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Weather guide Monday 17th to Sunday 23rd February 2014

[font=arial][size=3][b]Changeable with rain at times but drying out between times; mild to mid week then cooler and showers maybe wintry in places[/b][/size][/font] [font=arial][size=3]Another soaking for many of us last week, February is turning into an exceptionally wet month across West Wales and at the half way point an astounding 213mm here in Ceredigion, the near relentless rains difficult to comprehend even for this wet area! Wetness not extreme for the central Midlands but still in exc

TonyH

TonyH

 

Weather Models Experiment 2013 Results

Welcome to the weather model experiment of 2013, in 2011 the ECM won it and in 2012 the UKMO won it but what model performed the best through out this experiment? It took place in December 2013. These are the 9 models that took part in this experiment and some of them are new the NAVGEM, NASA and CMA which have never been tested before against the rest. GFS ECM UKMO JMA GME GEM NAVGEM NASA GEOS5 CMA So how does it work? I let each model do its 12z runs and I pick a random location

Zenarcher

Zenarcher

 

Weather guide Monday 10th to Sunday 16th February 2014

[font=arial][size=3][b]Headline: Continuing very disturbed, spells of rain or showers on most days, any drier interludes most likely Midlands; limited wintriness[/b][/size][/font] [font=arial][size=3]An exceptionally wet start to February for much of West Wales, already 129mm (over 5 inches) rainfall has fallen which is double what fell in the whole of Februaries 2012 and 2013 and is even at this early stage the wettest February since 2007 (158.4mm). Despite this flooding seems to have been re

TonyH

TonyH

 

7thFebruary,Missouri

-10oC and now getting fed up with this cold and snow Nice ice storm the other night,fortunately we missed the bad stuff. But in Arkansas they had a few power lines down and trucks cars stranded on the highways due to over a inch of falling freezing rain Our trees here turned like glass which is a sight I have never seen. Our next snow event. Number 4 will hit tonight. There as been no school all week due to the snow and ice . Four snow events so far not including Kansas or St Louis.... An

pat lightning timmer

pat lightning timmer

 

2nd February 2014,Missouri

Currently 0c and cloudy. Heavy rain/sleet through the night with temperature dropping fast. Today weather Warning's out for heavy snow through noon to Monday day time. Latest radar shows us on the edge of the sleet which is currently turning to snow through Arkansas. Looking forward to a snowy day....try to take video or pics later[attachment=205982:IMG_466843635184.jpeg] Update.. Very heavy snow here...I make it about under an inch per hr.

pat lightning timmer

pat lightning timmer

 

Weather guide Monday 3rd to Sunday 9th February 2014

[font=arial][size=3][b]Headline: Unsettled with heavy rain and strong winds at times, some drier, brighter interludes; continued flooding risk; temperatures around average[/b][/size][/font] [font=arial][size=3]A short- lived coldish snap last week, although here in West Wales it was only Thursday that was rather cold with highs of 3 to 5c. It stayed quite cold for a couple of days over the Midlands, and on Thursday many places here did not exceed 2c by day, and there was also a little sleet or

TonyH

TonyH

 

31th January 2014(Missouri, Bloomfield)

A lot warmer today,currently 3c and cloudy. Glad its warmer,currently had warnings out for freezing rain. Three trough are expected to hit the area,the first possible drizzle. The second could turn to freezing rain or snow and the third trough could be heavy snow. There is a lot of uncertainty at present and things could change to a non freezing rain or snow event. Currently snowing up at St Louis, but I think we are slightly to warm if it makes its way here later this evening.

pat lightning timmer

pat lightning timmer

 

30th January 2014(Mo)usa

So glad its warming up even though its in theory still cold,funny how you think -3 is warm. Been extremely cold at night down to -14. In the main beautiful sunny blue skies in the day. The sun is currently burning all the clouds away fast but we still have a cold wind from the N/W.[attachment=205644:P_20140130_155245.jpg]

pat lightning timmer

pat lightning timmer

 

Weather guide Monday 27th January to Sunday 2nd February 2014

[font=arial][size=3][b]Headline: Rather cold, very unsettled; spells of rain and wintry showers although significant lowland snow cover is not expected[/b][/size][/font] [font=arial][size=3]A generally mild and unsettled fortnight gone, although rather chilly at times in the past week. Rain and showers at times, although generally amounts not suspected to have caused widespread flooding, although parts of SW Wales did see an inch or two rain during Saturday 18th which may well have caused some

TonyH

TonyH

 

Weather guide Monday 13th to Sunday 19th January 2014

[font=arial][size=3][b]Headline: Unsettled with rain or showers at times; mild mid week then cooler and perhaps drier, some frost[/b][/size][/font] [font=arial][size=3]Another wet week gone but at least it became much drier from Thursday. Thunder and lightning occurred early in the week in the showers especially for Wales, here in the Lampeter area both Monday and Tuesday had overhead storms with some hail. Unusually January so far has witnessed 3 thunder days, for comparison during the whole

TonyH

TonyH

 

Weather guide Monday 6th to Sunday 12th January 2013

[font=arial][size=3][b]Headline: Drier than of late but still with rain at times; fairly mild but cooling[/b][/size][/font] [font=arial][size=3]Another very unsettled and often wet and windy week gone by with 88mm rain falling in the past 7 days here at Llanwnnen, 130mm at Capel Curig, Snowdonia, 70mm for Little Rissington in the Cotswolds and 40mm at Coventry, and of course there has been widespread flooding issues. The storm surge on Friday caused by strong long fetch SW winds, low atmospher

TonyH

TonyH

 

A wet start to 2014

Well what a soggy start to 2014! I measured 32mm of rain in our gauge for yesterday...the Hill won't be fit for walking today, far too mushy on the paths. It's been mild, though, at 8.4[sup]o[/sup]C. Still wondering whether neighbours fence panels will finally lift off this winter, they're closer to it every storm. [img]http://f1.nwstatic.co.uk/forum//public/style_emoticons/default/ph34r.png[/img]

Barbmac

Barbmac

 

Weather guide Monday 30th December 2013 to Sunday 5th January 2014

[font=arial][size=3][b]Unsettled and very windy at times with further rain or showers , brief drier interludes, a few overnight frosts.[/b][/size][/font] [font=arial][size=3]The unsettled and at times wet and windy weather continued to batter us last week, although at least there was a respite over the Festive period itself and again during this present weekend. No official Met Office sites reported a 'White Christmas' however some places did see wintry showers on the big day, including just a

TonyH

TonyH

 

Winter Forecast Recap/Update

With December nearly over (and with me having some spare time on my hands for once) I thought it would be a good time to assess my winter forecast so far and give my thoughts on where we're likely to head weatherwise in the New Year. This was my NH composite forecast for the general height pattern for both the troposphere and stratosphere for December, along with my own adjustments to the composite maps:[quote] [size=5][b]December[/b][/size] [url="http://f1.nwstatic.co.uk/forum/uploads/monthl

LomondSnowstorm

LomondSnowstorm

 

Weather guide Monday 23rd December 2013 to New Years Eve

[font=arial][size=3][b]Very unsettled with damaging gales and flooding problems likely at times; variable but often quite chilly temperatures, some frost[/b][/size][/font] [font=arial][size=3]Wet and windy last week, Llanwnnen had 90mm rain in the past 7 days - 35mm of this fell on Wednesday with localised flooding; rather wet for the Midlands too, Coventry having had 25mm. Temperatures very up and down some days like Monday were very mild, in fact in the early hours of Monday much of the Midl

TonyH

TonyH

 

Weather guide Monday 16th December to Christmas Day 2013

[font=arial][size=3] [b]Very disturbed with deep Atlantic lows bringing heavy rain and gales at times; variable temperatures but never especially cold[/b][/size][/font] [font=arial][size=3]A generally mild week gone, although the Midlands in particular saw some frost mid week, and on Wednesday the high was just 6c at Coventry due to an anticyclonic inversion which saw colder surface air trapped beneath mild upper air at cloud level. Then, some very mild air with most places remaining above 9c

TonyH

TonyH

 

AWT'S Winter Forecast 2013/2014

[b]DECEMBER...[/b]A mild-very mild month with long periods of south westerly winds. More unsettled in more northern and western areas with little sunshine and persistent rainfall. During the latter half of the month there may be a more progressive outlook with a trend of short cooler and showery spells - especially in northern and western areas - aswell as a risk of the odd gale. Temperatures 0.75 to 2.0C above average. CET 6.3C. Rainfall 85% of the average in southern and eastern areas, around

A Winter's Tale

A Winter's Tale

 

Weather guide Monday 9th to Sunday 15th December 2013

[font=arial][size=3] [b]Fairly dry and quite mild; turning unsettled and windier with some rain from Friday[/b][/size][/font] [font=arial][size=3]The rather dry winter weather continues, only 7mm in the past 17 days at Llanwnnen, only a couple of mm at Rugby, although we may be bringing back the rains to an extent by the end of the coming week. Temperatures were around the early December average for much of past week, extensive cloud cover prevented frost and fog generally, only Wednesday ni

TonyH

TonyH

 

The week the Arctic High took control

As a strong storm came through at the weekend it also introduced an arctic high with bitterly cold temperatures. This week we have not got above -25oC and night time has been around -32oC. Tonight the temperature has really taken a tumble and at 11:20pm tonight its currently -37oC. The record low here is -42oC set in Dec 2008. Will we break it? I guess we will know in 12 hours. What does it feel like? Imagine opening the freezer and that feeling of cold air for a second...that's every hour

Coopsy

Coopsy

 

Weather guide Monday 2nd to Sunday 8th December 2013

[font=arial][size=3][b]Headline: Dry with some frost and fog to mid week; cold snap likely Friday to Sunday with wintry showers in places[/b][/size][/font] [font=arial][size=3]November ended on a dry, quiet note, very little rain falling anywhere in the final week. After a rather cold start temperatures recovered to around the late November average from mid week and Saturday was sunny for most with parts of West Wales such as Milford Haven topping a rather mild 10c. Overall November 2013 was q

TonyH

TonyH

 

Weather guide Monday 25th November to Sunday 1st December 2013

[font=arial][size=3][b]Headline: Mainly dry, rather cloudy, some frost and fog; near average temperatures[/b][/size][/font] [font=arial][size=3]Rather a cold week gone with some frosty nights, especially here in Wales where Friday night saw a severe frost down to -7.3c (colder than any official UK station), and -5.5c at Tirabad, Powys. Frosts lighter for the Midlands and most of coastal Wales. Showery early in the week, a mix of hail, sleet, thunder and even snow in places, mainly but not excl

TonyH

TonyH

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