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(Preliminary) Winter Forecast 2014/15 - Return to Cold?

[size=3]Before I get started on this I must at least explain last winter's forecasting failure on my part – I did indeed get the mild, wet start to winter right but the second half was so epically wrong that it more than offsets the relative successes of my previous few attempts. In my defence, the analogue charts weren’t that far off for late winter and in fact the cold trough over the US was correctly placed, but on this side of the Atlantic heights were never quite high enough west of Sca

LomondSnowstorm

LomondSnowstorm

 

Weather guide Monday 3rd to Sunday 9th November 2014

[font=arial][size=3][b]Headline: Cooler and showery with drier, brighter intervals; wet windy Thursday[/b] [b]Last weeks highlights[/b] Very mild much of last week, on Tuesday many places reached over 15c, with parts of the Midlands over 18c, warmest of all Church Lawford and nearby Coventry both at 19.9c, and some 7c above normal! Then a resurgence of really mild conditions from Thursday onward saw some remarkable warmth for the very end of October..with record temperatures by day and night

TonyH

TonyH

 

Weather guide Monday 27th October to Sunday 2nd November 2014

[color=rgb(0,0,0)][font=Helvetica] [b]Headline: Often mild, changeable with some rain at times[/b][/font][/color] [color=rgb(0,0,0)][font=Helvetica] [b]Last weeks highlights[/b][/font][/color] [color=rgb(0,0,0)][font=Helvetica] A rather uneventful week, although ex- Gonzalo did produce some strong and locally damaging winds on Tuesday. Nor did temperatures deviate greatly from the norm, most days were mild, but with a couple of cooler ones in the mix. Rainfall totals were not excessive last

TonyH

TonyH

 

Weather guide Monday 20th to Sunday 26th October 2014

[color=rgb(0,0,0)][font=Helvetica][size=4][b]Headline: Unsettled with further rain at times; often mild but a cool windy blip Tuesday[/b][/size][/font][/color] [color=rgb(0,0,0)][font=Helvetica][size=4][b]Last weeks highlights: [/b][/size][/font][/color] [color=rgb(0,0,0)][font=Helvetica][size=4]Last week began cool and in places wet, on Monday most places only reached 11 to 13c. Wet across the Midlands and South Wales, but much of West Wales (WW) narrowly missed this soaking. Parts of the M

TonyH

TonyH

 

Weather guide Monday 13th to Sunday 19th October 2014

[color=rgb(0,0,0)][font=Helvetica][size=4][b]Headline: Unsettled with rain at times, very mild but more windy from Thursday[/b][/size][/font][/color] [color=rgb(0,0,0)][font=Helvetica][size=4][b]Last weeks highlights:[/b][/size][/font][/color] [color=rgb(0,0,0)][font=Helvetica][size=4]Last week was unsettled with near average temperatures, West Wales (WW) in particular had a wet week. Heavy rain and strong winds last Sunday night into Monday gave 25.9mm at Llanwnnen and this was the wettest

TonyH

TonyH

 

Weather guide Monday 6th to Sunday 12th October 2014

[color=rgb(0,0,0)][font=Helvetica][b]Headline: Unsettled, windy at times with showers or longer spells of rain; becoming mild[/b][/font][/color] [color=rgb(0,0,0)][font=Helvetica][b]Past week/ month highlights:[/b][/font][/color] [color=rgb(0,0,0)][font=Helvetica]Warmth last Sunday, Pershore 22.9c, Coleshill 22.8c, with most parts just above 20c, and then Coleshill the warmest spot in the UK Monday 21.5c max.[/font][/color] [color=rgb(0,0,0)][font=Helvetica]Last Monday saw some showery rain

TonyH

TonyH

 

Weather guide Monday 29th September to Sunday 5th October 2014

[color=rgb(0,0,0)][font=Helvetica][b]Headline: Mostly dry and quite warm (particularly Midlands) with some sunny spells; more unsettled next weekend[/b][/font][/color] [color=rgb(0,0,0)][font=Helvetica][b]Last weeks highlights[/b][/font][/color] [color=rgb(0,0,0)][font=Helvetica]Although another mostly dry week gone, all of us did see a little rain midweek, the light fall on Tuesday 23rd ending a 22 day drought here at Llanwnnen. Rather a lot of cloud at times too last week, for West Wales i

TonyH

TonyH

 

October 2014 Forecast

[b]October 2014[/b] - Based on computer generated long range forecasts and the climate simulator that takes the current climate conditions and simulates ahead of time for a forecast prediction. [b]Rainfall[/b] - Northern Ireland and Western Scotland are the two area's that are very likely to see more than average rainfall during October. Meanwhile the rest of the UK looks to see average rainfall amounts. [attachment=225563:octoberrain.png] [b]Temperature[/b] - All parts of the UK and Irela

Zenarcher

Zenarcher

 

Weather guide Monday 22nd to Sunday 28th September 2014

[color=rgb(0,0,0)][font=Helvetica][b]Headline: Mostly dry and quite warm with sunny spells, especially for South Wales and the Midlands, cloudier perhaps a little rain affecting NW Wales at times[/b][/font][/color] [color=rgb(0,0,0)][font=Helvetica][b]Highlights of last week:[/b][/font][/color] [color=rgb(0,0,0)][font=Helvetica]A generally dry and warm week gone. West Wales was favoured for sunshine and warmth last week due to the easterly winds, with cloudier weather affecting the Midlands

TonyH

TonyH

 

Weather guide Monday 15th to Sunday 21st September 2014

[color=rgb(0,0,0)][font=Helvetica] [b]Headline: Mostly dry and warm but breezy with sunny spells; risk of showers Thursday to Saturday[/b][/font][/color] [color=rgb(0,0,0)][font=Helvetica] [b]Highlights of the past week:[/b][/font][/color] [color=rgb(0,0,0)][font=Helvetica] The rather warm, very dry September continues, almost half way and some places yet to receive any measurable rain and a with a virtually bone dry week gone everywhere bar dew deposits in automatic rain gauges! The Midlan

TonyH

TonyH

 

Weather guide Monday 8th to Sunday 14th September 2014

[color=rgb(0,0,0)][font=Helvetica][b]Headline: Dry and quite warm, sunniest for West Wales, cloudier at times Midlands; some cool nights[/b][/font][/color] [color=rgb(0,0,0)][font=Helvetica][b]Last weeks highlights:[/b][/font][/color] [color=rgb(0,0,0)][font=Helvetica]At last some warmer conditions for the start of September which may have been better appreciated during the second half of August! Last Monday night was a chilly one, Llanwnnen registering lower than any of the official UK weat

TonyH

TonyH

 

Weather guide Tuesday 2nd to Monday 8th September 2014

[color=rgb(0,0,0)][font=Helvetica][size=4][b]Headline: Mostly dry and warm with sunny spells, especially in the west; possibly less settled next weekend for Wales in particular[/b][/size][/font][/color] [color=rgb(0,0,0)][font=Helvetica][size=4]A wet Bank Holiday Monday especially for the Midlands - however much of Cardigan Bay escaped with just a little rain and drizzle, wettest places that day were Capel Curig 29.4mm, Little Rissington 27mm, Long Lawford 24.8mm and nearby Church Lawford 22.2

TonyH

TonyH

 

September 2014 Forecast

[b]September 2014[/b][color=rgb(40,40,40)][font=helvetica][font=helvetica] - Based on computer generated long range forecasts and the climate simulator that takes the current climate conditions and simulates ahead of time for a forecast prediction.[/font][/font][/color] [b]Rainfall[/b][color=rgb(40,40,40)][font=helvetica] - Most places in the UK and Ireland will be average but Southern Ireland, most of Scotland and England apart from the Northern parts will see below average rainfall. Scotland

Zenarcher

Zenarcher

 

Weather guide Monday 25th to Sunday 31st August 2014

[color=rgb(0,0,0)][font=Helvetica][b][font=arial]Headline: Unsettled, rain or showers at times (especially Monday); near average temperatures but some cool weather still[/font][/b][/font][/color] [color=rgb(0,0,0)][font=Helvetica][font=arial]A notable and unusually cool spell of weather over the past week or so, 'Autumnal' being a most apt adjective. [/font]Here at Llanwnnen the highest reading since a week Saturday a poor 17.2c (Sunday 17th), while the average maxima since Wednesday 13th Augu

TonyH

TonyH

 

Weather guide Monday 18th August to August Bank Holiday Monday 2014

[color=rgb(0,0,0)][font=Helvetica][color=rgb(28,40,55)][font=arial][b]Headline: Cool, sunny intervals and hit and miss showers; drying weekend but perhaps wet Bank Holiday Monday[/b][/font][/color][/font][/color] [color=rgb(0,0,0)][font=Helvetica][color=rgb(28,40,55)][font=arial]The past week was a cool and showery one, as always in these showery set ups, some places saw torrential downpours and thunder while others missed the worst. [/font][/color]Downpours and thunderstorms were quite widesp

TonyH

TonyH

 

Weather guide Monday 11th to Sunday 17th August 2014

[color=rgb(0,0,0)][font=Helvetica][b]Headline: Often cool and showery, some sunny spells, windy at first; perhaps mostly dry and becoming warmer Friday to Saturday[/b][/font][/color] [color=rgb(0,0,0)][font=Helvetica]The worst of the rain and showers held off last week, so most places ending up with a reasonably dry, bright and warm week. Some exceptions as always, on Monday and Tuesday some places caught downpours with thunder but these few and far between, then a wet Tuesday night, Valley on

TonyH

TonyH

 

I know, I know, another Blog entry....

Ahem, I believe it has now been 5 years between Blog entries, Daniel is almost 6 and Jacob, oh yes, we had another boy, is 3 and a half. I am not sure if 5 years is a record between posts but I gather most of my followers have either passed on to pastures new, have passed into the blue yonder or have dropped me as a friends for being the most un-active and boring NW member. We had a storm today..... That's all I have to add. Thanks for listening, see you in 5.

Dazza

Dazza

 

I am back.

Well its been a long netweather since a made a post or blog I think the last post I did was back in february And that was back then when all those storms hitting the uk. So then where have i been? Well I decided to go on the sidelines and a long time and even left netweather for a few week's without even saying goodbye. So eventually I decided to come back and do this blog and because there some interesting weather may be coming up soon. I did not leave because winter was over or because

Skullzrulerz

Skullzrulerz

 

Weather guide Monday 4th to Sunday 10th August 2014

[color=rgb(0,0,0)][font=Helvetica][b]Headline: Changeable but often quite warm; potentially very wet late Thursday/ Friday[/b][/font][/color] [color=rgb(0,0,0)][font=Helvetica]Reasonably warm for much of last week, the Midlands being most consistently warm, some places here getting above 23c each day up to Friday. Mostly dry still to the end of July, although parts of the Midlands, especially Warwickshire, caught thunderstorms on Thursday afternoon (31st July). Church Lawford near Rugby had 15

TonyH

TonyH

 

Weather guide Monday 28th July to Sunday 3rd August 2014

[color=rgb(0,0,0)][font=Helvetica][b]Headline: Fairly dry and quite warm with sunny spells; unsettled next weekend[/b][/font][/color] [color=rgb(0,0,0)][font=Helvetica]Mostly dry and very warm then hot last week. The highest temperature readings of the year occurring between Wednesday and Saturday which you could call a 'heatwave' with highest station readings being 27.9c at Valley, Anglesey and 27.3c MIlford Haven, Pembrokeshire on Wednesday, 29.5c at Llanelli (personal weather station PWS),

TonyH

TonyH

 

August 2014 Forecast

[b]August 2014[/b][color=rgb(40,40,40)][font=helvetica] - Based on computer generated long range forecasts and the climate simulator that takes the current climate conditions and simulates ahead of time for a forecast prediction.[/font][/color] [b]Rainfall[/b] - Western Scotland and the South of Ireland are the two main area's that are likely to see more rainfall than average, the Midlands in England though have a slight risk of seeing above average as well. The rest of the country is expected

Zenarcher

Zenarcher

 

Weather guide Monday 21st to Sunday 27th July 2014

[color=rgb(0,0,0)][font=Helvetica][b]Headline: Very warm and mostly dry with sunny spells; increasing chance of thundery showers from mid week.[/b][/font][/color] [color=rgb(0,0,0)][font=Helvetica]Again, as has been the case with much of this rather fine Summer to date, there was plenty of reasonably dry weather during the past 7 days, Llanwnnen one of the drier areas having just 8mm rain in total last week. The much heralded 'Spanish Plume' arrived with vivid lightning displays and thundersto

TonyH

TonyH

 

Weather guide Monday 14th to Sunday 20th July 2014

[size=4][font=arial][b][b]Headline: Mostly dry with sunny spells, becoming very warm but local thunderstorms; cooler unsettled weekend[/b] [/b][/font][/size] [size=4][font=arial][color=rgb(0,0,0)]Although there were some showers last week, overall it was another reasonably dry week. Tuesday saw fairly widespread showers, but even then some areas missed them completely, not so the Aldridge area of the West Midlands where there torrential thunderstorms caused quite serious but highly localised f

TonyH

TonyH

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