Jump to content
Holidays
Local
Radar
Snow?

Blogs

 

Weather guide Monday 7th to Sunday 13th July 2014

[font=Helvetica][b]Headline: Sunny spells and a few showers; wet in places Thursday; warm with thundery shower potential next weekend[/b][/font] [font=Helvetica][color=rgb(0,0,0)]June 2014 was a rather warm month with variable but generally below average rainfall, just a few spots in the Midlands being wetter than normal due to localised downpours[/color][color=rgb(0,0,0)] [/color][color=rgb(0,0,0)]towards the end of the month. Some monthly totals:[/color][/font] [font=Helvetica][color=rgb(0

TonyH

TonyH

 

FIFA World Cup 2014: Preview and Predictions - Quarter-finals

Now we are down to the last 8 in the 2014 FIFA World Cup - the business end where the best teams are looking to create history. And as it's been a marvellous World Cup so far, I would presume that we will see some classic quarter-final drama, exciting and memorable matches and moments as we watch the World Cup history being made. The last 8 has a nice variety. We have 3 from South America and 1 team from Central America and 4 european sides. We have the usual suspects in Brazil and Germany and n

A Winter's Tale

A Winter's Tale

 

Weather guide Monday 30th June to Sunday 6th July 2014

[color=rgb(0,0,0)][font=Helvetica][b]Headline: Mostly dry and warm with sunny spells, very warm even by Thursday/ Friday; unsettled and cooler weekend[/b][/font][/color] [color=rgb(0,0,0)][font=Helvetica]Plenty of rather warm, dry and bright weather last week, although it turned more unsettled during Thursday with the first real rain for a fortnight or so for many places. 23.4c Llanwnnen on Wednesday made it the warmest day so far this year. Other high readings include 24.7c Hereford, 24.1c Ch

TonyH

TonyH

 

FIFA World Cup 2014: Preview and Predictions - round of 16

After 136 goals in 48 matches, the group stage was arguably the greatest ever. Some big european teams have fallen, whilst 8 sides from the Americas and 2 from Africa have progressed. Other than Greece, the european teams have generally benefited from developing young footballers. The last includes a nice mix of teams from South America, Europe, Central and North America and Africa. Algeria and Greece have reached the last 16 for the first time, and there are sine other decent but other un fanci

A Winter's Tale

A Winter's Tale

 

FIFA World Cup 2014 Blog Part 2

[color=rgb(40,40,40)][font='Open Sans']23rd June:[/font][/color] [color=rgb(40,40,40)][font='Open Sans']The first day of the final round of group matches. The first set of matches was the completion of Group B. Spain and Australia were already out and Chile and Netherlands were already through to the last 16. The two games were deciders for who finished top and who finished bottom.[/font][/color] Netherlands vs Chile was an interesting game. Chile were good going forward and were causing som

A Winter's Tale

A Winter's Tale

 

July 2014 Forecast

[b]July 2014[/b] - Based on computer generated long range forecasts and the climate simulator that takes the current climate conditions and simulates ahead of time for a forecast prediction. [b]Rainfall[/b] Southern parts of Ireland and the South West of England are the two area's where above average rainfall can be expected. Elsewhere can expect average rainfall although there are some hints that the Midlands may see some spells of wet weather and the South West of Scotland some dry spells.

Zenarcher

Zenarcher

 

Glastonbury Festival 2014 25 to 29 June - Forecast No 16 (Final) Issued 25 June

So today the gates opened on Glastonbury, and we are finally here at the Final Blog for Glastonbury. Today looks a bit better than predicted for Glastonbury, with more in the way of sunny spells, than recently suggested. I'll now split the forecast into the next 48hrs, which is the range of the higher details models and then the remainder of the forecast. [b]Synoptic Summary[/b] As the main focus in now on the day to day detail, I was firstly summarise the Synoptic position. Low Pressure

J10

J10

 

Stormchase 2014 - Day trip to Wyoming

[u][b]Tue 24th June 2014[/b][/u] Our final day of Tour 4 began in Sterling Colorado. Whilst todays risk looked to be a repeat of yesterday in NE Colorado, as we approached the target area so the whole system broke apart leaving us with nothing more than a Particularly Drizzly Situation. To our North, across in Wyoming things were starting to look interesting. A short hop on the freeway past Cheyenne and out on route 85 NE and we started to see 2" hail along the road. A beautiful hailbow stre

HeadcornWx

HeadcornWx

 

Glastonbury Festival 2014 25 to 29 June - Forecast No 15 Issued 24 June

So the gates open tomorrow, and what does the last minute weather models show us. We pretty much know that tomorrow will be dry and bright, but the big question is, how much rain will the Low pressure bring to Glastonbury over the subsequent days. We have passed the point of overall ratings, so I will not be showing that any more in favour of daily summaries and forecasts. Moving very swiftly onto the daily forecasts. [b]Wednesday 25th June [/b] With so much agreement on the overall posi

J10

J10

 

Stormchase 2014 - Return to Colorado

[u][b]Mon 23rd June 2014[/b][/u] Today we left Nebraska crossing the state line into Colorado. SPC had a slight risk for the state as well as a 2% tornado risk which was briefly elevated to 5% and then dropped again. HRRR indicated development in the NW portion of the state so we headed west of Sterling near Jackson Lake State Park to watch and wait. After brief interest with the storms developing to the South of Denver, we returned and focused on the storm near the Wyoming state line which

HeadcornWx

HeadcornWx

 

Glastonbury Festival 2014 25 to 29 June - Forecast No 15 Issued 23 June

So all of a sudden it is two days to go before the gates open at Glastonbury 2014, do we finally have an idea of the weather for the festival. The general theme is sorted to an extent, a decent day Wednesday with the remnants the settled spell before getting worse Thursday/Friday, and possibly improving again over the weekend. However even the above summary give a large scope of variation for the detailed ground conditions at Glastonbury. [b]Previous Runs[/b] Forecast no 5 (08 June) - 6.0 Fo

J10

J10

 

Stormchase 2014 - Positioning Day - South Dakota to West Nebraska

[u][b]Sun 22nd June 2014[/b][/u] Given our far north location and the southerly risk area, we used today as a positioning day to head south towards the eastern Colorado state line ready for Tuesdays risk east of the Rockies. Heading south a developing cumulus field showed signs of development. As we neared North Platte the field became agitated and rapid convection was evident with tops soon reaching 40000ft+ We passed through some heavy rain on the I-80 West and stopped just west. The storm

HeadcornWx

HeadcornWx

 

Glastonbury Festival 2014 25 to 29 June - Forecast No 15 Issued 22 June

This is the latest blog for the Glastonbury festival. [b]Previous Runs[/b] Forecast no 5 (08 June) - 6.0 Forecast no 6 (11 June) - 5.5 Forecast no 7 (14 June) - 4.5 Forecast no 8 (15 June) - 5.0 Forecast no 9 (16 June) - 6.0 Forecast no 10 (17 June) - 5.0 Forecast no 11 (18 June) - 5.0 Forecast no 12 (19 June) - 5.5 Forecast no 13 (20 June) - 4.5 Forecast no 14 (21 June) - 6.0 with 0 = Dustbowl 10 = Mudbath [b]Wednesday 25th[/b] Decent agreement between all operational runs, tha

J10

J10

 

Weather guide Monday 23rd to Sunday 29th June 2014

[b]Headline: Mostly dry and rather warm with sunny spells; more unsettled with showers in places from Thursday/ Friday[/b] [color=rgb(0,0,0)][font=Helvetica]We saw some warm and reasonably sunny weather at times last week, although sometimes it was cloudier and cooler, especially for the Midlands early in the week. HIghest temperatures over the past week include 22.4c Trawsgoed on Tuesday, 24.3c Pembrey Sands, 22.8c Llanwnnen and 22.6c Coventry on Wednesday, then Hereford 23.7c, Church Lawford

TonyH

TonyH

 

Stormchase 2014 - Last South Dakota Chase

[u][b]Sat 21st June 2014[/b][/u] We began Saturday in Waterton South Dakota. SPC and HRRR were indicating a South Dakota Target today and with a boundary laying towards the North of the state this was prime territory for storm initiation later in the day. We headed to Redfield for Lunch. On leaving there and heading west the storm had started taking hold into the boundary layer and tops were were already climbing rapidly through nearly 60000ft into a classic supercell structure. As we appro

HeadcornWx

HeadcornWx

 

Glastonbury Festival 2014 25 to 29 June - Forecast No 14 Issued 21 June

This is the latest blog for the Glastonbury festival. Previous Runs Forecast no 5 (08 June) - 6.0 Forecast no 6 (11 June) - 5.5 Forecast no 7 (14 June) - 4.5 Forecast no 8 (15 June) - 5.0 Forecast no 9 (16 June) - 6.0 Forecast no 10 (17 June) - 5.0 Forecast no 11 (18 June) - 5.0 Forecast no 12 (19 June) - 5.5 Forecast no 13 (20 June) - 4.5 with 0 = Dust Bowl, 10 = Mudbath [b]Wednesday 25th[/b] Good Agreement between the GFS runs, UKMO 06Hz run and both runs that the High Pressure

J10

J10

 

Stormchase 2014 - Minnesota Supercell

[u][b]Fri 20th June 2014[/b][/u] It's Friday and SPC have todays Tornado risk firmly in Minnesota; and as Paul quite rightly quoted Land of 1000 lakes and a billion midges! Nestling up on the Canadian Border, Minnesota is a beautiful green state with lakes covering much of the North and East. Todays chase would start at Wahpeton, following the development of an LP Supercell which we'd already seen the predictions for on HRRR and then watched its developent as we drove North from the Dakotas.

HeadcornWx

HeadcornWx

 

Glastonbury Festival 2014 25 to 29 June - Forecast No 13 Issued 20 June

This is the latest blog for the Glastonbury festival. Previous Runs Forecast no 5 (08 June) - 6.0 Forecast no 6 (11 June) - 5.5 Forecast no 7 (14 June) - 4.5 Forecast no 8 (15 June) - 5.0 Forecast no 9 (16 June) - 6.0 Forecast no 10 (17 June) - 5.0 Forecast no 11 (18 June) - 5.0 Forecast no 12 (19 June) - 5.5 with 0 = Dust Bowl, 10 = Mudbath A slight change in the format, with an attempt to forecast by days of the festival as opposed to by model. [b]Wednesday 25th[/b] Decent Agr

J10

J10

 

Stormchase 2014 - Central South Dakota

[u][b]Thu 19th June 2014[/b][/u] Today was a waiting game. The risk further east was clearly a line event as depicted by HRRR so we remained in South Dakota hopeful for the SPC 'See Text' risk and HRRR development mid-state. We headed North then West towards Pierre. As we aproached the town of Bluff the storm started to develop rapidly on radar. Already it had dropped a couple of tornadoes and numberous funnels. Chasing it North East we witnessed numerous funnels but this was a cold outflow

HeadcornWx

HeadcornWx

 

Glastonbury Festival 2014 25 to 29 June - Forecast No 12 Issued 19 June

This is the 12th blog for the Glastonbury festival. Previous Runs Forecast no 5 (08 June) - 6.0 Forecast no 6 (11 June) - 5.5 Forecast no 7 (14 June) - 4.5 Forecast no 8 (15 June) - 5.0 Forecast no 9 (16 June) - 6.0 Forecast no 10 (17 June) - 5.0 Forecast no 11 (18 June) - 5.0 with 0 = Dust Bowl, 10 = Mudbath Generally looking mostly settled with High Pressure to the South West, and a ridge of High pressure over the rest of the UK on this Sunday. [attachment=216719:ECM 19 June to 22

J10

J10

 

Stormchase 2014 - South Dakota Tornadoes

[u][b]Wed 18th June 2014[/b][/u] We started today from Souix City, Iowa. Looking at the NOAA High Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) model, it indicated late afternoon supercell development in the south eastern portion of South Dakota so we based our target on this and monitored both this and the SPC throughout the day to adjust our focus. We headed initially North then west on the I-90 toward Mitchell. Adjusting our final target as SPC issued their Mesoscale Discussion and watching for rapid c

HeadcornWx

HeadcornWx

 

Glastonbury Festival 2014 25 to 29 June - Forecast No 11 Issued 18 June

This is the 11th blog for the Glastonbury festival. [b]Previous Runs[/b] Forecast no 5 (08 June) - 6.0 Forecast no 6 (11 June) - 5.5 Forecast no 7 (14 June) - 4.5 Forecast no 8 (15 June) - 5.0 Forecast no 9 (16 June) - 6.0 Forecast no 10 (17 June) - 5.0 with 0 = Dust Bowl, 10 = Mudbath [attachment=216675:Trendline to 17 June.JPG] After the ominous charts on Monday 16th, a lot better charts yesterday, resulting in a better rating, will today continue the trend. [b]GFS Operational r

J10

J10

 

Stormchase 2014 - The Night of the Twisters

[u][b]Tue 17th June 2014[/b][/u] After yesterday I didn't think we could possibly equal such sights. How wrong could I be. We left our hotel in Columbus with two targets in mind, one to the NW in SW North Dakota and one in Central Iowa. Based on the High Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) Model data from the SPC we eventually chose to go with the eastern option. As the day progressed and we entered Iowa with Temps of near 90F and Dewpoints aroundf 73F, the model was indicating a shift back to S

HeadcornWx

HeadcornWx

×
×
  • Create New...