima/minima of 7/3C but it was a decent day - quite fresh with plenty of showers as weather conditions fluctuated throughout the day but there was some very pleasant weather in the evening with the low wintry sunshine and colours. And it was a quiet day weatherwise with some pleasant and scenic clear periods and some periods of showers. Recently it was a fantastic clear night sky with the moon and stars visible and thin, almost see-through clouds scattered in the sky moving quickly from the west and the sort of clouds that look more like smoke. However the changeable nature of the weather today, we now have an orange sky over Glasgow as another shower arrives and as it clears right now it's a return to the clear conditions of a minutes ago. So a quiet and a nice Christmas Day weatherwise with conditions switching and changing between showers and clearer periods. The weather should be unsettled and changeable for a while and perhaps high pressure might increase from the south for the New Year?

26th December - Boxing Day:

It was a grey, benign day with average temperatures of 6/1C. A band of rain arrived earlier in the evening and has brought some snow to parts of Scotland and also some snow showers further north. Nothing wintry here and right now it's overcast but I can see the ghostly glow of the moon through the cloud cover.

27th December:

The coldest day for a while, the maxima/minima currently at 4/1C but also the first snow day for a while. It was another grey day but a wintry looking sky. The front that brought rain later last night was pushed out to the west but the band moved back towards Scotland in the afternoon. As I was playing tennis in the freezing cold breeze it started snowing lightly and for about an hour there was a pleasant snowfall that turned quite heavy for a while. It never settled other than a very light dusting on some of the grassy areas but it was nice to see snow again and to have it in the second half of the month was also good considering how that never happened last December. Tonight should see heavy rain from a front moving in from the south west and tomorrow should be milder then followed by a cool showery spell and then high pressure moving north could bring some settled conditions - especially in the south. The possible SSW for early January could make for further potential for greater winter conditions into the new year. Certainly December has been a decent winter month.

28th December:

A mild day with temperatures of 12/3C and also a grey day with some rain and notably a windy day too. It's now turning quite wild outside and gales are expected in the north west. Tomorrow could be a showery and a fresh day with a possible snowfall tomorrow night. A wee bit beyond into the New Year and there could be a period of high pressure close to the British Isles but generally mild conditions.

29th December:

Quite wild conditions in the early hours whilst benign, calm and overcast conditions continue throughout the morning and into the early afternoon. However things did clear up somewhat in the afternoon in the cooler westerly flow with only a few scattered clouds rolling across the sky during the wintry sunset in the afternoon. Some showers arrived in the evening with hail and the wind picked up a bit too but it's been dry and currently is dry with the sky alternating between clear intervals and period of cloud cover. Very mild in the early hours with 12C at Glasgow airport but the temperature in the evening dropped to 4C. There could be further showers overnight with a chance of snow. The atlantic should arrive later tomorrow but colder conditions could briefly arrive for New Year's Eve before milder weather returns for the start of the New Year.

30th December:

A cold start with a low of 2C at Glasgow Airport. Showers continued to feed in from the west and at 2am it was certainly snowing for a time but later in the morning the showers turned more to rain and as they arrived in organised bands there was some good periods of quite heavy rainfall. And also fairly windy too. It was mostly cloudy all day with just a few occasions in the early afternoon when it looked like it was going to clear up. It was also quit cold for much of the day but now the temperatures are into double figures as a front arrives from Ireland and there have been periods of rain throughout today. For the last day of 2012 it looks like being quite wet and cloudy to begin with before colder air follows behind later and there could be some wintry showers for parts of Scotland. Then things start to become settled but Scotland is still vulnerable to atlantic fronts and should be mostly mild. However, the predicted SSW and other current trends could mean that this high pressure may find itself at more northern latitudes -aka Greenland - and there is the potential for something significant later in January.

31st December - New Year's Eve:

It was wet and mild to during the early hours and morning with a maximum temperature of 10C. The front cleared but some cloud cover lingered into the early afternoon but the sky cleared for a one last sunset for 2012 and it was a wonderful wintry sunset with red cirrus clouds and a great wintry tint of blue in the sky. The temperature dropped in the cooler northwesterly but there were a few showers and some of which fell as snow in central Scotland but I didn't observe clear-cut snow. It's quite chilly, currently 2C at Glasgow airport so I don't think there'll be an air frost there during remaining hour of 2012. Looking out the window not too long ago it was a lovely winter's night with a starry sky and hopefully to start the New Year there will be some snow in those showers. But it will become milder but more settled in the first week of January but things should become really interesting as we progress through January. 2012 has been a strange year for weather it could have been better but let's take a look back: January was mild and unsettled to begin with and there was an incredible storm on the 3rd. It was settled, cold and frosty mid-month before becoming unsettled again. January did become colder towards the end and the cold conditions lasted into the first third of February. However February ended wet and mild. March was very mild overall and a very dry towards and end but many will remember it for the exceptional warm spell in late March with records broken. April was a contrast with a snowfall in early April and much of the month was cold and quite unsettled. And the cold and unsettled weather prevailed into May before there was another amazing heatwave in late May with the warmest temperature of the year 27C. June was really poor for summer weather and so was July but there were a few decent moments. August was the best month with quite warm weather during the first two thirds before it turned quite cold at the end. September started off fairly pleasant but it fairly mixed and there were some cold days and also some stormy and very wet weather. October was cold and frosty with alternating wet and dry periods and a snowfall at the end of the month. November started off showery, fresh and frosty but wetter and milder weather prevailed during the middle of the month. But November ended on a cold note and snowiest and the coldest weather of the year persisted from late November into the first half of December with snow lying for around a week in early December. However, despite the very decent start, much wetter and unsettled weather has been present in the final two thirds with problems with flooding. A milder end too but there have been a couple of snowfalls. December has been a month of two halves but overall a decent winter month. That's it for 2012 - and here's to a great new year! After this year's weather, we're all intruiged to see what 2013 has instore!

A Winter's Tale

A Winter's Tale

 

My Weather Diary Of Autumn 2012

[center][b]SEPTEMBER DICUSSION[/b][/center]

1st September: A bit drizzly earlier, then it turned quite nice and sunny for a spell but cloud cover again increased and much of the evening was wet and dull. Tomorrow should be a better day, beyond this there could be some rain at times, cloudy and the model outlook is for quite a warm looking first half of September.

2nd September: Quite grey and dull in the morning before things did brighten up for afterwards. Some clear skies and nice evening light to the south but always a little cloudier further north the area was kind of on the boundary of cloud/clear skies - nonetheless it was a nice September evening sky when looking south towards Glasgow. It's now cloudy now here, but tomorrow we see winds coming from the west and some rain moving near western areas.

3rd September: It was meant to be a grey day but around lunctime and into the afternoon there was a lovely September's day with blue skies, sunshine and a lovely light to the land and it felt quite warm. Then cloud arrived from the west at around 3pm and soon the rain arrived and it was quite heavy at times as atlantic air replaced the sunny, clear skies. Tomorrow, the central belt/Glasgow area could be on the border line between cloud cover and sunshine.

4th September:

Pretty nice September weather today, on the cool side but lots of sunshine and blue skies with some nice looking clouds too so a fairly seasonal and pleasant day. There was a lovely sky in the evening with a nice light blue sky with the earlier dusk and some interesting colours in the cirrus clouds as the sun sets. The next few days are okay with some sunshine tomorrow but more cloud afterwards with some rain and the possibility of an early frost perhaps.

5th September:

Today was very nice day weatherwise, lots of lovely September sunshine and pleasant looking skies and surroundings too! A lovely evening too with a great clear sky in the twilight and it's a nice night - quite cold looking and there's a different light than the summer light and tonight could be quite a cool one. Rain is expected to be in the area tomorrow and it's not too bad an outlook at all for September but I'll keep you posted on what the weather has been like and discuss and comment about upcoming weather and so on.

6th September:

The cold front arrived in the morning and brought grey skies and some rain for a time. It remained cloudy for much of the day but now the clouds aren't as think and there are a few clear patches.

7th September:

Grey and dull all day with some rain at times - hardly an inspiring day for weather.

8th September:

Today was a lot better. There was still some grey, cool, cloudy weather at times but it wasn't as slate grey as yesterday and there were some nice sunny, clear spells in the sky so an okay day overall but right now there is a cloudy night sky with just a few breaks.

9th September:

Another cloudy and uneventful day and rain eventually arrived from the west but it was quite patchy but heavy for periods. Scotland does look set for yet more frontal rainfall but next week could start quite cool and showery with snow on the hills.

10th September:

Grey and damp earlier but tonight it's mostly clear skies with a few clouds - dusk now much later at before 9pm.

11th September:

A nicer, fresh September day with lots of lovely blue skies, sunshine and some showers so a nice autumnal feel to things today.

12th September:

Another beautiful, cool, clear, calm September day, really lovely and scenic and pleasing! But all good things have to come to an end eventually I'm afraid but tonight is going to be another cool one.

13th September:

Today was an classic example of the windier and wilder side to autumn as we have the remains of ex hurricanes. Calmer now but there were some big gusts and some impressive skies and some rainfall/drizzle throughout the day, tomorrow should be a slight improvement.

14th September:

As I said yesterday, today was meant to be a slight improvement and indeed it was. Some nice, cool, autumnal sunshine and clear skies with plenty of regular showers and some strong winds and always breezy.

16th September:

There was some sunshine and blue skies for a period yesterday afternoon but it go cloudier later in the day. Today started off quite windy and wet but it improved and it was a lovely evening.

17th September:

Quite wet and dreich earlier with persistent showers and cool aswell but now lovely, but cool, perfect evening September sunshine glowing on the autumn leaves with a lovely autumn light and a lovely calm, cool evening blue sky.

18th September:

Glorious sunshine and again blue skies but the light of everything looks much more autumnal now. A cool day with some showers and quite fresh too so quite a pleasant cool September day. And the coming nights look cool, well into single figures and temperatures here could drop below 5C. So a cool couple of days, some rainfall in the form of showers and some but skies should rarely be completely overcast.

19th September:

After sleet being reported at Loch Glascarnoch yesterday, last night was very cold and here in Glasgow it got down to around 4C and colder than that in other rural spots. A lovely day with some and a nice cool, sunny, at times breezy and showery September day. Tonight is also quit cool, calm and largely clear.

20th September:

Well into autumn now and today was largely went and cold and miserable thanks to a front moving in from the south stalling over southern and central scotland. It later cleared so there was an improvement in the evening and not a bad, calm, half-clear autumnal night and cool too - current 7C. The next few nights and days should be dry and with clear skies but cold.

21st September:

It went down to 3C earlier today, lovely morning aswell with glorious sunshine. A few more clouds in the sky later on in the afternoon but I was able to play tennis in lovely evening sunshine before a few showers crossed over. A lovely autumn night too and currently 4C so a frost could be on the cards!

22nd September:

I can confirm that this morning had the official first frost of the winter. Woke up at 8am and the car was covered in a frost and some ice, very slight frost on the grass and beautiful morning. Minimum temperatures between 7-8am were at around 0C across the central belt, -1C recored at Glasgow Airport so I'm not sure whether there was an air frost here but nevertheless the autumnal chill was present this morning with frost and low temperatures. Once the sun was up the temperature rised rapidly, clouds did increase however thanks to a system influencing from the west but it was a fairly pleasant, average autumnal afternoon. Still cool outside right now but it should be nowhere near as cold as last night. Some stormy and unpleasant weather is expected for southern areas of the British Isles tomorrow.

23rd September:

Another cold, sunny, beautiful morning with a low of 4C and with the sun up the temperatures rose. A lovely, bright day with some sunshine, blue skies and fair cloud cover and a nice evening too with an interesting moon. Tomorrow however looks like being a wild day here.

24th September:

A miserable day here, but even worse further south where more than a month's rainfall fell in less than 24hrs resulting in floods. The heavy rain is now moving further north so Glasgow should get some rain but should escape the worst of it but right now the winds are strong and gusty and there is a distinct, wild, stormy autumnal feel about tonight. Tomorrow should be changeable too but the following days should be a lot calmer with some decent but cool conditons at times.

25th September:

Last night was stormy and lots more leaves are on the ground after last night. Today had less rainfall, but still breezy and it became a little brighter but still a classicly set-up unsettled autumn day. Some terrible distruption from the deep low in other areas of the UK with floods and strong winds and in Aberdeen there foam mixed with sand being blown off the sea into the villages. The next few days look better though.

26th September:

Quite pleasant and stunning at times today with some lovely periods of autumnal sunshine throughout the day but quite cool and there were some pockets of clouds moving over from time to time bringing a few showers. Less wind today after the recent low which was the deepest for September in the British Isles in around 30 years.

27th September:

Another cool day, quite pleasant at times with some nice autumnal skies and sunshine in clear periods. Overcast currently and fairly calm too.

28th September:

Showery, fresh and cool today, classic autumnal weather with some nice cool, crystal clear blue skies with some impressive shower clouds bringing short but heavy rainfalls. Cool today but very scenic when the sun comes out. A nice moon and night sky tonight - very atmospheric.

29th September:

Less showers today than yesteray, quite calm too, cloudy right now but there was plenty of lovely autumn sunshine and skies earlier but transitionary between periods of cloud cover and clearer skies.

30th September:

Some rain overnight and heavy showers in the morning but it turned out a very nice autumn day, some lovely sunshine and skies once more and a calm, largely clear night with another bright, small moon.

[center][b]OCTOBER DISCUSSION[/b][/center]

1st October:

The first day of October has been changeable, less sunshine than yesterday with plenty of showers coming in from the west - some very heavy. A recent heavy shower has cleared, patches of fast moving clouds in the night sky with glimpses of a moon in the clear bits. Quite cool at 8C too.

2nd October:

Another showery day, brief periods of some sunshine and the changeable theme looks set to continue this week, some sunshine at times but some rain will be present too and it should become colder as we move go through the week. Possibility of stormy and cool autumnal weather beyond this week.

3rd October:

Brighter today with some spells of autumn sunshine and impressive autumn colours are highlighted in it's full glory when the sun is out. But it was a cool autumn day with showers around and one or two these where pretty heavy but on the whole there were less showers than yesterday. Tonight, it's currently 5C so a cold night is likely and there are less showers around the it's a nice, calm, largely clear October night.

4th October:

Fantastic crisp, cold October morning with temperatures hovering just above freezing and it looked wonderful with the sunshine glowing on the fog. Temperatures were close to an air frost but nonetheless it was a cold, winter-like morning and the second of the type this season so far (although we have had temperatures dip below 5C on no. of occasions) temperatures weren't quite low enough for long enough for a ground frost to form. The flog cleared and temperatures rose quickly as a calm and mostly bright afternoon followed but there were a few showers at times and usually a little cloud cover. The light during the day and night and the weather combined with the earlier dusk/later dawn and the migrating birds signals that we are properly into autumn now. Temperatures have been at 9C for a while now and cloud cover is increasing with some rain approching from the west.

5th October:

Temperatures went down to around 6C here this morning but there was so morning mist/sunshine once more. Temperatures rose and it was a lovely autumnal day some clouds developed as the day went and one moment in the afternoon it was quite cloudy but the evening and night has remained largely clear and cool. The next few days also look quite cool/cold in the mornings and some sunny spells. Definetley getting deeper into autumn now!

6th October:

5C was a cold as it got this morning and it was another glorious morning too. Around luchtime and early afternoon it became a little overcast but afterwards skies were mostly clear again and there was fantastic dusk with red/pink cirrus clouds in the pale blue sky. Currently 4C so another cold, clear, calm night is on the cards.

7th October:

Very cold start with an air and group frost and temperatures just below freezing early this morning and glorious day too with fantastic sunshine. Right now, tonight is milder and cloudier now.

8th October:

It's a very familiar story now, as we continue our run of lovely, cold, sunny October mornings. A touch of frost this morning as the temperature hovered around 0C - possibly another air frost - and again the autumnal sunshine was glorious. A bit cloudy as a weak front passed over earlier this evening but it's about to clear and another cold morning should be on the cards for tomorrow.

9th October:

There have been some slight frosts so far this autumn but this morning was the frist proper frost of the autumn so far. A very covering of shinning frost on cars and roofs this morning as temperatures were around freezing so probably an air frost. And again, a wonderful, sunny, calm, cold October day in what has been a spell of lovely autumnal weather. Tonight, it's calm, clear and the temperature is already at 2C so another ground and air frost could be on the cards for the morning.

10th October:

Possibly one of the best days of the year so far, glorious weather until late this evening, a fantastic, sunny autumnal day. And the best frosty morning of the season so far with a minimum of -3C and fantastic morning sunshine and blue skies and quite a hard frost, the afternoon had fantastic sunshine and blue skies too. Really stunning and pleasant autumnal weather, and the frosts and changes in temperatures, daylight and environment shows that we are very much in a different season now. However cloud is increasing from the west as a front approches to push this settled weather east and replace it with rain.

11th October:

A largely grey day which became very wet and dark and dull later on, but right now at night it's the rain isn't as heavy and should be clearing quite soon, but the run of lovely dry, cold days has ended but it isn't bad to get your dreich autumnal day as long as you don't got it 7 days a week lol! A lot milder at night, temperatures by day around 12C, unsettled outlook lets set to continue for a while. Nights are longer now, dawn at 7am and dusk at 7pm, and the leaves have begun to really fall of the trees with increased rainfall and wind after a spell of cold nights.

12th October:

Little sunshine at all today, just a generally grey, overcast and at times damp October's day. But further north and east in Scotland, the front stalled and dumped lots of rain over the area and as a result there was some flooding.

13th October:

Well, we had the cold, sunny, frosty side of autumn now we've got the grey, quite wet side with temperatures around 7-11C and darker alot earlier with the cloudy skies - very few clear breaks today. We also had the showery side of October but we're yet to the see the stormy and windy side but so far it's been a fairly typical October. It should remain overcast tonight but tomorrow should perhaps see some more breaks as the day goes on and tomorrow night may be a cold one. Quite changeable, with short periods of cold nights, sunny days and before fronts arrive bringing cloud cover and rain.

14th October:

After a wet start, skies cleared later in the morning with some sunshine but there were always scattered clouds in the sky and it became showery - some said it was sleetly (however I'll only start the snow diary once proper snowfall is observed) and there was the first risk of low land wintry precipitation in NE Scotland, things then cleared at around dusk with a fantastic sky before some more showers arrived, tonight should be quite clear and possibly a frost. The next few days should have a mixture of sunny spells and fronts.

15th October:

A frosty start today, and a lovely sunny morning with the temperature around 0C again this month. A lovely day too and a cold one, quite cold right now but a frost is unlikely with a front coming in from the west across from Ireland, a cold night further north however.

16th October:

No frost, but a miserable morning with the front moving north, as a result some freezing cold rain at temperatures hovering around 2-5C, more like a January morning with snow on the hills but the front cleared and we had the first sub 10C maxima since 18th May and there was some lovely October evening late sunshine, cold day in Aviemore with maxima of 3C, temperatures now at 2C with ice forming on car but front is approching from the south so how low can it gow before the front arrives?

17th October:

Got down to 1C at Glasgow airport before the front arrived, a very wet and miserable morning, very cold in Braemar with a low of -8C, some snow at low levels in the highlands for a time but mainly above sea level. A wet few days up here possible, possibly an indian summer to follow for the south of England and maybe a taster for winter later in the month?

18th October:

No sunshine or clear skies today really, just grey and very wet and miserable at times. Temperatures reaching max of 11C. Tomorrow should be grey at times, so yes we're currently experiencing the dull, dark and damp side of October, a brief indian summer seems likely for the south of England, potentially a taste of northerly later next week.

19th October:

Grey, drizzle, windy, cold in other words miserable. The next few days could continue to be overcast aswell.

20th October:

Mostly cloudy for the morning and lunchtime, sometime sunlight made it through the clouds, come afternoon clouds cleared in the south and east and there was some lovely autumnal sunshine and blue skies and the land looked great with the autumnal colours. A nice evening too, hardly absolutely clear skies but scattered clouds making a fantastic sky. After a max of around 12C, there was a nice dusk and a great moon. Half clear night, the clouds are orange in the night sky with Glasgow conurbation down below, now 7C. Could be a fine line between cloud cover and some sunshine during the next few days. End of next week and northerly plunge into Europe seems likely, Scotland on the edge of it. Snowfall in Glasgow seems highly unlikely but it should be cold for a while, it's great to see potential that was impossibe to get this time last year, I'm fine with seasonal autumnal conditions for now but cold and wintry conditions do have a place in autumnal weather I suppose.

21st October:

Much better day, fantastic sunshine and warm in the sun too, infact it was the warmest day of the month so far with a max of 14C, a lovely dusk too, a different type of colour to the sky at this time of year, and it becomes darker a lot earlier. A fantastic moon too. Got to say that I really love clear evenings at this time of year but in actual fact I generally love autumnal weather as much as the other seasons - all four seasons are marvelous. So today was a calm, sunny day, the next few days more overcast and dull, end of next week is looking interesting with potential in the charts regarding cold synoptics that was impossible this time last year, a real blocked scenario, low pressure over Scandinavia and a northerly so a cold end to next week looks likely and there could be some snow. Fascinating stuff!!!

22nd October:

Started off misty with and very cold with a low of 0C recorded at Glasgow airport. A bone chilling wind too, a mostly cloudy and grey day, and largely calm with a little breeze that felt pretty cold. Mild in the south of Britian, next few days should continue to be cloudy before colder and crisp conditions arrive later this week.

23rd October:

A nothing day is how I would describe today's weather with no wind and just very low extensive cloud cover and poor visibility. But all the leaves on the ground makes things look nicer though.

I'm not expecting any snow here later this week but looking forward to some fantastic crisp, sunny and cold conditions with some lovely frosty nighst too and am really looking forward to hearing the snow reports from a lucky few. What difference a year makes.

BBC says maximum temperature for Glasgow should be 6C for Friday and Saturday, Torrance should be a little cooler than the city and even colder to the north of the Campsies. Lowest temperature this month is -3C so on Friday night the minimum should come close to that. It would be interesting to see what sort of temperature readings we get across the country. One thing that has caught my eye is the rain moving into western and northern areas late on Saturday night, cold temperatures on the ground but I'd imagine that the hills should see some snow. The outlook beyond is interesting, one to follow that's for sure.

24th October:

Sunny and clear skies especially afternoon and evening, some fantastic skies and conditions and colours and great relief from the cloud cover from the past few days. Now a little cloudier hidding the moon. Northerly and colder nights to come after tomorrow for a couple of days.

25th October:

A cloudy and mild start but arctic air moving south saw periods with fantastic, clear, blue but cold looking skies - the sort of air you have during clear northerlies. Sometimes lines of clouds increased because of cold fronts moving further south. Following that, a stunning dusk and incredible clear, cold looking skies with very few clouds and some fantastic colours as the sun set below the horizon. And temperatures took a big fall after the cold front passed, Glasgow airport recorded no air frost today (as far as I know) but here I think there's a frost developing on the cars, certainly by morning it'll be very cold and sunny. Shetland so the first snowfall today, later tomorrow some others will see snow which is great, probably none here but following the temperatures and enjoying the great weather will be fantastic.

26th October:

An outstanding day!!!! Started off cold, now visible frost but I think the temperature droped below 0C. There was a thin cloud cover that sooned cleared replaced by fantastic, crisp, crystal clear cold looking skies with a few small, isolated clouds. In the afternoon/evening cloud cover increased with the remains of snow showers. At 5pm, one snow shower managed to make it down to this part of the world, I could see the dark purple snow shower and a fantastic moon to the east in the cold evening sky. The maximum temperature failed to make it above 7C, and at 5pm a very light snow shower fell here! Not only the first snow event of the season here, but the first snowfall I've ever seen here in October. And that marked the start of my snow diary which keeps record of snow events this season and the winter blog with discussion about winter weather - both this Diary of weather and the winter blog will discuss weather throughout the winter. But what about elsewhere. Well, snow showers were persistent across northern and eastern areas and the met office issued a yellow warning for snow (never seen a warning for snow so early before). Many eastern and northern areas saw some wintry showers and some areas that didn't expect snow showers received some and convection of snow showers exceeded expectations and so did the depths of snow that were'nt expected in some areas - it probably snowed in more places that previous expected. However, NE Scotland and Aberdeen in particular were hit very badly by a very potent snowfall for this time of year, causing distruption and snow measured in inches - very remarkable for this time of year. Last notable snowfall in the British Isles was in April. Definetley a notable period of cold and wintry weather here in the British Isles along with October 2008. As we've seen already this month, you expect a trend for temperatures to generally cool down and to have some cold nights with frosts as we've seen this month but today has been an example of both very cold and wintry weather this early in the season. Reporting Scotland also had some decent coverage of the snow today. This evening was fantastic, a great clear dusk with a fantastic moon, fantastic scattered clouds and a fantastic clear, cold clear sky. A cold night should be on the cards with an air frost, before rain moves in from the west and milder weather intervenes, uncertainty over the details of the unsettled weather to follow and what could follow the start of next week so watch this space! Certainly an interesting period of weather, an interesting October day it has been in an interesting month.

27th October:

Droped to -3C at Glasgow airprort, since 1999 there has never been an October with as many air frosts as 2012. A fantastic clear, sunny and cold October's morning. Cloud gradually increased and so did the temperature and later some rain arrived with low pressure moving from the west. An unsettled few days seem likely.

28th October:

A mostly cloudy, grey and at times damp autumnal day. However right now, there are a few breaks in the night sky, and a fantastic moon in the dark clear patch is reflecting its light on surrounding clouds, further towards the city however there's a classic orange glow of the night sky. A calm night too with a coating of water over plants and trees, temperature now somewhere near 7C after being stuck at 8 to 9C for much of the day. Now the moon is visibile but a thin layer of cloud cover is in front of it. A very typical night for this time of year and the typical autumnal, mostly unsettled, changeable and mostly cool weather should continue - an interesting period of weather to follow.

29th October:

A chilly day today with a bone-chilling breeze. But cloud cover was thinner with some clear spells and during the evening the clear spells become more widespread and it was a nice autumnal evening and another good moon. However cloud cover has increased somewhat recently. An autumnal week infront of us but Hurrican Sandy is causing alarming problems for the east coast of America.

30th October:

A grey, dull and a classic atlantic day in autumn with rainfall coming in from the west. And some more rain to come as this atlantic, unsettled weather continues overnight and tomorrow but some clear spells and some showers in the following days seem likely with some cool night - so a cool, changeable but quite sunny few days of autumnal weather to come I suppose....

31st October:

A band of rain brought damp, dull and heavy overcast, grey skies for the day with an atlantic aspect of our autumn weather with slate grey skies, steady rain at times and a bone-chilling winds making things feel quite raw. As the front cleared, a mosaic of strips of thin cloud cover with a tint of purple against a backdrop of the black autumn evening night sky and it's now mostly calm and clear and a nice unique sort of night sky and colour that only really happens at this time of year. A cold night too with temperatures at a few spots in Scotland below freezing, here it's at 1C, with some most so a nice cold night in what has been a frosty October. On this Halloween night, we conclude what has been a fascinating and enjoyable October but I wonder what November will bring - nonetheless I'm looking forward to it.

[center][b]NOVEMBER DISCUSSION[/b][/center]

1st November:
Showery but cold wi
th an air frost recorded at Glasgow Aiport during the early hours with mist too. Really cold air throughout the day with maxima of only 7C and the light now during the day has a wintry element to it now and it's getting darker earlier - with dusk at 5.15pm. A lovely evening and afternoon and skies cleared and a fantastic pale blue sky becoming darker as the dusk neared and clouds increased from the west bringing an organised area of showers - quite dreich and raw, wet weather has followed later this evening a cloudier autumn night - some heavy showers at times too. The cool and showery regime looks set to continue for the next few days so not a bad start at all to November.

2nd November:

Temperature rose to 8C in the early hours before dropping a bit then rising again in the afternoon. There was a particulary heavy shower here at 10am but thereafter it's been another nice, generally clear November evening with a few clouds and nice colours and tones of blue in the dusk sky. The temperature in the evening dipped to around 2C and the temperature at Glasgow aiprort is close to freezing now. The showery and cool regime should last for a couple of days before we should enter a period of transition/change to milder westerlies but what will follow that remains uncertain but there's a lot to look out for during the coming days and weeks.

3rd November:

The temperature in the early hours dipped below freezing before a more organised area of showers arrived. Snow was reported at 6am at Faifley, unfortuantly I wasn't there to confirm whether it snowed here but the presence of snow in the area would be enough to make snowfall no.2 of the season so far. Snow also fell across Fife, Perthshire and Stirling earlier in the morning. It was a cold morning here, mostly sunny with a few scattered shower clouds moving in off the Firth of Clyde from the south west - maximum temperature failed to make it above 7C as it was a lovely cold, sunny November's day with some light rain showers at times. I went for a drive at around 4pm as some more rain showers arrived. Some snow on the northern side of the Campsie Fells and some lovely clear, cold evening skies with stars when showers cleared. Further into the evening, it was cold with temperatures around 3 to 5C, showers further west so drier with some scattered thin clouds that fade as they move further east across the cental belt, a lovely cold, calm night too with the sound and smell of fireworks, an evening chill and a mostly clear, dark evening sky with a few clouds reflecting the orange glow of the city - fantastic November weather. Not a bad start to November with cold days and nights, some showers but also some nice skies and sunshine/clear spells. The next few days should stay on the cold side, perhaps becoming a little milder then it's anyones guess as to what comes next....but it'll be interesting and exciting to watch how things unfold.



4th November:

During the early hours of this morning, the temperature was a couple of degrees above freezing and some thin cloud cover and a few light rain showers persisted through the morning and early afternoon. Later in the afternoon the cloud cover began to break up before sunset as the temperature maxed at 7C and it was a very cold evening. The temperature hovering around 0C for much of the evening and a largely clear sky with calm, cold conditions and starry sky with fireworks and distant thin clouds in the southern horizon moving westwards as the wind changed to an easterly. Current -1C at Glasgow Airport so tonight could be a very cold one and then we have the last of the cold spell for Bonfire Night - hopefully another calm, crisp and mostly clear night for fireworks - lovely November weather when it's cold and clear, especially in the evenings. And I also have to mention that there was a potent snowfall for parts of the south west England this morning with a channel low and some accumilations up to 15cm in places. Milder weather should arrive after tomorrow but what will follow this - as I've said before an interesting period of model and weather watching is upon us.

5th November:

Bonfire night! Had some average fireworks earlier but it was a cold evening with a frost developing in frost and temperature hovering around 1C. It was a fantastic day too with a very cold morning and a low -3C and a lovely sunny day before dusk fell and the starry night followed with some mist. Turning milder tonight with a front coming down from the north west.

6th November:

A milder day today after a low of 1C in the early hours. Also quite cloudy too with just a few spells when there were breaks in the clouds in the westerly wind and there was some rain at times. Tomorrow should have some ligh rain during the day and a mostly cloudy day with the westerly theme continuing for the next few days.

7th November:

Temperature reached a maximum of 11C and minimum of 9C so much, much milder today and also yesterday. On top of that, the westerly winds have brought windy, mostly cloudy conditions with rain - some breaks, but also some heavy downpours at times. There were a few clearer spells in the evening amongst the fast moving clouds moving further east. Tomorrow may be drier with some sunny spells before another front arrives on Friday followed slightly cooler, possibly drier weather for the weekend with a few sunny spells.

8th November:

Some pleasant spells of autumnal sunshine and many patches of clear skies earlier today with just a few clouds blowing over at times. Temperatures still milder than the first few days of the month although it felt chilly in the wind at times. Cloud cover increased in the evening with less clear spells, now mostly overcast with the orange glow of the city and quite calm too before the next front arrives.

9th November:

After the frontal rainfall this morning, the rain eased but skies remainded quite cloudy into the early afternoon before more clear patches developed in the afternoon but there were also a few showers too. Right now there are patches of clear skies and cloud cover, largely calm. Cool, dry and possibly sunny weekend before a more unsettled start to next week.

10th November:

Throughout much of this morning and into the afternoon, it was a fairly overcast and grey day with some light/rain drizzle at times. Quite uninspiring and it seemed really dark early in the afternoon. However things thankfully did clear up later in the afternoon and the evening with a lovely clear, autumn evening/night's sky with wonderful stars insight with some scattered areas of cloud cover. A calm night right now with the temperature at Glasgow airport at 0C, some mist here and a half-clear skies.

11th November:

It was quite bright earlier in the morning with temperatures of 3C but skies were mostly grey until later in the afternoon when some clear skies developed as dusk approched. With a front coming in from the west tomorrow should start off wet.

12th November:

After a low of 2C in the early hours, the depression brought much milder, atlantic weather with cloudy skies all day and plenty of wet weather in the morning. Mildest day of the month with a high of 13C, tomorrow should also be mild with further rainfall in the coming days. The outlook for November is uncertain but should be fun to follow and GFS 18z shows perhaps the start of the big freeze 2013....??!!

13th November:

Grey, dull and damp day which made things even darker earlier in the afternoon. Very mild too with maximum temperature of 14C. Tomorrow also looking damp, grey and mild too and after that things are looking changeable but I'm really looking forward to what's yet to come this month as the models are catching attention and should continue to do so - I'm intruiged to see which sort of synoptics evolve in the runs during the coming days and weeks. With a bit of luck we should be in a very good position to start the winter off.

14th November:

Another mild, grey, overcast and wet day with some unpleasant conditions to be out in earlier but the rain did ease for periods but conditions remained damp into the afternoon and skies mostly overcast since. However right now it is foggy but looking up I can however see a star so it could be a little clearer. Tomorrow however is looking like a murky sort of a day.

15th November:

Quite dense fog during the early morning and visibility remained poor into the afternoon. An entirely grey, dull quite murky and dreich day with some unpleasant conditions with periods of rainfall with wet conditions throughout. After a chilly start temperatures got milder later maxing at 10C. I think the rain has stopped here for now and possibly some rain tomorrow but I think there could be brighter and colder weather for the weekend and possibly some wintry showers in a polar westerly flow but it would be marginal for this part of Scotland. Staying unsettled a bit beyond with low pressure close to the British Isles and high pressure further east but there are signs of developments which could lead to blocking - certainty a period of transition is developing later on the model runs.

16th November:

Grey all day and wet too at times - a bit drier now. Tomorrow should be a sunnier, cooler day with some showers - hopefully wintry.

17th November:

A lovely sunny start with some light rain and a hail shower in the morning. Shower activity increased in the afternoon with some heavy showers and fewer clear spells. During a drive around the Campsies there was some sleet around Fintry and also some bits of sleety rain in Lennoxtown and Bearsden. The temperature had dropped to around 3C. With less shower than earlier, skies are clear and conditions are calm.

18th November:

A nice sunny November's day. Went for a walk in the afternoon and it felt very cold with largely clear skies as the sun began to set. A few showers at around 3pm with a bit of hail. Since then, cloud cover has increased throughout the evening - the signs of change to what is looking like a mild, wet and classic autumnal affair this coming week.

19th November:

Very mild today with a maximum of 13C and very heavy rain and unpleasant conditions in the morning with flooding across parts of Scotland. There was a little brightness in the afternoon as the rain eased but skies have remained mostly cloudy.

20th November:

A mild day with southerly winds. The morning was cloudy but there was some pleasant sunshine and clear spells during the afternoon and early evening, a pleasant sunset and dusk and a good view of the moon too with a largely clear sky. Now it's more overcast.

21st November:

It felt cooler today, but it was a lovely day. Particulary lunchtime and afternoon in what was fantastic, clear sunny and calm November weather as the sun stes earlier and the moon comes out earlier too. Some lovely looking scenes and skies. It was a great night sky after dusk, but a front moving in from the west - set to bring rain tomorrow - has led to increased cloud cover here. But, northern blocking could return in 7 days time, with some fantastic charts today - shades of November 2010, very exciting but need more runs!!!

22nd November:

Severe, wet and windy = unpleasant conditions for many parts of the UK today. An incredible squall at 7am with very heavy rain, winds too, loss of tv signal it fel like the world was ending and everybody here noticed it. Thereafter, it was cloudy with spells of steady rain throughout the day feeling chilly but max of 11C. Showery and a little cooler weather in the next few days. Nothern blocking likely to set-up and a cooler/colder period next week but at this stage, of course, there is a lot of variability regarding the details of the cold spell but the potential remains, as I've said we are in very interesting and exciting times to start winter.

23rd November:

A cooler and fresher day today with plenty of showers and intervals of clear skies and sunshine and clouds in the westerly wind. But generally clear spells developing during the evening and now it's mostly clear other than a few clouds passing over and there is a moon, that was visible in the sky since the afternoon. Regarding the cold spell later next week, the blocking pattern is there, however the details of the blocking and the weather associated with it at this stage aren't at all clear but it's exciting to follow and the scenario we are in now is a good one to start of December. I wonder what the coming days will bring with regards to the development of mapping out the details of the cold spell. It's early but exciting times on the winter rollercoster.

24th November:

Coldest day of the autumn and coldest since February. At 11pm, the temperature at Glasgow airport has reached it's maximum of 4C - could be the first sub 5C day of the season but that needs to be confirmed. Another air frost this morning with a low of -1C, ice on the cars and the temperature was at 2/3C throughout the day. A calm day too, with thin cloud cover during the afternoon after a sunny start. But now it's raining as a big system is moving northwards so tomorrow should also be wet, cloudy here. Colder spell is coming, details are far from being clear, a few models showing some spectactular charts. Trend for northern blocking also in place, to end the month and start December. It's far from clear, but it is interesting and hopefully as details become clearer we'll be rewarded with fantastic winter weather.

25th November:

Started off wet and raw, before skies cleared in the afternoon and it was a lovely, cold, clear and starry evening with fog patches developing later. Maximum temperatures of 6C and temperature dropped to -1C at 11pm. With the floods in England, this week is looking better with drier conditions with winds turning to a northerly after the last of the wet conditions tomorrow - but it looks like we'll have a cold end to November with seasonal conditions which I'm looking forward to. We'll have to wait longer to have a clearer idea regarding synoptics - quite volatile variations - blocking is a certainty but the details regarding the nature of the blocking and the weather associated with it are very unclear, but day by day we should be gaining a clearer idea. Great times for model watching and for following the weather. Plenty of potential regarding the weather that could be ahead of us -we should find out a lot more during this week and I'm looking forward to the weather this week and following how things evolve. Very foggy outside and cold - great late November night.

26th November:

After a low of -1C, there was thin cloud cover during the morning which broke up in the afternoon to leave a pleasant sunset with the fantastic colour of the sky with the blend of the blue clear sky and the red on the scattered clouds reflecting the light from the setting sun. Right now the sky is half clear/cloudy but the moon is visible through the thin clouds - calm with temperatures of 5C. I'm looking forward to some pleasant and seasonal weather during the rest of the week with potentially the coldest day of the season so far - possibly the coldest this year. As I tend to enjoy the weather for what it is, I particulary love cold, crisp weather at this time of year but it would be fantastic to have some snow to top it off, perhaps during the coming days as the model begin to have a grasp on the outlook later this week then perhaps there could be a brief taste of something wintry. The model rollercoaster and see-saw continues but it's looking like a generally cool/cold outlook (for Scotland at least) regardless of whether it's zonal or blocked and the potential for further blocking througout December which is a pretty good place to be - it should be interesting to see what sort of weather we get and what the developments regarding the stratosphere and the NH are during December. You never know, we could well be in a big freeze come Christmas with it a bit of luck (hopefully we'll have more solid blocking firmly over Greenland rather than having a block that's under pressure from the jet stream) and with yet more potential for later on in the winter. We are in a much more promising position than we were last year - having said that last December was very good for wintry weather here in Glasgow.

27th November:

A lovely crisp, sunny winter's day with a fantastic colour to everything with the sun so low in the sky. Absolutely fantastic looking sky this afternoon as the sun sets, and the dusk was breathtaking with an incredible orange glow looking south west on the horzion - totally clear, cold looking skies as the night's draw in with only a few thin strips of cloud on the horzion as the city begins to light up during the rush hour. Temperature dropped to 0C this evening with the 20th air frost day at Glasgow airport this autumn. Temperature has risen now to 3C before midnight, a clear night other than a few clouds and a fantastic starry sky and a great moon. It's feeling like winter again. A cold week coming up, the weather during the next few days is looking nice with possibly the first ice day of the year on Thursday according to the BBC and maybe a little snow for the weekend. But considering how we are in a particulary tricky period for forecasting - even at a short-range- many details will change but this is making for an enjoyable and interesting week for following the weather and the models. At the moment it seems likely that for the first part of December there could be a cold pool to our east, and favourable background signals for blocking so there's a lot to look forward to into December on the model front and on the weather front.

28th November:

Stunning winter's day, sunshine and great colours in the afternoon and evening as the sun sets, a wonderful reflection the landscape and the clouds and the tones in the clear sky are amazing at dusk as the stars and the moon come out early. Very cold this morning with low of -3C, high of 5C and frost remained all day in sheltered spots. Currently -4C which is the coldest it has been all season - I wonder how low it will go. A fantastic, calm, clear cold night. The next few days are looking good with the possibility of perhaps some snow on Friday and during the weekend.

29th November:

Very cold this morning with -5C reached for the first time this season and the coldest temperature for this date in my lifetime. Another great winter's day with cold, crisp, calm and clear conditions and maximum temperature at Glasgow airport was 3C - now back down to 0C. A harsh frost with a very cold morning, everything white and the frost lingered very well in places all day. Some cloud cover in the afternoon and evening with a few clear patches, temperature hovering at -1/0C but right now there are a few clear spells and I can see the fantastic stars. Cold, -2C and another cold night on the cards. Tomorrow and the weekend should be cold to finish November and start December. There could be some snow for some, even here in Glasgow tomorrow and maybe even some wintryness on Sunday. A fantastic end to November and start to winter, very seasonal, wonderful winter weather.

30th November:

Last update of what has been an enjoyable and a cold autumn 2012. Another very cold morning with a low -5C with another great, quite hard frost. The view this morning was umbeliavable as the sun was barely above the horizon, a red sky in the morning as the sun rose, a fantastic slight mist in some of the valleys and the entire landscape looking frozen. Frost lingered into the afternoon and in some shaded areas the lingering frost looking more like a covering of snow. Wonderful sunshine and blue skies later in the morning and into the afternoon but cloud cover increased in the afternoon with a front moving southward. This evening the temperature was at 1/2C (2C the maximum temperature and the joint coldest high of 2012) and there was heavy cold rain and very cold air making incredibly raw conditions. It was so cold that a kind of steam/mist was rising off objects. Snow flurries this morning in the east and this front has brought some accumiltions up to 3C in a few places in south eastern Scotland snow showers are following behind in the north east. But for the start of winter, I imagine that ice will be a very big hazard. Looking outside, it's clearer with some scattered clouds and I can see the stars in the clear patches - calm. An interesting way to end autumn 2012. Next - Winter 2012/2013.

A Winter's Tale

A Winter's Tale

 

Autumn Forecast 2012

[b][u][u]AWT'S Autumn 2012 Forecast[/u][/u][/b]

[b][u][u]SEPTEMBER [/u][/u][/b]... quite warm and changeable with good periods of both dry and wet and windy autumnal weather. Temperatures 0.0 to 1.0 above normal. CET 14.0C. Rainfall 110% in the north/west to 60% in the south east, spells of active atlantic weather. Sunshine 5-15% above normal.

[b][u][u]OCTOBER [/u][/u][/b]... warm start, cooler end and wet, windy and changeable at times. Temperatures 0.5C below to 0.75 above the normal. CET 10.8C. Rainfall 120% in the north west to 75% in the south east, depressions and showery precipitation bringing rainfall. Sunshine 5-10% above normal.

[b][u][u]NOVEMBER[/u][/u] [/b]... cool and mild spells, average overall and quite wet and windy. Temperatures 0.5C below to 0.5C above normal. CET 7.1C. Rainfall 110% in western and northern areas to 70% in the south and east. Sunshine 0-10% above normal.

A Winter's Tale

A Winter's Tale

 

My Weather Diary Of Summer 2012: My Blog

[center][b]JUNE DISCUSSION[/b][/center]

6th June:

Hello there folks, we've had a tops-turvy Spring and now we are in summer. The first we days were sunny but cold here in Glasgow with frosts in the highlands. Now, the Atlantic is up and running with a southerly tracking jet bring rain to all from the SW, however sunny sunny intervals between fronts are possible. It's worth following developments in the models and what the weather is like over the next wee while. Not long to the Euros soon, so an exciting month as I begin 5th year. So every few days, I'll give a round of of what the weather has been like, what I've been doing and so on.

9th June:

The Euros have started and I am looking forward to some good football. The weather recently has been interesting, not what you'd normally expect for summer as a more autumnal storm hit the SW. Today there has been floods in Wales. Here, we've had some periods of showery and bands of rain aswell as some brighter periods, generally cool and changeable. Could be worse, so it's not all that depressing yet but I would like to eventually see a change to something else, preferably more akin to summer. But I tend to appreciate all forms of British weather and accept and enjoy it but there are some weather types that I prefer to some others at different times of year.

14th June:

Hello. Been enjoying the football recently. The weather is less dull and wet as in recent days, but still, we haven't had wall to wall blue skies and 20C yet. But we've had sunshine and a bit of variety and some pleasant weather so that's good enough, but I would prefer to see something a bit warmer and something different eventually but I'm sure it will come and what we've currently got will do until we get that inevitable pattern change.

21st June:

Today is the lightest day of the year. After a 3 day spell of nice weather and wet, cool weather before that, today it is still windy, cool, cloudy and wet. It's nice to have some pleasant days but I would like to see some more sunshine and warmer days but plenty of time left and we've got to make the most out of this weather we've currently got.

23rd June:

Yesterday has a nice warm spell with 16C before we got a thunderstorm. Black skies before 2pm then brought rain with rumbles of thunder, a few flashed before becoming quite intense around 3pm. It then calmed down a bit but it's been wet today with some flooding in some parts of the UK.

[center][b]JULY DISCUSSION[/b][/center]

4th July:

Since I last updated, we've learnt that June was the wettest on record and one of the coolest and dullest too. There was some extreme storms with hail, floods and tornadoes too. Right now, well it's raining here but lot more muggy and warm than June was although things did warm up in the second half. Some sunshine at times though it's stil too short-lived for my liking and it looks like more wet weather is to come. I suppose I should make the most of any decent spells as it is looking wet. I hope that it won't be too dull and that things will change before the end of the month.

5th July:

Not my perfect day but a day that's more akin to summer with some sunny intervals, hazy skies, muggy and warm. Not exactly summer in its glorious form but definetly summer weather and I hope that we get more summer weather in its many shapes and forms in the latter part of summer - of course a bit of cool and wet weather from time to time but generally I'd like conditions not be like last month with less constant grey skies. Let's see how it goes but it looks like there could be yet more rain in the coming days.

8th July:

It's been a funny period of weather with lots of rain in the south with floods and it was muggy before becoming cooler. Some brightness at times but lots of rain about so the unsettled conditions continue. I'll hope to update a lot more detailed very soon.

11th July:

More overcast and wet conditions today but it's cleared up tonight.

14th July:

The past three days have been ideal - not spectacular - and nice for summer weather with less persistent rain and cloud cover, a bit variety and warmth and sunshine. A return to wet weather looks on the cards now, but let's see how it goes and I'll update on what it unfolds and what the summer is turning out to be.

16th July:

Yesterday evening didn't turn out too bad with some nice clear skies, today is a bit more overcast. I hope to update on the review for Spring, some finishing touches to winter and start summer. I also hope to update more sections in the blog.

18th July:

Today was meant to be a very very wet one but here in Glasgow we escaped the worst of the rain. The jet is set to move northwards thanks to the Azores high but here in Scotland may remain wet. Any further developments on this and other general stuff will be found here.

20th July:

Yesterday was a bit better with the odd shower but generally warmer, less wind and a bit of sunny intervals. Thin cloud here right now with some sunny intervals and temperatures of 17C with a breeze so pleasant July weather which has been illusive this year. High pressure is a major factor but the precise details will only be known closer to the time and I'll update you on this and the general weather. I hope to also look at the data and stuff of the weather of the past months of 2012 so far to make a really good review to use and look back on.

23 July:

Wet today and yesterday and quite cool too but last night was muggy. In the south of England it's much warmer/hotter and sunnier.

25th July:

The Olympics are here, and it was a very good summer day here. The temperature got up to 21C, it felt very pleasant and the sun and blue skies were pleasant so yes, a great day for summer weather here in Glasgow. Right now, I'm doing a review of the weather and past months here in Glasgow since the year that I can remember back to, so I can get a good record of the weather that happened and we can have a look at extremes, look back a particular months, seasons and years so this will be interesting once that's done. But that's in the past and there'll be a more detailed review of the weather of the months, seasons and overall weather of 2012 and we can use my records for previous years for comparisons. So we can have a good look at past weather, what the weather of this year has been and with this page you can get a daily and personal comment on the weather. I hope to update on this as much as I can as soon as possible. Come December 31st, it'll be good to see what the weather of 2012 was like and then start the Scotland Weather Central 2013 blog. See you soon.

26th July:

I'm back from watching two Olympic Football matches at Hampden Park which I enjoyed. And the weather today is great again, blue skies, pleasant temperatures, sunshine and we got 21C maxima too. How about that, eh?

28th July:

More unsettled, cooler with showers but some sunshine and better than Atlantic lows. I'll hope to update more detailed later!

29th July:

Today has been showery and cool at times but generally we've had sunshine and mostly blue skies for much of the day which is good. We'll see if this will last and soon I'll update on the reviews of 2012.

31st July:

Yesterday was showery with some nice sunshine but cool but a decent enough day for badminton in my back garden. Today started off lovely and felt quite warm in the sunshine but cloud increased from the west and the rain has arrived and will be here tomorrow.

[center][b]AUGUST DISCUSSION[/b][/center]

3rd August:

We are now into the third and final of month of summer 2012. Yesterday was fantastic with temperatures at around 20C, a little breeze and lovely blue skies and sunshine - brilliant summer weather. Today was a little wetter and very muggy with little/no wind but it was warm despite being a day akin to the wet and muggy side of summer. However right now we've got some late evening blue skies and with some clouds so all in all decent and satisfactory summer weather. And that theme should continue tomorrow with sunshine and showers, Sunday looks wetter, sunny showers on Monday and some rain on Tuesday - not spectacular but normal summer weather that can leave us all fairly content.

5th August:

Yesterday was a very decent one for summer weather. Started off nice and sunny, got very warm with maxima of 22C, then clouds started building up and it was fascinating to watch the convection build as Torrance largely missed the showers and stayed near the blue skies and sunshine. There were rumbles of thunder, some fascinating clouds and funnel clouds in the area too, then it cleared up in the night time with a nice moon and nice sky so all in all yesterday was an interesting, fun and pleasing day for weather in what has been a below par summer. Today wasn't as impressive, maxima of 15C, a lot duller, some rumbles of thunder and pretty wet but boy hasn't the Olympics been good - more updates on things soon!

8th August:

Yesterday was a day with a strong breeze but almost 15 hours of fantastic summer sunshine and blue skies aswell as a maxima of 19C - perfect. The night of the 17th was also a lovely one, calm, clear, a wee bit of a chill in the air, a few whispy clouds near the moon. Today started off with blue skies and sunshine and at lunchtime it's still here. I'm going to Lochgoilhead then Morar so I'll be away for a few days but with high pressure in charge, some settled weather is expected and good scenery so that's good and it's great to get away after receiving very decent exam results yesterday. I'll update you on things when I come back aswell as looking forward to other stuff in the future. See you soon.!

15th August:

Now, I give you an update on the previous days. Arrived at Lochgoilhead on the 8th with a lovely summer evening sky and nice clear night too. The following day was a bit windy with some fair cloud from time to time but some nice sunshine, blue skies and pleasant temperatures. The following day, I left to go to Morar and it was spectacular, fantastic scenery, warm temperatures and blue skies and sunshine aswell as a breeze - perfect - and the sunsets were great too. The following day was lovely, warm and sunny too with a breeze with a little more haze and the area was busy - it really is a lovely part of the world up there. The following day was also fantastic, windy, warm and sunny and I went to the beach but by the time we had left some rain had arrived. The Olympics closed when I arrived back in central Scotland. The following days were still decent enough with temperatures but with more rain around and yesterday after the showers the drive around the Campsies was fantastic with mist, and a fantastic late summer/autumnal look, a really nice atmosphere. Today started sunny but got windier before a front arrived and we had an impressive squall too. Tomorrow its back to school and back to hard work but the weather looks like staying warm and tomorrow should be sunny then the following days remain warm but a bit wetter and cloudier. Nonetheless, I've enjoyed the recent weather and days away and August is turning out to be a decent month and I'll hope to update more on the world of weather and AWT.

16th August:

Back at school today and a typical first day back with slate grey skies, then it got more humid with the threat of thunder with a few showers and then in the evening skies cleared up nicely! It's now overcast with rain arriving from Ireland and the next few days look warm/pleasant temperature wise, but quite damp and overcast unfortuantly - but nevermind, that's the Great British weather for you!

18th August:

Yesterday started off grey and wet then it got a bit warmer and sunnier with some nice clear skies and late sunshine and a nice night. There was some rain early today too but things warmed up and we had some nice sunshine with a few clouds so a nice summer's day - some rain is forecast tomorrow aswell as more cloud cover than today and possibly a degree or two cooler but the SE of England may see temperatures near 33C! Beyond that, a showery outlook which isn't bad in what has been without doubt the best month of summer 2012 without the pattern of endless deep low after deep low in June and July resulting in a lot more interesting month.

19th August:

Sunny and calm earlier before cloud then rain arrived - very heavy for a period too - and now skies have cleared to allow a cloudless and a starry night sky. It's certainly getting darker a lot earlier now too! A showery week is in store for us here. Expect more updates about the world of weather and AWT.

20th August:

Cloudy and wet earlier, showery and sunny later and now in the evening, mostly clear skies with a few clouds. It really hasn't been a bad month but, now we are looking forward to what Autumn can bring and also looking back on the weather this year so far and looking forward to the weather to come.

21st August:

Some showers earlier on and some heavy rain and cumulonimbus clouds lurking but it turned out brighter and it's a nice night witha purple clear sky with a few clouds.

22nd August:

Started off quite wild, more like a day of April showers. Fresh with some sunshine and regular showers and some cumilonimbus clouds and at earlier this morning there was a massive rainfall for a few minutes. It was sunny for some good periods in the afternoon but later in the evening skies were a little more overcast and now the night sky is purple/orange with light of the city reflected onto the clouds.

23rd August:

A few showers today but less than yesterday. Some nice spells of sunshine and blue skies earlier and I could sit in the back garden - there was a decent spell of pleasant summer weather in the afternoon. Then, cloud increased from the west and the rain from a front arrived and it was heavy at times.

24th August:

A mostly cloudy day with some rain at times but the sun also made a few appearances. Right now, mostly cloudy but quite thin cloud cover with some clear patches. Some showers tomorrow then a sunny Sunday then a wet Monday looks set - more details on reports and outlooks in the coming days.

25th August:

A cloudy but bright start then skies cleared for a bit too before some precipitation moved southwards and we got dark skies and a period of heavy rain. Now, calmer with thin and patchy cloud cover and some clear skies - lovely. A cool nigh could be instore too.

26th August:

Today was overall quite grey and dull with occasional periods when you could see some clear skies. Quite cool too, freezing on top of Cairngorm this morning. However, it's a little clearer now at night, some clear skies and able enough to see the stars and some patchy cloud cover - some of which on the horizon and appearing orange with the glow of Glasgow so quite nice and there's a nice moon low on the horizon - sometimes appearing through strips of clouds. Tomorrow however is going to be wet and windy.

27th August:

A wet, grey and windy day thinks to a front associated with low pressure coming off the atlantic. But in the coming days things should improve with less rainfall.

28th August:

After the threat of a few showers, today was windy, quite pleasant temperature-wise and sunny and lovely with blue skies and some nice clouds scattered in the sky and at night there are still a few clouds but mostly clear with a great moon.

29th August:

Some rain earlier after a front passed, then it cleared up with some impressive cumilonimbus clouds in the area but it remained largely dry, quite breezy and at times warm with nice sunshine and blue skies as storms affected other areas. It clouded over a bit in the evening but skies have cleared with a nice night sky and moon.

30th August:

Another very nice but cool day here. The temperature never really got above 15C but there was nice blue skies, sunshine with some fluffy clouds and no rain but it looked and felt more like April or October than August but you can get these type of days in late summer as we head towards autumn but you can't rule out some heat in September. A lovely cool night with clear skies, another great moon and cool with temps of 8C, and temperatures in the highlands are already at 2C after snow on the Cairngorms earlier. But the atlantic will come in as front brings a front and rainfall to end summer 2012 - typical!

31st August:

The last day of summer. Last night was very cold, -2C and an air frost in some highland regions, some record August minima for some sites and here in Glasgow, the minima was between 3-4C which is very low and it's always a milestone to see the temperature drop below the different temperature thresholds as you progress through the year and as we have generally left the height summer and are already on the slide to autumn and winter. But you can't rule summer warmth out in autumn as much as you can't rule out early (or late) seasonal frosts in summer. Today, started off cold, sunny with good visibility but cloud increased from the west with a front. And the air had that atlantic feel, with at times heavy and drizzly rain and very grey skies. Very cold too with maxima only at 13C. Now moon in sight tonight, an overcast sky but dry. So that's it for summer 2012 - the verdict is could do better but it wasn't exactly wall to wall, constant, neverending diabolical weather, far from it infact as there were decent days - particulary in August - but the consistency of persistent spells of disapointing weather for the time of year earlier on in the summer and spells of decent weather being short-lived. So hardly a complete disaster, but could do better is the verdict of summer 2012. That's it for summer 2012 and I'll have a detailed look back on the season aswell as other in-depth and general views of the weather, but for now, it's time to look forward to autumn 2012!

A Winter's Tale

A Winter's Tale

 

Summer Forecast 2012

[b][u][u]ASWT'S SUMMER FORECAST 2012[/u][/u][/b]


[b][u][u]JUNE[/u][/u] [/b]... mostly warm and dry, with short unsettled interludes. Temperatures 0.5 to 1.5 above normal. CET 15.3C. Rainfall 55% south east to 75% north west, storms and occasional fronts providing most the rain for the SE, a mixture of fronts and showers providing rain from the NW during unsettled interludes. Sunshine 15-20% above normal.

[b][u][u]JULY[/u][/u][/b] ... cool and wet periods likely at times with warm, dry conditions and some heatwaves likely too. Temperatures 0.5 to 1.0 above normal. CET 16.6C. Rainfall 60% south east to 85% north west, atlantic lows, showery and storms providing rainfall, driest towards the SE. Sunshine 5-15% above normal.

[u][b][u]AUGUST[/u][/b][/u]... changeable, mainly warm and dry start mixed with cool and wet blips, cooler and wetter end with some warm and dry periods. Temperatures 0.0 - 1.0 above normal. CET 16.3C. Rainfall 80% south east to 90% north west with atlantic and channel lows, showers and storms bringing rainfall. Sunshine 5-15% above normal.

A Winter's Tale

A Winter's Tale

 

The Moments Of The Year In Weather - 2012

[u][b][u][u]GREAT STORM OF JANUARY 2012:[/u][/u][/b][/u]

Woke up at 6am to the sound of an almighty gust of wind that made the most incredible bangs. The roar, drone and rumble of the wind was endless and loud and I could hear it smashing some area of the town, just hoping that the particular gust won't reach here. The gusts were constent and mental. I could hear and feel the door about to explode open, I could hear all the bins falling over and damage to roofs and I just thought that the world was ending! The upstairs window blew open and we had to put a wardrobe, books and mattress infront of it - it blew open a further two times. Looking out of the window, I could hear and see the Christmas Period wine bottles rolling down the street and accumilating at the cul-de-sac. The updates on the Scotland Thread were mental! Once it had passed, I had realised that for the first time in my life, the house had received some damage with some slates knocked off (This happened to quite a few of the members too). On the drive to Bearsden, I saw many fences down, a large brick wall, two entire signposts bent over and countless numbers of trees down. In Bearsden, there were so many large trees down and I went for a walk. I was confused on the origins of one particular blown down tree that had found itself on someones house. I learnt that it was the top half of a tree across the road - an excutued tree! Looking at the slates was staggering with very large slates on the grass everywhere. Some of the pieces had pierced well through the ground - just imagine what that would have done to the Skull in impact! I went for another drive and saw incredible scenes at every corner - truly amazing!
That was one great storm. My gran in Bearsden was a little upset with one tree being blown down. A tree in the Roman Baths can be seen right outside her bedroom window and she looks at it during the day, and it's the last thing she sees at night and the first in the morning. Yesterday's storm blew it down and the view looks a little different so I'm a little sorry to see it gone. I went for a walk and had a look at the damage too! Also, the night before the storm, she and my uncle had a look at some photos and admired the difference of the tree - just a few hours before it became an ex-tree.

[b] Winter storms, early January 2012[/b]

[url="http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climate/uk/interesting/2012_janwind/"]http://www.metoffice...g/2012_janwind/[/url]

A major winter storm brought very strong winds across much of the UK on 3 January 2012. The worst affected area was southern Scotland – particularly the Central Belt – where winds gusted at well over 70 knots (81 mph). In this area, this storm was judged as the most severe for 13 years – since 26 December 1998, with wind speeds exceeding those of the recent storm of [url="http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climate/uk/interesting/2011_decwind/"]8 December 2011[/url]. Very strong winds were also experienced across much of England, Wales, and Northern Ireland, with winds here also widely gusting at 50 to 60 knots (58 to 69 mph).
This storm was followed by a further extremely windy spell from 4 to 5 January 2012 – with further damaging winds across northern and eastern England. These storms followed a particularly turbulent spell of weather from late November to mid-December.
[b] Impacts[/b]

On 3rd, fallen trees blocked roads and rail lines and damaged power lines. Rail services from Edinburgh to Glasgow and Inverness to Aberdeen were suspended. The Forth, Tay and Kingston road bridges were closed, with restrictions elsewhere. Ferry services were delayed and flights from Glasgow and Edinburgh airports were cancelled. More than 100,000 Scottish homes and businesses were left without electricity and some buildings were damaged.
It was a similar picture across Northern Ireland, with travel delays, power cuts and building damage. In England and Wales, impacts included fallen trees, overturned lorries and building damage. A man was killed in Kent by a falling tree, and a bus driver seriously injured. A crewmember was killed as a vessel in the English Channel was struck by a large wave. The QE11 bridge on the M25 was closed for several hours as was the port of Dover.

On 3 January, the strongest winds were across Scotland’s central belt, gusting at well over 70 knots (81 mph) and up to 89 knots (102 mph) at Edinburgh, Blackford Hill – strong enough to cause some structural damage. Several stations in this area recorded their highest gust speeds for 13 years – making this the most significant storm experienced in southern Scotland since the Boxing Day storm of 26 December 1998 (Table 1). Maximum gust speeds in this area were higher than those of either [url="http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climate/uk/interesting/2011_decwind/"]8 December 2011[/url] or [url="http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climate/uk/interesting/jan2005wind/"]11-12 January 2005[/url].
Winds gusted at between 50 to 60 knots (58 to 69 mph) across most of Northern Ireland and Wales, and much of England, apart from the Midlands. Exposed coastal and upland locations saw gusts of over 70 knots (81 mph). Central parts of England experienced gusts more typically of 45 to 50 knots (51 to 58 mph). Across the mountain summits of northern Britain, winds gusted at up to 94 knots (108 mph) on Cairngorm summit (1237 m.a.s.l.) and 92 knots (106 mph) at Great Dun Fell, Cumbria (847 m.a.s.l.) – see Figure 1.
The highest mean hourly wind speeds on 3 January exceeded 40 knots (46 mph) across much of southern Scotland, and around the coasts of Northern Ireland, Wales, and southern England (Figure 2).







[center]
[b][u]NOTABLE COLD SPELL - FEBRUARY 2012[/u][/b][/center]

From late January to Mid February, many parts of the UK were under a cold spell, however the majority of the south and east were in a severe cold spell with very cold temperatures and some snowfall events. It was believed to have been the coldest weather in England in February since February 1986.

Largest Snow Depth: 15cm, Church Fenton
Lowest Minimum: -18.3C, Chesham, 11th February
Lowest Maximum: -5.4C, Coningsby, 11th February
No. of Days with Temperatures Below -10C: 5
No. of Days with Temperatures Below 0C: 13


[center][b][u]RECORD BREAKING WARMTH - MARCH 2012[/u][/b][/center]

Between the 22nd and 29th March 2012, the UK was under a very warm spell with most areas seeing temperatures above 15C thanks to a SEly breeze from High Pressure. Initially, England was sunniest and warmest with the first 20C of the year then it got sunnier and warmer everywhere. It wasn't until the 25th that records began to fall as Scotland saw their first 20C of the year and most areas of the country saw warm sunshine and 20C temperatures. However on that day, Fyvie Castle broke the previous record Hot March temperature of 22.2C with 22.5C. Then the following day, it was even hotter with 20C across much of Scotland and Aboyne breaking the record with a high of 22.9C. Then, when further detail came in the Met Office realised the Cromdale earned the new record with 23.2C. Then the following day, records went again as a high of 23.8C was recorded in Aboyne as Scotland enjoyed a third day of 20C temperatures and brilliant sunshine. The following days would also be warm and sunny but not as extreme as the previous days.

[center][b][u]LATE SEASON SPRING SNOWFALL - APRIL 2012[/u][/b][/center]

During the 2nd and 3rd April 2012, there was a major snowfall event in Scotland and possibly for some the main snow event of the entire winter season. Cold air followed a very warm period and front moving south from the north brought snow to much of the country. It snowed here in Glasgow in April for the first time since 2008. However, further north and east there was widespread deep accumilations that would be good for notable snow events in mid winter and there was travel distruption. Up to 25cm had fallen in places but a lot of places had lying snow - this is the latest lying snow event in the UK in at least 4 years. Snow in April is always possible but it doesn't happen everywhere, certainly widespread April snowfall isn't common and lying snow at a widespread is even rarer which makes this event very significant for how potent it was at this stage in the season. Temperatures were also very cold and around freezing in places. Overall conditions are what you'd expect during one of the highlights of a winter. April snow has always been a part of UK Climate but this is a more significant event and a type that hasn't happened in a while.


[center][u][b]HEAVY RAIN, FLOODING AND COLD TEMPERATURES - APRIL 2012[/b][/u][/center]

April 2012 was generally a decent month here in Glasgow with a few frosts, one snowfall which a notable event in April, satisfactory amounts of sunshine and decent enough variety of seasonal weather. Plenty of hail was also notable and March was had a warmer maximum temperature than the whole of April. The UK mean for March was 7.7C (3rd warmest) whereas April was colder at 6.3C (one of the coldest and coldest in my life) and in Scotland the mean for March was 7.0C (the warmest) whreas April was colder at 4.9C (one of the coldest in my life and not far off normal winter months). This is truly remarkable and satisfactory weather made it fairly decent but it was a different story further south. Very limited warmth, sunshine and lots of rain. It was the wettest April on record after parts of England were declared drought zones. The north enjoyed chilly but pleasant conditions but for much of the month and particulary the latter part, things got very dull and wet. Towards the end, a monster low pressure system moved from east to west and it brough 6C temps, very heavy rain, wind, sleet and lots of widespread flooding that caused problems. The weather of April 2012 was influenced by high pressure in the North Atlantic and Greenland, low pressure over the UK bring cool Nlys, NElys and Elys. April was very much a different month from April, thankfully up here it wasn't as bad and it certainly will be an interesting month to look back on!

[center][b][u]SNOW AND COLD WEATHER - MAY 2012[/u][/b][/center]

After a cold and wet April, the theme continued into May. Again, up north things were better as on the for 3 consecutive days 20C had been recorded in Scotland and typical May weather was abundant. However, on the 4th things changed to a cold n thatortherly and a brought another aspect of May weather that you wouldn't get every year but certainly is a characteristic of May weather in the UK just as the sunshine and warmth you associate the month with. -5C uppers reached the UK with -10C uppers in Shetland which resulted a cool weather but in the sunshine fairly pleasant. In Glasgow, the 4th was pleasant and it only felt wintry at night with a cool, but clear sky with cooler temperatures. Elsewhere, Shetland and NE Scotland saw low level snow with showers - the first May snow event since 2010 which again is a Late May Characteristic but not one to expect every year. Under the clear skies, a widespread frost developed. The morning of the 5th was cold with -3C and a frost which is very decent for May. Even more significant was a snow shower at 11am which may second ever May snowfall. Winter 2011/12 ended a lot later than 10/11 and parts of Spring 2012 was snowier and colder than parts of the winter. Temperatures during the period dropped as low as -6C in places and didn't rise above 4C in some places. So for the majority, it was the last frost of the season and more significantly the last snowfall so late in the season - one to remember!

[center][b][u]WARM SPELL - MAY 2012[/u][/b][/center]

Late in May 2012, a sudden, potent warm spell occured after a period of very wet and cold weather. I had experienced quite a few frosts, my coldest ever May min at -4C, lots of rain but come the 23rd, temperatures began to increase into the 20s. In the following days, in Glasgow we had 6 consecutive days at temperatures above 20C, 4 days at 25C+ and an overall max of 27C. This is the warmest spell here in Glasgow since July 2006, and the wamest May temperature in my lifetime. I made use of this fantastic weather. Records were broken across much of Scotland as temperatures were recorded widely at around 25C for 4 or so days, the NW and other areas enjoyed 25C+ temperatures and records too. There were a few thunderstorms but overall it was very sunny. High pressure over the UK and Scandinavia brought settled weather across the UK and an easterly helped western areas to get the best out of the warm weather. Overall, this is probably the longest, warmest and sunniest spell for quite a few areas in the UK since 2006. The warmest temperature UK wide was around 29C, which is 3C short of the UK record for May.

A Winter's Tale

A Winter's Tale

 

My Weather Diary Of Spring 2012: My Blog

Any notable or interesting or nice event will be covered. Be it an upcoming Heatwave, Snowfall, Storm, Last Frost or first 20C will be covered here from March 2012 onwards.




[center][b]MARCH DISCUSSION[/b][/center]

23rd March:

March started typically spring like with some sun, some rain, some snow and frost before a long cloudy period followed. The past few days have been warmer and sunnier as yesterday we had 15C and sun here in Glasgow with hazy sunshine and the first UK 20c of 2012 was reached in England. The next few days look warm in deed (not too disimular to April 2011) but currently it's cloudy and it was a cold moring with temperatures down towards -4C in Aboyne. I'm certainly looking forward to some nice weather - a quiet, yet interesting and benign at times March with some nice sunny weather too.

25th March:

Hot. Hot. Hot. Warmest UK temperature yesterday saw 22C in England. A nice hazy, but sunny and warm weekend and today up here in Scotland it's the warmest day of the year so far at 3pm, 3 sites have seen the first 20C of the year in Scotland and Aboyne is just 0.8C away from the all time warm March temperature in Scotland. Here in Glasgow it's sunny and warm but how warm and how long will it last? More updates soon.

26th March:

Yesterday, Fyvie Castle saw the record warmest Scotland March temperature with 22.8C. Today was even hotter, here it was 20C and lovely and summer like with bees, butterflies and daffodills - it's a mix of summer and spring - and in Aboyne the new record was 22.9C. Quite a fantastic period of weather that brings back memories of April 2011, hopefully next month and the following months will see similar record breaking spells for Scotland too. March, not a cold month despite one snow event and some frost, a dull period, a nice Spring like start and an incredible warm end - not a bad month. It will have to go in my up and coming review blog.

29th March:

On the 27th, the record went again after Cromdale got the record of 23.2C on the 26th, Aboyne maxed at 23.8C - a third of 20C temperatures across the country. No rain, not muggy or sweltering, just perfect - it felt like summer at it's best but still with that Spring element. Today and yesterday were cooler but still very warm for the time of year at 18C. The next few days will see a return to normality but this spell was exceptional and we will see more of this from now until October - although I'd like to the rest of Spring to see a variety of things but mainly sunny.

31st March:

Well yesterday was another lovely day, and even today was nice despite being a bit cloudier and cooler but nonetheless still blue skies to be seen. But.....next week we see a return to winter with the potential for snow, return to frost. High pressure moves further west allowing northerlies so it would be interesting to see how it pans out - my snow diary may not be finished yet. Snow is my preference for winter and heat is my preference for summer but in Spring both are equal and I enjoy both aswell the different types inbetween. Let's see how it pans out but April is proving to be interesting. March, on the other hand was a very interesting month, despite a dull period in the middle with cloud, the start had a snow event and some nice Spring days and the ending was Spectacular. I'll review March soon - a very interesting month, and April could well be an interesting one too - let's hope we get cold, snow, sunshine, heat aswell as Spring-like conditions. Best to enjoy Spring as it's a great time of year!

[center][b][u]APRIL DISCUSSION[/u][/b][/center]

1st April:

Snow!Snow!Snow! The met office snow warnings return and 2-5cm could be falling here. Just to have snowfall in April is great and to have our first since 2008 after such a great warm spell would be marvelous and to have my first ever lying snow event in April would be amazing! So lot's to look out for but this shows how Spring is great - you get the best of both world's in such a short space of time and your typical Spring weather is often great. Let's see how this turns out - expect more updates, plus an update on the March review. 2012 is turning out to be interesting- how will the rest of it pan out? In other news, today saw the last day of the great settled spell, a bit cloudier and cooler but still that nice blue sky so a more typical, normal spring like day that you get when it's not snowing or heatwaves!

2nd April:

The first UK April snow event since 2008 has begun in places in the highlands where it's very cool and wet and in some places snow is starting to lie - an amber warning has been put in place. Snow events in Spring and Autumn are always special - even a widespread wet snow event becomes equally as special as your snow events with lying snow in winter. So, a notable event is happening and for some further east it could be the best snow event all winter! Here in Glasgow I might see my first April snowfall since 2008 so I'll be happy with that - though it would be close - but I'd love it if we could get lying snow - further east this could be possible and there seems to be some excitement about tonights event. Tomorrow should be cold and feel really like winter - colder than anything last April. So a real feel of the winter side of Spring after the summer side. More cold spells could follow so model watching would be interesting although I'd hope for increasingly more warm days, some sunshine plus the Spring mix.


3rd April:

Snow started to fall last night. The Highlands and east have been very badly hit with up to 25cm of snow in places and widespread lying snow. Here in Glasgow I've had my first April snowfall since 2008 and it's later end to the snow season than last winter. Unfortuantly I couldn't get something that we haven't had since December which is a proper snow event with accumilations but never mind, snow in April will do me fine and the scenes in other parts of the country are brilliant. Could this event end up in the major events of 2012 blog, I think it should. But I do hope that this month has some good and interesting weather and same goes for the rest of the year. What it seems like now is April could be a cool month with northern blocking so some more wintryness could be possible at times - interesting to see what happens and what follows.

10th April:

A few snow showers from an easterly on the 3rd, snow in England the following day and cool unsettled April weather following. Today has seen snow further east but I'm unsure about here. Dull today but things could turn colder as we go on.

13th April:

A nice day yesterday with spring sunshine and April showers - great Spring weather. Today, a pretty sunny day with some nice thin clouds - a nice period of Spring weather indeed. Some snow in the NE of Scotland and could be a few frosty nights ahead. Not a bad Spring for weather so far, hoping for a few more cooler periods and more warmer and sunnier periods although a stormy day or two is ahead next week. Looking at the record at Glasgow Airport, this April has been snowier than March and November (1 snow event) with 11 from October to May - one of the highest in the past 13 years!

21st April:

Some days with Hail, interesting clouds and skies, cool but all pleasant and typically Spring-like. Very nice season it's been and today we've had blue skies and hail.

27th April:

Not a bad April, could be sunnier, could be snowier and could be warmer but still pretty good. Sunshine and showers keeps things interesting and seasonal in my opinion aswell as being settled.

29th April:

Another sunny day here. But it's now getting cloudy after drought-hit England have been hit by a monster front from the east! It's brought floods, temps of 6C, sleet and winds! The wettest April on record after the warmest March and last year having the warmest April! Thank-god it's been decent up here and I hope that mainly sunny, seasonal, progressively warmer but varied and at times extreme weather prevails into May and beyond.

[center][b][u]MAY DISCUSSION[/u][/b][/center]

3rd May:

Today has been absolutely fantastic with 18C temperatures, blue skies, sunshine. This what the weather should be like on most days between Mid April and Mid September with a bit of variety and extremes inbetween. April was a decent enough month here but far from perfect. The weather for May so far has been seasonal and typical of the month. But we are in for a notherly which could bring snow to some areas. If I get some snow I'll be over the moon (even if the Campsies get some) and I'll be delighted if Shetland got something. As I say, decent seasonal weather and some variety and extremes is pleasing. Perhaps a few frosts could be possible. If we get more sunshine, a few record breakers, some varied days and temps would just be fantastic and an element of May wintryness would be great.

4th May:

Yesterday was great for warm May weather, but today was another characteristic of May weather in the UK. A cool northerly brought snow to Northern parts for the first time in May since 2010 which is significant. The sun made things feel pleasant and skies were clear. This evening there was a great cool looking but clear sky....another pleasing aspect of May weather. Could be in for a frost. 2C currently at 11pm. More updates to come!

5th May:

-3C and a frost this morning but at 11am we had a snow shower! My second May snowfall which is very significant. Of course at this time of year I'll be looking forward to sunshine and warmth but wintry weather is an aspect of Spring weather in the UK and to get your last snowfalls and frosts is great. The winter 11/12 started late, a good December, a poor January and February and March for snow and a decent April and May for late season snow. The snow season ended a lot later than the classic 10/11 winter. Anyway, snow events at anytime of year is special but a snowflake in May is more significant than one flake in February so I'm delighted to get another bite at a late season snowfall aswell as other parts enjoying a late season snowfall too. Snowfalls and cold spells values is greater the earlier or later you are in a season whereas in winter, a more widespread, prolonged and significant event is value. More updates to come...

6th May:

Not quite as cold as the previous night but close to freezing which is still quite notable for May, but certainly not unusual. A think we may have had a wintry shower so that looks like the last hoorah of an unusual season for wintry weather. But as this is not winter, any frost or snowfall is more significant is more significant now whereas an event of the same importance in winter would require something even more special than a snowflake or 0C. But as this is Spring, you'll be looking for a mixture of weather but mostly seasonal, pleasant, interesting, record breaking at times and getting warmer as you head towards summer. Today has seen things brighten up and get warmer with the sun's strength and there is some nice blue periods inbetween showers aswell as some nice fluffy clouds. An interesting year then let's see how the rest of the weather goes for the coming months.

11th May:

The 8th (my birthday) was a typical May day with humid, thundery showers in the morning before clearing up in the afternoon and evening. Yesterday, and the day before was horrid with cold temperatures of 6C, heavy rain and wind. You'd expect to have a day like this 3 times in each month and the same goes for the cold spell earlier this month but I'd expect to see things getting a bit sunnier and warmer. But there will be more good days and bad days to come and perhaps this could mean a good summer. It's also been snowing on the hills and lower ground in the highlands.......AGAIN!

22nd May:

It's been a mostly cool and wet month up til now. High pressure is in place and looks like we are going to get a good run of warm, sunny days to end an unusual but interesting but at time unpleasant May. Here comes the summer.....at last!

24th May:

Brilliant. Brilliant. Brilliant. Summer is here. Yesterday saw much of the UK experiencing temperatures into the 20Cs and Scotland was very warm with 27.3C at Altnaharra. 26C here in Glasgow and sunny too. I went for a walk in the evening heat whilst convection brought storms further east over Falkirk. The nights and mornings are cool but the temperature quickly rises, I played tennis this morning which was fab. Now, it's 27.1C in Glasgow which is currently the warmest temperature in the UK! Cool in side though. However, clouds are increasing so storms could be possible. The heat is set to continue and I hope to make the most of it. Expect more updates and probably expect this event to end up in the Best Moments Blog.

29th May:

The warmest, sunniest spell here in Glasgow since 2006 probably. 4 days of 25C temperatures, a record warm May temp for me, 6 days of 20C+ temps, sunshine, UK records, it was a fantastic spell. On the 25th, I spent 5 hrs enjoying the weather in the garden, then had a BBQ the following day, spent the next two days at Lochgoilhead. I'll review the Spring and this spell in detail soon. I'm also planning in creating a page about the weather in Glasgow since I can remember so that we can look back at averages and notable events and see how recent weather compares. I'll review the Spring soon before I open the summer blog.

A Winter's Tale

A Winter's Tale

 

Spring 2012 Blog - Review, Analysis And Key Events

[center][b]SPRING 2012[/b][/center]

FACTS:

[b]MARCH 2012:[/b]

[b]SCOTLAND MEAN: 7.0C (NEW RECORD), CET: 8.3C, MAX TEMP: 23.6C, MIN TEMP: -8.5C[/b]
[b] [b]Scotland diary of highlights[/b][/b]

[b]The first part of the month was unsettled, but thereafter high pressure was dominant, giving plenty of fine, dry weather and record-breaking high temperatures for many.[/b]
[b]The mean temperature was 3.1 °C above the 1971-2000 average, provisionally the equal warmest March in a series since 1910 (tied with 1938). It was much drier than normal, with about half the normal amount in the Western and Northern Isles but less than a third of normal across the eastern side; Eastern Scotland had provisionally its 3rd driest March in a series since 1910. Sunshine amounts were above normal except for Shetland.[/b]

[b]1st to 9th:[/b]
[b]Light rain over north-western areas on 1st moved south on 2nd to affect some central areas. The 3rd saw a band of rain in the south-west in the morning, moving north-east during the day to leave a scattering of showers which became more widespread during 4th. The 5th saw more in the way of sunshine, and just a few scattered showers for the far north. After a bright start on 6th, rain spread from the west during the afternoon, clearing overnight. The 7th was showery, with strong north-westerly winds, and snow over higher ground in the north, Aviemore (Highland) reporting a snow depth of 3 cm by 0900 on 8th. After a bright start on 8th, rain spread into western and central areas during the afternoon. The 9th started wet in the northwest, although the rain became more patchy as it moved south-eastwards during the afternoon leaving some scattered showers.[/b]

[b]10th to 20th:[/b]
[b]It was dry, mild but generally cloudy from 10th to 14th, eastern areas seeing the best of any sunshine. On 15th a band of patchy light rain affected far western areas, with the east staying largely dry but cloudy. The 16th was a wet day for central and southern areas, but the north remained largely dry. The 17th and 18th gave scattered showers in the far north-west, elsewhere having long sunny spells. Some places were cold by night, Braemar (Aberdeenshire) recording -8.5 °C in the early hours of 18th. By contrast, 19th saw rain in most areas, heaviest in the north-west, clearing overnight to give a drier and brighter day on 20th.[/b]

[b]21st to 31st:[/b]
[b]The dry and sunny theme continued on 21st and 22nd, with Lossiemouth (Morayshire) reaching 17.6 °C on 21st. The 23rd started with some mist and low cloud for eastern areas although the far west saw patchy rain later in the day. Dry, sunny and warm weather returned from 24th until 30th, and Scotland’s March temperature record was broken on three successive days. Firstly on 25th, Fyvie Castle (Aberdeenshire) recorded 22.8 °C, then Cromdale (Moray) peaked at 23.2 °C the following day, and finally Aboyne (Aberdeenshire) reached 23.6 °C on 27th to set the new record. Temperatures began to drop from 29th onwards, as winds turned north-westerly, with 30th and 31st continuing mostly dry but cloudier.[/b]


:[b]MY ANALYSIS:[/b]

A very interesting month with an incredible warm and sunny end which made March 2012 the warmest March in Scotland since records began. However, it wasn't all warm. The month saw High pressure continue around the Azores to begin with before moving northwards where for around a week or two the UK was under settled, dry conditions. There was snow and frost at the beginning and of course there was heat, records and there was typical Spring-like conditions with interesting skies, sunshine so overall a nice month but not perfect with a cloudy period inbetween and I would have liked to have seen more snow. Nonetheless it had lots of different elements of Spring weather, it was pretty seasonal and pleasant and also record breaking.

The month began quite wet but there were pleasant sunny periods inbetween and temperatures fluctuated so a Spring feel to things. NWly winds followed low pressure systems and that gave my only Snow event of the month which kept the wintry feel going. The unsettled and continued start continued until mid-month where there was a very long period of cloudy and uninteresting weather thanks to high pressure. However after the wintry start, dull middle, summer would prevail in the final third of the month with memories of April 2011. The 21st-25th were sunny and warm around 15-17C temperatures but after that things got even warmer. Scotland became the warmest place in Europe and the UK with a 5-day period of very warm temperatures around 20C and fantastic sunshine. The previous record warm March temperature in Scotland got smashed around 4 times until we reached 23.6C at Aboyne. The following days were still settled and quite pleasant though a bit cooler. Of course it wasn't perfect with not as much snow as I'd like and a perfect March would have even more changeable and interesting and pleasant seasonal conditions but this month was very interesting and pleasing with records going and a decent variety of weather. I would rate this month at around 8/10.

A very good month for interesting, record breaking warmth and sunshine aswell other types of weather.

[b]APRIL 2012:[/b]


[b]SCOTLAND MEAN: 4.9C, CET :7.2C, MAX TEMP: 19.7C, MIN TEMP: -8.2C[/b]

[b] [b]Scotland diary of highlights[/b][/b]


[b]With low pressure over or near the UK for most of the month, the weather was generally unsettled with plenty of showers and some snow in the first few days.[/b]

[b]The mean temperature was 0.8 °C below the 1971-2000 average, making it the coldest April since 1998. It was wetter than normal across the eastern half of Scotland, especially in parts of Aberdeenshire, Moray and Banffshire where over 250% of the normal amount fell. In eastern Scotland, it was provisionally the equal-second wettest April on record, with only April 1934 wetter, and the number of days with rain was the highest in over 50 years. Rainfall totals were close to or below average in the western half of Scotland. It was a relatively dull month in the east, especially in Aberdeenshire, but sunshine totals were somewhat above normal along the west coast and in the Western Isles.[/b]
[b]1st to 10th: [/b]
[b]It was dry and bright on 1st although rain spread into northern areas during the afternoon and spread south overnight to leave a showery day on 2nd for central areas with more persistent rain for the north. The 3rd saw a band of rain, sleet and snow move south, with 22 cm of snow lying at Whitehillocks (Angus) early in the day. This cleared overnight to leave drier, brighter but still chilly days on 4th and 5th although some light, patchy rain reached north-western areas later. The rain edged further south on 6th to reach central and eastern areas before clearing overnight to give a drier and brighter day on 7th. Although the 8th started dry, a band of rain moved eastwards, clearing during the afternoon to leave scattered showers. The 9th was generally unsettled with rain or showers for most areas; 29.4 mm was recorded at Edinburgh and 28.0 mm at Tyndrum (Stirling). On 10th a band of rain, sleet and snow spread from the north during the early hours affecting eastern areas before clearing southwards during the evening. [/b] [b]11th to 30th: [/b]
[b]The 11th saw frequent and heavy showers, some of hail with thunder for Dumfries and Galloway. The showers became more scattered from 12th to 14th before becoming largely confined to north-eastern areas on 15th. The 16th started bright but rain spread from the west during the late afternoon, with Lochgilphead (Argyll and Bute) recording 37.6 mm and Machrihanish (Argyll and Bute) 28.0 mm. The rain affected the north-east for much of 17th with other areas having a blustery day with scattered showers. The 18th saw more sunshine but scattered showers developed, continuing into 19th with a cool north-east wind affecting eastern and northern areas. The showers continued on 20th and 21st with some heavy bursts particularly for central areas. On 22nd and 23rd showers were widespread, frequent and at times heavy. A brisk north-east wind brought further showers to most areas on 24th before northern areas had more persistent rain on 25th with the showers more scattered for eastern and southern areas; 41.0 mm was recorded at Drumnadrochit (Highland). The 26th saw rain spread from the south during the day reaching central areas by evening with northern areas having showers and feeling cool once again in a brisk north-east wind. On 27th central and southern areas saw more sunshine and fewer showers although northern and north-eastern areas continued to have frequent, heavy showers. After a cold start on 28th, with the temperature down to -7.2 °C at Tulloch Bridge (Highland), any showers were lighter and confined to northern areas. After another cold start on 29th, with -6.4 °C at Tulloch Bridge, it was generally a better day with early sunshine, although rain spread from the south in the early evening. This reached northern areas overnight before clearing to leave a cloudy day on 30th with some drizzle for eastern coastal areas. [/b]

[b]MY ANALYSIS:[/b]

Overall, April was interesting month, strangely it was colder than March, with a Scotland mean of 4.9C, a reading more familiar with some winter months than Spring. The month included plentiful frosts, first UK and Glasgow snowfall since 2008 and one of the main snow events of the season, the wettest UK April on record, a lot of wet and dull weather for the south, but somewhat better conditions further north.

The month started bright following a record March warm spell, then a cold spell followed. The first April snowfall in the UK and here in Glasgow since 2008 occured on the 3rd, it also brought lying snow to large areas of the northern half of Scotland including 22cm in some areas and widespread distruption. In some respect, it was the most notable snow event of the season for some. Snow showers from an easterly followed the main snow event on the 3rd. This cold spell followed a record warm spell which made the event even more special, although any snowfall at this time of year is special, especially when some areas get a major snowfall. The following days saw regular periods of fronts, generally cool temperatures, some showers and short periods with some clear patches in the sky. The rest and majority of the month saw lots of showers, cloud cover, lots of hail showers and a few frost and pretty cold nights in areas. There was a lack of warm days, and there was never a fully settled day but there were periods of clear skies. High pressure over Greenland resulted in this April being so unsettled and cold with northerly winds. Overall, I'll rate this month 6/10.

A very interesting month, but could have been better with some more sunny periods.

[b]MAY 2012:[/b]

[b]SCOTLAND MEAN: 8.6C, CET: 11.7C, MAX TEMP: 29.3C (New Scottish record), MIN TEMP: -6.2C[/b]

[b] [b]Scotland diary of highlights[/b][/b]

[b]The weather was generally cool and unsettled during the first three weeks, with some strong winds at times. There was then a mostly dry, sunny and very warm interlude with some unusually high temperatures, particularly across Highland Scotland. Conditions turned cooler and unsettled again at month-end. [/b]
[b]The mean temperature equalled the 1971–2000 average, the very warm spell towards the end of the month offsetting the earlier cool conditions. Rainfall was above normal in Shetland and much of north-west and south-east Scotland, with about 150% of average in the Lothians, the eastern Borders and parts of North-west Highland. Elsewhere, amounts were close to or somewhat below normal, being about 75% of normal in Aberdeenshire and the Western Isles. Sunshine amounts were above normal, especially over Northern Scotland where, provisionally, it was the third sunniest May in the series from 1929.[/b] [b]1st to 6th:[/b] [b]The 1st was generally dry with sunny spells, although rain reached extreme south-western areas during the afternoon and spread up the west coast overnight before dying out. The 2nd and 3rd were dry, sunny but cool although low cloud took time to burn off near eastern coasts. A band of rain spread southwards overnight leaving a bright day on 4th with light, scattered showers and the showery theme continued on 5th and 6th with the heaviest and most frequent showers being in the north and east.[/b] [b]7th to 18th:[/b] [b]The 7th started bright but cloud and rain spread from the south-west to reach all areas by the end of the day. This cleared northwards overnight to leave drier, brighter days on 8th and 9th with only a few light and scattered showers. The 10th saw rain spreading from the south to all areas and it was very cool with maxima typically around 7 to 9 °C. It remained wet and cool for most areas on 11th. The 12th saw an improvement with bright spells and only scattered showers for western areas. However 13th was a stormy day with strong winds and heavy rain spreading in from the north-west. There were large rainfall totals, mainly in the north where Kinlochewe (Highland) recorded 101 mm, and a gust of 67 mph was recorded at Blackford Hill (Edinburgh). The 14th saw the winds ease slightly although there were frequent showers in a cool northerly wind with thunder in Fife. A cool north-westerly wind brought further showers on 15th and 16th, these dying out later in the day. The 17th saw rain and cold easterly winds, with maxima typically around 7 to 9 °C. There was a slow improvement on 18th as the rain moved slowly eastwards. [/b] [b]19th to 28th:[/b] [b]The 19th was a drier and brighter day with only a few scattered showers in the east, and the gradual improvement continued on 20th and 21st with plenty of sunshine. The 22nd was dry, sunny and warm and 23rd was warmer still with temperatures rising close to 27 °C across parts of the Highlands and to 28.4 °C at Cromdale (Highland). The hot conditions triggered some scattered heavy showers for central areas, with Livingston (West Lothian) having a thunderstorm and 36 mm of rainfall. The period 24th to 28th remained very warm and sunny with temperatures reaching the mid to high 20s, although eastern coastal areas saw mist and low cloud during some mornings. The Scottish temperature record for May was broken on 25th when Achnagart (Highland) recorded 29.3 °C. Other high values included 27.3 °C at Bishopton (Glasgow) on 24th, 28.1 °C at Kinlochewe on 26th, 29.0 °C at Cromdale (Highland) on 27th and 26.6 °C at Aberfeldy (Perth and Kinross) on 28th. [/b] [b]29th to 31st:[/b] [b]The 29th and 30th were cloudy and some heavy showers broke out in the Borders during the late afternoon with Floors Castle (Borders) recording 19.3 mm on 30th. The 31st saw a band of rain spread from the west which cleared during the afternoon to leave showers for eastern areas.[/b]
[b]MY ANALYSIS:[/b]

May 2012 was another interesting month. We had some very warm temperatures and fantastic weather here in Glasgow at the end of the month but also had a pretty wet and notably cool first half to two thirds with some late season frost and snow. The month was dominated by high pressure over Greenland which resulted in a notable cool and wet first half to May. It wasn't all dull and cool with some pleasant enough days here in Glasgow although further south it was quite dire and even up here we had the odd dire day. The beginning of the month also had a notable cold spell which saw Glasgow had it's coldest May minimum since I can remember with -4C and on a few days we had snowfalls. The quite typical/classic example of a May cold spell in the start to some very wet, changeable conditions in between and a very potent and spectacular spell of weather at the end resulted in May being another fascinating month in 2012.

The start of the month was cool and with some nice, clear spells of weather aswell as intervening fronts bringing spells or rain and cloud cover. There were a few nice warm days in the first 3 days with temperatures up to 19C although the odd rainy day split up these pleasant spells. From the 5th-7th May we had a cold spell that included some snowfall here in Glasgow and other parts of Scotland and we had 3 consecutive frosts. -6.2C was recorded in Ayrshire which continues the run of years with May minima in the -6Cs. Beyond this, saw less frosts but more wet and cool weather with the odd sunny and clearer spell. This period was quite dull and disapointing at times with surpressed temperatures and very dark and wet conditions.

The end to May was very spectacular as Scotland's record maxima for May was broken aswell as my personal record maxima for May was also broken. The 21st saw temperatures up to 18C with sunshine but the following day saw the first 20C of the month. We then had two very warm days after that with 26C then followed by 27C (the latter a personal record for me). 3 days of 20C+ and two days of 25C+ is as good as it gets in May. The following days saw temperatures at 24C and 23C and the 27th and 28th saw temperatures at 25C. That was 7 consecutive days of 20C+ temperatures - a total tally that's very good for May and this was probably the warmest and longest spell of hot weather since summer 2006 here. It was warm everywhere in the UK but the NW had the best of conditions. This was really as good as it gets in Glasgow when it comes to summer weather and Scotland broke it's May record with 29.3C. The final days of the month were cooler and a bit wetter. I would rate this month at 8 or even 9/10.

A very interesting month - not perfect - with varied conditions and periods, some fantastic pleasnant weather on both spectrums of cold and warm May weather and some records broken with a very spectacular warm spell.

A Winter's Tale

A Winter's Tale

 

Uk Weather: 2012 Vs 2011 Vs 2010

Let's start with a more interesting year like 2010, then a more mad and messed up year like last year and so how 2012 is faring!

January 2010: UK Mean Temp = 0.9C, Max Temp = 13.2C, Min Temp = -22.3C
February 2010: UK Mean Temp = 1.9C, Max Temp = 13.3C, Min Temp = -19.2C
March 2010: UK Mean Temp = 5.1C, Max Temp = 18.0C, Min Temp = -18.6C
April 2010: UK Mean Temp = 8.0C, Max Temp = 22.9C, Min Temp = -7.0C
May 2010: UK Mean Temp = 9.8C, Max Temp = 28.9C, Min Temp = -6.0C
June 2010: UK Mean Temp = 14.2C, Max Temp = 30.9C, Min Temp = -0.1C
July 2010: UK Mean Temp = 15.6C, Max Temp = 31.7C, Min Temp = 0.1C
August 2010: UK Mean Temp = 14.2C, Max Temp = 26.7C, Min Temp = -1.3C
September 2010: UK Mean Temp = 12.8C, Max Temp = 24.6C, Min Temp = -4.4C
October 2010: UK Mean Temp = 9.4C, Max Temp = 23.1C, Min Temp = -6.6C
November 2010: UK Mean Temp = 4.3C, Max Temp = 19.0C, Min Temp = -18.0C
December 2010: UK Mean Temp = -0.9C, Max Temp = 12.0C, Min Temp = -21.3C
Annual: UK Mean Temp (15.6C/-0.9C), Max Temp = 31.7C, Min Temp = -22.3C

January 2011: UK Mean Temp = 3.1C, Max Temp = 14.5C, Min Temp = -13.0C
February 2011: UK Mean Temp = 5.3C, Max Temp = 16.0C, Min Temp = -6.8C
March 2011: UK Mean Temp = 5.8C, Max Temp = 20.0C, Min Temp = -7.5C
April 2011: UK Mean Temp = 10.7C, Max Temp = 27.8C, Min Temp = -5.4C
May 2011: UK Mean Temp = 11.0C, Max Temp = 25.4C, Min Temp = -6.3C
June 2011: UK Mean Temp = 12.7C, Max Temp = 33.1C, Min Temp = -1.9C
July 2011: UK Mean Temp = 14.2C, Max Temp = 27.4C, Min Temp = -0.8C
August 2011: UK Mean Temp = 14.1C, Max Temp = 30.3C, Min Temp = 0.5C
September 2011: UK Mean Temp = 13.8C, Max Temp = 29.2C, Min Temp = -0.4C
October 2011: UK Mean Temp = 11.2C, Max Temp = 29.9C, Min Temp = -3.3C
November 2011: UK Mean Temp = 8.7C, Max Temp = 19.2C, Min Temp = -6.1C
December 2011: UK Mean Temp = 4.8C, Max Temp = 15.5C, Min Temp = -9.4C
Annual: UK Mean Temp (14.2C/3.1C), Max Temp = 33.1C, Min Temp = -13.0C

January 2012: UK Mean Temp = 4.7C, Max Temp = 14.0C, Min Temp = -10.5C
February 2012: UK Mean Temp = 4.1C, Max Temp = 18.7C, Min Temp = -15.6C
March 2012: UK Mean Temp = 7.7C, Max Temp = 23.6C, Min Temp = -8.5C
April 2012: UK Mean Temp = 6.3C, Max Temp = 19.7C, Min Temp = -8.2C

How does 2012 fare againts 2011 and 2010?

The 2010's So Far:

January: UK Mean Temp = 0.9C/4.7C (2010/2012), Max Temp = 14.5C (2011), Min Temp = -22.3C (2010)
February: UK Mean Temp = 1.9C/5.3C (2010/2011), Max Temp = 18.7C (2012), Min Temp = -19.2C (2010)
March: UK Mean Temp = 5.1C/7.7C (2010/2012), Max Temp = 23.6C (2012), Min Temp = -18.6C (2010)
April: UK Mean Temp = 8.0C/10.7C (2010/2011), Max Temp = 27.8C (2011), Min Temp = -8.2C (2012)
May: UK Mean Temp = 11.0C/9.8C (2011/2010), Max Temp = 28.9C (2010), Min Temp = -6.3C (2011)
June: UK Mean Temp = 14.2C/12.7C (2010/2011), Max Temp = 33.1C (2011), Min Temp = -1.9C (2011)
July: UK Mean Temp = 15.6C/14.2C (2010/2011), Max Temp = 31.7C (2010), Min Temp = -0.8C (2011)
August: UK Mean Temp = 14.2C/14.1C (2010/2011), Max Temp = 30.3C (2010), Min Temp = -1.3C (2010)
September: UK Mean Temp = 13.8C/12.8C (2011/2010), Max Temp = 29.2C (2011), Min Temp = -4.4C (2010)
October: UK Mean Temp = 9.4C/11.2C (2010/2011), Max Temp = 29.9C (2011), Min Temp = -6.6C (2010)
November: UK Mean Temp = 4.3C/8.7C (2010/2011), Max Temp = 19.2C (2011), Min Temp = -18.0C (2010)
December: UK Mean Temp = -0.9C/4.8C (2010/2011), Max Temp = 15.5C (2011), Min Temp = -21.3C (2010)

Records to beat:

January: Max Temp = 18.3C, Min Temp = -27.2C
February: Max Temp = 19.7C, Min Temp = -27.2C
March: Max Temp = 25.6C, Min Temp = -22.8C
April: Max Temp = 29.4C, Min Temp = -15.0C
May: Max Temp = 32.8C, Min Temp = -9.4C
June: Max Temp = 35.6C, Min Temp = -5.6C
July: Max Temp = 36.5C, Min Temp = -2.5C
August: Max Temp = 38.5C, Min Temp = -4.5C
September: Max Temp = 35.6C, Min Temp = -6.7C
October: Max Temp = 29.9C, Min Temp = -11.7C
November: Max Temp = 21.7C, Min Temp = -23.3C
December: Max Temp = 18.3C, Min Temp = -27.2C

A Winter's Tale

A Winter's Tale

 

Spring 2012 Forecast

[u][b][u][u]CSS Spring Forecast 2012[/u][/u][/b][/u]

Overview

With Winter being many Atlantic dominated with a persistent Azores High, I believe that a very interesting Spring is on the cards. I believe that March will start of Atlantic Dominated but I do believe that we will see it become quieter - I believe that his could result in a mixture of cold and warm spells for March and April with plenty of sunshine and increasing the risk of drought although showers may still be possible in the NW. I believe, usually, we'd atleast expect a decent warm spell between Mid April and Mid June so I'm confident that May will see periods of warmth, sunshine and potential thundery breakdowns but it's a question of whether May would continue being generally warm and dry or will the Atlantic return bring wet conditions but with a possibility for cool, showery conditions. I believe that this Spring will be pivotal in the summer that we get - particulary April and May so a warm theme of May well carry on into June but eventually the Atlantic may return leading to poor periods in summer.



[b]MARCH[/b]

March is set to start of a wet, windy, unsettled and mild not with some sunny, showery spells between fronts. However as we progress through the month, I expect there to be an increase in northerly outbreaks and potential easterlies as we see height rises return either over Iceland or Greenland. This would mean that the jet stream will move south for periods resulting in spells that include northerlies with snow showers to the north but generally sunny conditions, however the Atlantic will intervene at times. Towards the final third of the month, I expect to see some warmer days mixed in with the northerlies, fronts and a continued sunny flavour.

[color=#FF0000]Generally incaccurate - Wet, windy, unsettled start is quite accurate with some sunny, showery spells and fronts also accurate. However my referrence to northerlies isn't accurate. However a hint at warmer days at the end is quite accurate.[/color]



[b]APRIL[/b]

I expect April to start on a showery note with westerly winds, these generally cool but there may be the odd warmer day thrown in. However, eventually I see winds turning to more of a northerly setting up and cool-cold early-middle part of the month with a continued risk of snow to the north. Following this, I expect a return to fronts from the west breaking up long, periods of generally sunny conditions with a mixture of settled to showery, cool to warm. During the final part of the month, I expect temperatures to be on rise and more undisturbed periods of sunshine.


[color=#FF0000]Accurate - My forecast of showery, cool, northerlies, snow, fronts, showery is accurate although a warmer end and some other details aren't perfect. [/color]

[b]MAY[/b]

I expect the very early stages of May to see sunny, but pleasant to warm temperatures with the odd cool night as the April shower regime begins to fade out. As we progress, we'll see an increase in temperatures but there may be the odd front to break up seperate periods of sunshine and warmth. Towards the middle of the month, I expect the Atlantic to return and subsequently there may initially be some thundery conditions. Following this we may see a period with low pressure systems crossing over the UK bringing rain, but clearing quickly to introduce cooler but sunny conditions with the threat of wintryness on the northern hills. There may also be the odd day thrown in. This shouldn't last too long as to finish off the month, I expect a trend for a return to sunnier conditions with warmth but these periods may be regular - but short lived.

[color=#FF0000]Not Wrong but Not Accurate - The very early stages of pleasant-warm temps is relatively accurate, an increase of temperatures is wrong, but the return of the Atlantic, wintryness on hills, low pressure and cool is correct. The warm end to the month is also accurate.[/color]


CSS

A Winter's Tale

A Winter's Tale

 

Winter 2011/2012 - Review, Analysis And Key Events

[center]WINTER 2011/2012[/center]

FACTS:


REVIEW:

[b]DECEMBER 2011: [/b]

[b]SCOTLAND MEAN: 3.1C, CET: 6.0C, MAX TEMP: 15.5C, MIN TEMP: -9.4C[/b]


[b] Scotland Diary of Highlights[/b]

[b]A persistent Atlantic airstream brought changeable, sometimes very stormy, conditions. Temperatures were near or a little below normal for much of the month but it became milder in the last 10 days. There was rainfall on most days and hill snow at times. [/b]
[b]The mean temperature was equal to the 1971-2000 average - almost 5 °C warmer than December 2010. Rainfall totals were above average in most of the west and north, over 75% above in places, but close to normal in the east. In northern and western Scotland it was one of the wettest Decembers in the last 100 years (and the number of days with rain was among the highest for December in 50 years). It was a relatively dull month, especially in the Western Isles and towards the south-west.[/b]
1st to 10th: Heavy showers early on 1st, these easing during the afternoon, although it was windy with a gust of 68 mph at Prestwick (Ayrshire). A bright start in the east on 2nd with showers for the north-west before rain spread from the west during the afternoon. A showery windy day on 3rd with a gust of 78 mph reported at Loch Glascarnoch (Highland). A much colder day on 4th with frequent showers, these becoming wintry in the north. The 5th saw snow showers in a strong north-westerly wind for much of the north and west with 15 cm of snow recorded at 0900 on 5th and 6th at Eskdalemuir (Dumfries & Galloway). The showers eased on 6th and it remained cold then rain, preceded by some sleet and snow, spread from the west during the afternoon. A showery day on 7th with some snow for higher ground in the north. The strong north-west wind kept it feeling cold with a 64 mph gust at Stornoway (Western Isles). A very stormy day on 8th with much of the country experiencing gale-force winds and heavy rain. A gust of 105 mph was recorded at Tulloch Bridge (Highland) and over 25 mm of rain fell across much of Highland with 57 mm at Loch Glascarnoch. A better day on 9th with scattered wintry showers mainly in the north and west. A band of snow spread from the west into central areas in the early hours of 10th followed by a cloudy day with scattered showers.

11th to 20th: The 11th saw showers for northern and western areas with the east having the best of any bright spells. The 12th saw scattered showers for the north and west, with snow on high ground, before wind and rain spread from the west during the evening. A wet and stormy day on 13th with snow for higher ground; Tyndrum (Stirling) recorded 57 mm of rain and a gust of 71 mph was recorded at Prestwick. There were showers for western and northern areas on 14th and 15th, wintry on high ground, with any bright weather in the east. After an early frost on 16th, with -8.7 °C recorded at Aviemore (Highland), it was bright but cold with only scattered wintry showers in the far north-west and south-east. Similar on 17th and 18th, with frosty nights and scattered coastal wintry showers; -9.4 °C was recorded at Loch Glascarnoch early on 18th. On 19th a band of rain, initially falling as freezing rain in places, moved eastwards during the morning with clearer weather following. Some patchy rain for much of 20th before a band of rain spread from the south-west during the late afternoon.

21st to 31st: A wet start on 21st although the rain cleared during early afternoon to leave a cloudy and mild day which continued on 22nd, with rain spreading to north-western areas later. A band of rain moved south-eastwards during the morning of 23rd clearing to scattered showers. It was very windy and wet for the north-west on 24th with a gust of 54 mph at Loch Glascarnoch and 51 mm of rain at Achnagart (Highland). Achnagart also recorded 71 mm on 25th, when again most of the heavy rain fell in the north-west. However, it was very mild, with 15.1 °C recorded at Dyce (Aberdeen). On 26th there were strong winds for northern areas with a 101 mph gust recorded at Sella Ness (Shetland) and heavy rain again in the north-west with 52 mm at Kinlochewe (Highland). Still very mild, especially towards the east, with 15.5 °C recorded at Fyvie Castle (Aberdeenshire). A quieter day on 27th with patchy rain spreading from the south during the afternoon. Stormy on 28th with gale-force westerly winds and frequent squally showers. Gusts of 79 mph were recorded on Tiree and South Uist. Winds eased on 29th but there were still frequent showers. Rain spread eastwards on 30th turning heavier and persistent for a time with some snow, especially over high ground. New Year’s Eve was rather cloudy and outbreaks of rain spread south-eastwards during the evening, with clearer skies and showers following by midnight
[b]My Analysis:[/b]

December 2011 was the most interesting month of the Winter 2011/2012 and a very good month for snow in W Scotland and just slightly below the Scottish December Average. The month was mainly dominated by the Atlantic, however it's tilt allowed for Polar Maritime incursions during the first 20 days. These brought short but regular cold feeling days with the risk of ice and snow. It was also a very wet and windy month too with the fields nearby always being flooded and it was windy regulary. A snowy month too with two decent cold spells with good snow events brought some notable lying snow to the Glasgow Area which makes December 2011 a great month and the best of the Winter and perhaps it's the month that has saved/made the winter's reputation of carrying on decent form and not reverting back to snowless winters. This month certainly contradicted that.

The month began on a wet and windy note until we entered a cold spell around the 3rd/4th. This would bring persistent, heavy snow showers to much of the West of Scotland and dumped around 5-15cm in this area. The snow remained on the ground until around the 6th. A very decent cold spell. Following this was a milder but wetter and windier period including a powerful storm on the 8th that earned a Red Warning. Following this was shorter periods of cold air streams and some snow but generally fluctuating between wet and windy to cold, settled with risk of ice. On the 16th was a heavy snowfall for Glasgow that dumped around 3-8cm. The snow would remain on the ground until the 19th following a cold, crisp and sunny cold spell - very seasonal and festive. Beyond this was a very mild period with heavy rain and strong winds and little sunshine. Almost a record breaking warm Christmas with 15C in Aberdeen. However it was still interesting weather at a nice time of year and the first 20 days were very good. All in all, for weather I'd give this month somewhere between 7 to 8/10.

A very good month for snow, cold and interesting weather in between.


[b]JANUARY 2012:[/b]

[b]SCOTLAND MEAN: 3.2C, CET: 5.4C, MAX TEMP: 14.0C, MIN TEMP: -10.5C[/b]

[b] Scotland diary of highlights[/b]

The first week was mild, but very stormy at times, with a major storm on 3rd affecting southern Scotland in particular. It remained wet in the north and west, but gradually turned more settled towards mid-month, with some dry sunny days and night-time frosts, especially in eastern areas. A mainly westerly airstream brought a return to unsettled conditions later in the month, with rain and hill snow, before it turned much colder but dry at the end.
Temperatures overall were 0.8 °C above the 1971-2000 average. Rainfall totals varied widely, from more than 150% of normal in parts of the north to only half the normal for Fife and the eastern Borders. It was sunnier than normal except for south-west Scotland and the Western Isles, provisionally the second sunniest January in the series (since 1929) for eastern Scotland.

1st to 10th The 1st and 2nd saw strong westerly winds, with frequent showers mainly in the north-west. The 3rd was a very stormy day, with gale-force winds and squally showers for most of the country. There was a gust of 102 mph recorded at Edinburgh Blackford Hill. The 4th started dry in the east, but rain spread from the west during the afternoon with some strong to gale-force winds again. 58 mm of rain was recorded at Cluanie Inn (Highland), and Dundrennan (Dumfries & Galloway) had a gust of 76 mph. The windy theme continued on 5th with gale-force north-westerlies, and a scattering of showers mainly in the north-west. A gust of 65 mph was recorded at Peterhead (Aberdeenshire). The 6th started bright, but patchy light rain spread from the west during the morning. It remained windy with scattered showers in northern areas on 7th, then it was dull and damp on 8th with rain and drizzle for most areas. The 9th was a brighter day with sunny spells and only scattered light showers. The north-west saw some heavy rain on 10th, with 28 mm falling at both Cassley and Resallach (Highland), whilst other areas were generally dry but cloudy.

11th to 20th A generally dry, mild but cloudy start on 11th although rain and strengthening winds spread into north-western areas by late afternoon. A windy start on 12th with Loch Glascarnoch (Highland) recording a gust of 68 mph, but winds eased during the morning to give a cooler, brighter day. After a chilly start, 13th was dry with sunny spells. The settled theme continued on 14th and 15th; after frosty mornings (down to -6 °C in parts of the Highlands and Borders), these were dry days with sunny spells. The 16th was dry with sunny spells too, after a cold and in places foggy start, with -10.5 °C recorded at Aboyne (Aberdeenshire). Another cold start on 17th, temperatures falling close to -10 °C in parts of the Highlands; scattered showers were mainly confined to the north-west. A band of rain cleared overnight to leave showers on 18th, mainly for western and northern areas, becoming wintry on higher ground. On 19th a band of showers, with snow for higher ground, spread from the west, giving a snow depth of 8 cm at Aviemore (Highland). The 20th started bright, but a band of rain spread from the south-west during the day accompanied by strengthening winds.

21st to 31st The 21st was a day of frequent showers and strong winds, with a gust of 70 mph at Loch Glascarnoch. The 22nd saw the showers confined to northern and western areas, and the winds eased slightly later in the day. There was more sunshine on 23rd, especially in eastern areas, whereas the showers continued in the north and west. The 24th started with a band of rain (snow for higher ground) spreading from the west, although this cleared during the morning to leave a dull and cloudy day. The 25th was milder and drier than of late, with some strong winds for western areas. However, a band of rain spread from the west during the evening which cleared overnight giving a colder day on 26th with a band of rain and snow spreading eastwards for central areas during the afternoon. A frosty start on 27th, with Loch Glascarnoch recording -6.9 °C, then a bright but chilly day with only a few scattered snow showers mainly for the north, whilst 28th remained chilly but was generally dry until rain edged in to the Western Isles during the afternoon. The 29th was a bright day after a chilly start for northern areas, with scattered showers, but the south-west saw rain for much of the day. It felt cold in a south-easterly breeze; this continued into 30th and 31st which were generally dry but cloudy days.
[b]My Analysis:[/b]

Overall, despite the lack of cold and snow in the first half of the month and the lack of a major snowfall in January, the month was just about satisfactory. Certainly nowhere near snowless, we had days of snowfall and some tempory coverings and the second half was pretty cold with lots of frost and sunshine. Certainly, I've seen worse months than this. The first half of the month was very mild and very stormy, compared to the cold and sunnier second half. However the warm first half influenced the Mean temperature more and we got a milder than average month.

The first few days of the New Year was wet, windy and mild with little sunshine. However on the 4th, the Met Office gave out a late Red Warning for Scotland as its worst storm since 1998 hit which brought extreme damage and extreme gusts of wind. Following the storm was unsettled weather with some cooler periods with sleety snow at times. Around mid month, we entered a far more settled period as High Pressure sat over the UK and brought cold conditions with sunshine and frost and interesting sunsets, it certainly did feel very seasonal. The following period saw a brief return to the jet stream and then we got some snowfalls. The last few days saw us enter another cold spell with lots of sunshine and nighttime frosts . A nice end to the month. Overall, for snow January wasn't awful but it failed to produce interesting snow events and there weren't many snow events but there was at least 3 snow events observed in Glasgow (15 winter months since 2000 have had worse records than that). The storm was incredible, and the wonderful crisp winter sunshine of the second half was good. Overall I'll give the month somehwhere between 5 to 7 out of 10. Average for snow, good for cold and interesting with mild, wet and windy periods.


[b]FEBRUARY 2012:[/b]

[b]SCOTLAND MEAN: 4.4C, CET: 3.8C, MAX TEMP: 18.7C, MIN TEMP: -15.6C[/b]

[b] Scotland diary of highlights[/b]

After a cold, fine start, for most of the month there was a westerly component to the airstreams over Scotland. These brought generally mild weather, especially in the last 10 days. Cloud and rain were most frequent in the west, whilst sheltered eastern areas were mainly dry and recorded some unusually high temperatures at times.
The mean temperature was 1.8 °C above the 1971-2000 average, making it the mildest February since 1998 and one of the mildest on record. It was drier than average across most of central and eastern Scotland, especially from the Lothians to Aberdeenshire where only about a third of the normal amount fell. Rainfall totals were close to average in the west and the Northern Isles. It was a relatively dull month in the west, especially along the west coast and in the Western Isles, but sunshine totals were nearer normal along the east coast.

1st to 10th: A frosty start on 1st and 2nd, with temperatures dropping to -7 °C on both nights in parts of the Highlands, but dry and sunny days followed. The 3rd again saw a frosty start after temperatures fell well below zero, with -10.9 °C at Braemar (Aberdeenshire) and –11.8 °C at Cromdale (Highland). It was a dry and sunny day, although rain reached the far west during the evening. This spread eastwards overnight resulting in a wet day on 4th with rain for most areas but snow for the higher ground. This cleared overnight to leave a slightly milder day on 5th with scattered showers in the north. The 6th and 7th were dry but cold days after a frosty start with temperatures down to -10 °C in parts of the central Highlands. There were long sunny spells although fog was slow to clear from parts of the Central Belt. The 8th was milder but wet after a frosty start for the north-west and dry and cold in southern and eastern areas. The 9th saw an area of freezing rain in Dumfries and Galloway in the morning but a dry day elsewhere and on 10th a band of patchy, light rain spread from the west.

11th to 19th: The period 11th to 16th was more settled and generally dry, with the best of any sunshine in the east where temperature maxima reached 11 or 12 °C from 13th. On 16th rain in the north-west overnight gave way to showers, and it was dry and bright elsewhere. The 17th started dry and bright but rain, heavy at times, spread from the west during the day. This was persistent in the north-west, with 52 mm recorded at Cluanie Inn (Highland) and 71 mm at Achnagart (Highland) in the 24 hours ending 0900 on 18th. Turning much colder from the north-west as the rain spread southwards during the early hours of 18th, followed by showers of hail, sleet and snow. A frosty start on 19th with temperatures down to -10 °C in some Highland glens, and wintry showers at first in the north-west, but dry and sunny elsewhere.

20th to 29th: Rain spread to all areas from the west on 20th and it turned milder in the south-westerly flow, the temperature reaching 13 °C along the Moray Firth. The 21st continued mild, especially in the east, but it was cloudy with rain at times, persistent in the higher parts of the west where over 40 mm was recorded (60 mm at Achnagart). This unsettled theme continued into 22nd and 23rd with strengthening winds but still very mild towards the east with 15.7 °C at Aboyne (Aberdeenshire) on 22nd and 15.9 °C at Dyce (Aberdeen) on 23rd. Fresh or strong north-west winds gave a bright day with scattered showers on 24th and again at first on 25th but cloud and rain spread south-eastwards through the day. Dry and cloudy with showers in the north-west on 26th, rain arriving from the west later which spread to all parts overnight. This cleared south-eastwards during the afternoon of 27th. The 28th and 29th were dry and cloudy but very mild, especially in the east, with the temperature reaching 17.2 °C at Dyce on 28th


[b]MY ANALYSIS:[/b]

Overall February for the UK was a pretty interesting month. Here in Glasgow, it was notably disapointing month for snow with only two days where I observed snowfall and Glasgow Airport didn't even record a single snowfall. However, despite the lack of snow and the mild average temperature, the first half was pretty cold here with our coldest temperatures of the winter. It was also quite sunny under an easterly flow. However in Europe it was notably colder making it a 4th Consecutive Winter with a Big Freeze and this affected England too which saw colder temperatures than in Scotland. And England (and Wales) enjoyed the two of the most widespread and notable snow events of the winter too with depths up to 15cm and lying on the ground for a few days. However, despite the UK's most notable cold spell of the winter (December 2011 was best for Scotland, however for the UK, this cold spell could perhaps have carried on the theme of severe cold spells of the previous winters), the second half was much milder with only one snowfall event in Scotland. This resulted in some horrible cloudy, mild days with drizzle aswell as some lovely spring-like days. As a result some very mild temperatures were recorded. Despite the lack of snow here in Glasgow (but not exactly snowless) and missing out on the best of the cold spell, it was overall for the UK an equally interesting month as December and January with a notable cold spell that could perhaps make the category "Big Freeze", the most notable snowfalls for the UK happened and even the milder end was interesting.


From the 26th January till around 6th February, Glasgow was enjoying a cold spell which saw temperatures drop as low as -7C on the 2nd under a cold easterly flow. There were some days with cloud cover and others with fine winter sunshine. However, the cold spell ended earlier here and we got some milder and wetter conditions whereas the SE of England had a very cold first half with a major snowfall on the 4th and another on the 9th. But most notably was the cold temperatures with -18.7C being recorded at Chesham and and a maximum of -5.4C at Coningsby. This didn't last long as milder weather arrived (although here in Glasgow there was a brief cold spell) which resulted in a mix of dull days and some good spring-like days. Towards the end of the month, the February maximum temperature record was under threat as the temperature reached 18.7C near Birmingham and maxed around 17C near Aberdeen. Overall, an interesting month but like January it had long very mild periods that cancelled out the colder periods and it lacked a notable snowfall (it was the poorest month of the winter for snow). However even the milder weather was interesting and most notable was the cold spell. Despite Glasgow lacking out on the snow, intensity and length of the cold spell as in Europe - the cold spell here was quite notable and further south east it was included two notable snow events and some very cold temperatures and even made the BBC use the phrase Big Freeze. So perhaps the Winter 2011/2012 did continue the run of severe cold spells in the UK afterall - anyway the good run had continued anyway thanks to a good December and interesting periods of weather in January and February (good cold weather) that cancel out any of the long, very mild and less interesting periods that lacked snow. 5 or 6/10.



[b]OVERALL REVIEW OF WINTER WITH FACTS, KEY EVENTS AND RATINGS[/b]

TBC (Facts of winter, my overall analyse, how good it was, it's best moments, what caused it, how it compares....)

[b]WINTER 2011/2012:[/b]

[b]SCOTLAND MEAN: 3.53 (18th Mildest, 5th Mildest in My Lifetime)[/b]
[b]UK MEAN: 4.54 (16th Mildest)[/b]
[b]UK COLDEST TEMPERATURE: -15.6C[/b]
[b]UK WARMEST TEMPERATURE: 18.7C[/b]
[b]UK SUNSHINE: 38.7hrs (DEC), 60.3hrs (JAN), 65.3hrs (FEB), WINTER = 164.3hrs - sunnier than average[/b]
[b]SCOTLAND SUNSHINE: 23.4hrs (DEC), 46.7hrs (JAN), 53.6hrs (FEB), WINTER = 123.6hrs[/b]
[b]UK RAINFALL: 168.1mm (DEC), 108.3mm (JAN), 54.5mm (FEB), WINTER = 331.0mm[/b]
[b]SCOTLAND RAINFALL: 265.4mm (DEC), 177.4mm (JAN), 99.2mm (FEB), WINTER = 541.9mm[/b]
[b]UK AIR FROST: 7.4 days (DEC), 8.6 days (JAN), 11.1 days (FEB), WINTER = 27.1 days[/b]
[b]SCOTLAND AIR FROST: 11.9 days (DEC), 10.2 days (JAN), 9 days (FEB), WINTER = 31.2 days[/b]
[b]SCOTLAND MONTHS FROM COLDEST TO MILDEST: DECEMBER 3.1C; JANUARY 3.2C; FEBRUARY 4.4C[/b]
[b]MY MAXIMUM SNOW DEPTH: 7CM, DECEMBER 2011[/b]
[b]SNOW RATING: 6/10 - A GOOD DECEMBER, JANUARY AND FEBRUARY QUITE POOR[/b]
[b]COLD RATING: 6/10 - A DECENT DECEMBER, DECENT JANUARY, DECENT FEBRUARY - SOME LONG PERIODS WITHOUT COLD[/b]
[b]KEY EVENTS: DECEMBER SNOW, JANUARY STORM, FEBRUARY COLD[/b]
[b]OVERALL RATING: 6/10[/b]

GLASGOW SNOW EVENTS:

DECEMBER 2011: SNOWFALLS - 6 (4th, 5th, 6th, 9th, 16th, 17th), COLDEST TEMP (2/-5C)
JANUARY 2012: SNOWFALLS - 3 (20th, 24th, 26th), COLDEST TEMP (2/-5C)
FEBRUARY 2012 - SNOWFALLS - 1 (7th), COLDEST TEMP (2/-7C)
OVERALL: 10, 2/-7C

The 5th Snowiest Winter since 1999/2000

Overall Review:

A decent winter that continues the good run of the past few; no real big freeze despite a relatively prolonged cold spell in February. Nonetheless, we didn't revert back to some of the poor winters prior to 2009. The good points are that December saw two very decent cold spells and snow events with the area covered in lying snow for Days - a generally interesting month. The storm of January 2012 will be remembered for years. January and February both saw some snow at least but most notably there were good spells of cold, crisp weather and even the mild end was interesting. Disapointments is of course no white christmas and the incredible prolonged very mild spell until mid January. Other disapointments are that there wasn't that much in the way of snowfall and barely no significant even in January and February. Another disapointment is the great cold spell in Europe never reached us to make a 4th consecutive big freeze winter. But overall, an interesting and varied winter with some good moments aswell as bad but ultimately we did exceed the threshold for snow and cold in a winter which makes a decent one.

A Winter's Tale

A Winter's Tale

 

Winter Forecast 2011/2012

[u][b][u]AWT FINAL WINTER FORECAST[/u][/b][/u]
[u][b][u]Winter 2011/2012[/u][/b][/u]

[u][u]Factors Involved:[/u][/u][list]
[*]Recent, Low Solar Activity - [color=#ff0000]NO IMPACT ON WINTER![/color]
[*]La Nina and a predicted strengthening La Nina - [color=#ff0000]DID THIS HAVE ANY IMPACT?[/color]
[*]The consitency of High Pressure over Greenland - [color=#ff0000]NO IMPACT ON WINTER![/color]
[*]Current and near future positioning of the jet stream - [color=#ff0000]NO IMPACT ON WINTER![/color]
[*]The Weather of the past 12 or so months - [color=#ff0000]DID THIS HAVE ANY IMPACT?[/color]
[/list]





[b][u][u]FORECAST[/u][/u][/b]




[b][u][u]DECEMBER 2011:[/u][/u][/b][list]
[*]The period 1st-7th December is likely to follow what should be a cooler end to November. I expect December to start off on a cooler note - than what November is likely to be as a whole - with nighttime frost and daytime temperatures of 4C to 9C. This period should bring a mixture of sunshine, cloud and fog to parts of the UK as settled weather prevails. The period should be dominated by low pressure systems with cool polar maritime incursisons following behind the fronts and bringing some wintry weather to parts of the North and West.
[/list]
[color=#ff0000]Realitively accurate - Cool, low pressure, polar westerlies and wintry north west is accurate.[/color][list]
[*]During the period 7th-14th of December, I expect Low Pressure systems from the west to cross over the United Kingdom, bringing rain, wind, milder temperatures and some wet hill snow in the Highlands. Although temperatures are likely to be milder, I do expect some cool-cold polar maritime incursions between depressions bringing some sunshine (particulary to more southern and eastern areas although cloud may hang on to some coastal areas), some frost (perhpas lasting the entire day of some Northern areas) and wintery showers (most likely to be centered over NW Scotland and Northern Ireland).
[/list]
[color=#ff0000]Quite accurate - Low pressure, milder, rain, wind, wet hill snow are accurate.[/color][list]
[*]What I see happening in the period 14th-21st of December is initially Atlantic Dominated before we see High Pressure in Atlantic link up With Higher Pressure in South-Eastern Greenland. The first few days will see a very active atlantic but still with the element of cold topplers behind the fronts and some of these may provide some snow to lower areas in England as some of the topplers will see more cold air than others. Towards the middle and into the latter part I expect to see the signs of Higher Pressure out in the Atlantic and Greenland building.
[/list]
[color=#ff0000]Generally inaccurate - Intitially Atlantic dominated may be correct and snow for England was also correct for this period. There was a time that high pressure in the Atlnatic was perhaps going to link up with high pressure over Greenland (aka Simon Keeling) but it failed.[/color][list]
[*]The period 21st -31st December should start of quite unsettled and chilly initially. However as we head towards Christmas I expect the UK to enter a blocked period with a notable northerly spreading south over the UK during Christmas Eve and lasting till late on Boxing Day. An easterly attempt is broken down when Higher Pressure in the Atlantic and Greenland is smashed by strong areas of low pressure. However as we head towards towards the end of the period I expect a battleground snowfall to take place over the UK and perhaps leading to some large accumilations in the Northern Half of the UK. Following the snowfall, there should be a thaw, and a return to less cold conditions with incoming low pressure systems.
[/list]
[color=#ff0000]Very Inaccurate - Nothing correct about this and really the final outcome was the opposite to my forecast. [/color]


[b][u][u]JANUARY 2012:[/u][/u][/b][list]
[*]The New Year should start pretty chilly with snow snow in the NW of Scotland as chilly zonal pattern prevails with some cold topplers. One or two of these topplers could bring some pretty expansive cold air over the UK and the potential threat for some more frontal snowfalls. During this period I expect signs of a warming in the Stratoshphere (perhaps since Christmas).
[/list]
[color=#ff0000]Not wrong but not correct - The New Year did start off zonal but really there was little snow nor sign of a SSW[/color][list]
[*]The duration of the 7th-13th of January should see indications of High Pressure Building over Greenland and vague hints of a pressure rise in NE Scandinavia but the period should should be predominatley Atlantic dominated although the jet stream should gradually be moving south and extremes of pretty mild sectors to cold sectors will be felt.
[/list]
[color=#ff0000]Wrong[/color][list]
[*]The Period 13th-20th January should see High Pressure over Greenland firmly established and more profound than the attempt of Northern Blocking in late December. Initially, the UK Should be pretty chilly, but as very intense cold air from the Arctic comes down in a notable northerly, we should quickly see things turn progressively and substantially colder. By the middle of the period I would expect some pretty heavy snow showers in Shetland and Northern Scotland aswell as NI with night time temperatures widely below freezing and droping to below -10C in the Highlands. However by the end of the period, I would expect some notable and prolonged periods of snowfalls crossing south over Scotland before intensifying over England, Wales and Ireland over the Irish and North Sea. By the end of the period, -15C or lower should have been reached in the Scottish Highlands.
[/list]
[color=#ff0000]Wrong[/color]
[list]
[*]Between the 20th and 27th of January, I expect to see a gradual increase in terms of intensity of cold and snow with temperatures of -15C to -20C being reached in the Scottish Highlands throughout the period so really not too much of a change in that area but daytime temperatures and night time temperatures elsewhere should be colder at the end than at the beginning. With conitinuos snow showers in the North and some going further south down eastern and western coasts, there shouldn't be too much of a problem with snow in this cold but quite quiet period of weather. However towards the end of the period, as the Greenland High shows signs of a decline, the potential for heights over Scandinavia increase.
[/list]
[color=#ff0000]Wrong[/color][list]
[*]The time frame of the 27th - 31st January should be quite active. The start of the period should see temperatures drop lower than that in the first period with some temperatures in the Highlands below -20C and in some cities -10C should have been reached. As winds have a slight NWly element in them, snow showers should become more expansive and prolonged in North and much of the west. However as Heights over Greenland start to dissolve we should see an incoming aprroch of fronts to create an incredibly messy breakdown. However as the fronts head towards the UK and Ireland, I expect heights over Scandinavia to build.
[/list]
[color=#ff0000]Not 100% wrong[/color]

[b][u][u]FEBUARY 2012:[/u][/u][/b][list]
[*]The period 1st-7th of Febuary is expected to see an incredible battle between the milder Atlantic and a very strong and expansive area of High Pressure over Scandinavia. Initially, we should see some impressive snowfalls as milder Atlantic air meets colder Arctic air, however the front(s) are expected to stall over Central and Eastern parts of the UK contributing to some very large snowfalls. In the western edge of the front it should be slightly less cold as the front over the Eastern half of the country dissolves leaving behind small pockets of light snow and some large snow depths. As the front fails to win, the easterly wind locked and trapped by the front is unleashed bringing impressive cold temperatures to all parts of the UK and widespread, heavy, convective snow showers and streamers all the way from Kent to Wick. Eastern and some central parts of England and Scotland should see some very impressive snowfalls and decent depths. In parts of Ireland and southern Wales there may be some impressive snowfalls from streamers and Western Scotland should experiences some snow showers from any streamers. In the eastern Highlands, temperatures of -15 to -25C are possible and in some eastern and northern towns and cities, temperatures of -10 to -20C are possible.
[/list]
[color=#ff0000]Not right but not wrong[/color][list]
[*]The following period of the 7th-14th of Febuary is expected to see the High Pressure over Scandinavia and the Easterly winds to continue. The beginning and ending of the period is likely to see the worst of the snow for much of the east coast and some more prolonged areas of snowfall spreading further inland into more Central and Western areas right up and down the UK. But essentially, the main aspect of the period is the temperatures during the middle with temperatures in Cities such as Aberdeen, Edinburgh and Glashow droping to below -15C and -10C being reached in cities further south including London. Snow showers won't be quite as profound, although there will still be some light snow showers in eastern coasts and filtering their way along the Channel, Thames Valley, Central Belt and Midlands. In the Highlands temperatures of -20C are more than likely.
[/list]
[color=#ff0000]Not right[/color][list]
[*]The period 14th-21st of Febuary should see the cold continuing during the early stages. However the high pressure over Scandanavia will begin to show signs of fading and this should result in another messy breakdown. The first few days may see some record breaking temperatures and snowfall should increase. However low pressure systems should be able to come near or cross the UK bringing the threat of very large battleground snowfalls in the West. However in the east, there could be asmuch as a 10C difference with an easterly influence and some snow showers. Eventually, each front should gradually creep further east across the UK with precipiation in the far west falling as rain in milder temperatures and very heavy snow falling for anywhere further east. In far eastern areas, the temperatures will be at their lowest and 10C lower than that of the rest of the UK. Once the Atlantic eventually wins, temperatures in the North and East may still be slightly below average and in the south and west it will be slightly milder.
[/list]
[color=#ff0000]Not right but not wrong[/color][list]
[*]The month should end under with a milder Atlantic influence with some very mild temperatures in the South West, however further North and East, and particulary Scotland it will feel, much, much cooler in cool-cold zonality and still further prospects of wintry weather.
[/list]
[color=#ff0000]Correct[/color]

AWT


CET Values:

December (4.5C), January (1.7C), February (1.6C) = Overall a below average winter.

That's my Final update for the winter forecast and the one that I'm most happy with.

A Winter's Tale

A Winter's Tale

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