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Glastonbury Festival 2015 24 to 28 June - Forecast No 4

The first midweek update concentrating on the shorter term models, This forecast will contain information from 2 sources. [b]1. Prognostic Charts at 6-10 day and 8-14 day [from NOAA][/b] [b]6-10 day [/b] [attachment=252588:610day.03 from 7 June.gif] [attachment=252606:610day.03 from 8 June.gif] [attachment=252589:610day.03 from 9 June.gif] [attachment=252590:610day.03 from 10 June.gif] A definite trend for Pressure to build over the UK and especially towards the south west keeping condit

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Glastonbury Festival 2015 24 to 28 June - Forecast No 3

This is the 3rd blog for the 2015 Glastonbury festival [24 to 28 June], the chase continues. This weeks forecast is a mix of the long term term models used previously (mainly CFS) and shorter term models as we move as these can now start to predict the run up to the festival period. This weeks forecast methods 1. CFS Monthly Charts updated weekly [From Net Weather Extra] 2. CFS Daily Charts updated daily [From Net Weather Extra] 3. CFS Monthly Charts updated weekly [From Meteociel.com] -

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Glastonbury Festival 2015 24 to 28 June - Forecast No 2

This is the second blog for the 2015 Glastonbury festival [24 to 28 June], the roller coaster continues. At this stage we are still using long term models, but from next week the beginning of the festival period is coming into long term GFS range, so this blog will reflect that. However, for this week we are using the same models as last week. 1. CFS Monthly Charts updated weekly [From Net Weather Extra] 2. CFS Daily Charts updated daily [From Net Weather Extra] 3. CFS Monthly Charts upd

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Glastonbury Festival 2015 24 to 28 June - Forecast No 1

This is the first blog for the 2015 Glastonbury festival [24 to 28 June], welcome to the roller coaster. At this stage were are still using long term models, so should be taken with a cellar full of salt, Nevertheless here we go. [b]Sources of Information[/b] 1. CFS Monthly Charts updated weekly [From Net Weather Extra] 2. CFS Daily Charts updated daily [From Net Weather Extra] 3. CFS Monthly Charts updated weekly [From Meteociel.com] One thing you may be thinking why use July forecasts

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Alps Weather Forecast 3 April 2015

[size=4][font=arial][b]Introduction [/b][/font][/size] [size=4][font=arial]It is always strange at this time of year, on the one hand it seems another long winter on the other hand it has flown by. From the outside, it seems there was a fairer distribution of snow this year than other years. Quite a lot of snow has fallen from late December onwards, but there have been notable mild weather at times, which has left some lower slopes in particular with snow shortages at times. The other notabl

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Alps Weather Forecast 27 March 2015

[size=4][font=arial]I must start by expressing the shock of the terrible events of the plane crash over the Alps earlier this week. The whole event is a terrible tragedy and our thoughts go out to all those effected. [b]Summary[/b] Moving on to the far less important matter of snow in the Alps, it has been a rather mixed week, with further snow at higher slopes, and much milder conditions lower down, In many ways classic early spring conditions. These rather mixed conditions are set to conti

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Winter 2014 - 2015 From Space

Here are some pictures of what the weather looked from space during the winter. Of course most of the time the UK was covered in cloud but here are the rare few moments when it was clear enough to see. [b]18th March 2015[/b] - Snow over the very top of the Scottish Highland mountains can be seen. [attachment=247548:18thmarch.png] [b]9th March 2015[/b] - Storm passing over the NW of Scotland bringing gusts over 90mph. [attachment=247544:9thmarch.png] [b]17th February 2015[/b] - Most of

Zenarcher

Zenarcher

 

Alps Weather Forecast 20 March 2015

[b]Summary[/b] There was some snow at the start of the week, although not quite as much as forecast. However, towards the end of week things turned a far bit milder, As we move into late March, no surprise to see spring conditions really starting to take hold. The best conditions as ever higher up the slopes [b]Synoptics [/b] At this time of year in the Alps, you can have spring, almost summer like conditions one day, only to be taken back to winter with a vengeance the following day, and

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Alps Weather Forecast 13 March 2015

[size=3][font=arial][b]Summary[/b][/font][/size] [size=3][font=arial]As we move into March things have warmed up somewhat, with spring snow conditions across the Alps, however good snow remains at altitude. Of course this mean that risk of avalanches remains. [/font][/size] [size=3][font=arial][b]Synoptics [/b][/font][/size] [size=3][font=arial]The weekend starts with High Pressure centred over Scandinavia and North East Europe. [/font][/size] [size=3][font=arial]Winds are Northern Easter

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Alps Weather Forecast 6 March 2015

[size=4][font=arial][b]Summary[/b][/font] Conditions have not been that bad over the Alps over the past week, with some milder weather over the weekend, however it has turned colder over the past couple of days with some further heavy snow in places. [font=arial][b]Synoptics[/b][/font] Currently there is High Pressure centered just to the north of the Alps. with a mild Tropical Maritime airmass on SW winds edging in for NW Europe and this turning things milder for the western alps, but stil

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Alps Weather Forecast 28 February 2015

[size=4][font=arial][b]Summary[/b][/font][/size] There has been further snow this week, and conditions are generally very good with abundant powder. However there are concerns over avalanches and these cannot be overlooked. The start of the season was pretty poor, which meant any icy base formed than than hard packed snow as a result the snow above this is not bound allowing snow to slide over the ice base, hence a very high risk of avalanches. Apologies for my poor explanation but hopefully

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Alps Weather Forecast 20 February 2015

[b]Summary[/b] There was some good snowfall over parts of the Alps last weekend with some parts of Northern Italy seeing 1m of snow. However it was not quite as extensive as forecast with parts of Switzerland, not doing as well as expected. Generally though there are good conditions over the Alps albeit with the recent sunny and warm weather in the afternoon, giving some afternoon spring snow conditions. [b]Synoptics[/b] [size=3][font=arial]Currently over the Alps there are South Westerly

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Alps Weather Forecast 13 February 2015

[b][font=arial]Summary[/font][/b] Some great conditions to go skiing in recent days, with warm sunshine, this has had an impact on slopes especially lower down, and fresh powder becoming difficult to find. [b]Synoptics[/b] [font=arial]The weekend starts with Low pressure over the UK and this feeding in SW winds for the Alps on its eastward edge. Over the weekend, the low Pressure moving closer to the Alps, making things increasingly unsettled. 850Hpa temps generally just below freezing.[/fon

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Alps Weather Forecast 8 February 2015

[size=3][b]Summary[/b] The recent weeks have seen a continuous improvement across the Alps with good snow levels in most places. [b]Synoptics [/b] The current pattern is High Pressure over the UK, with very cold East to North Easterly winds over the Alps. the pattern similar for Monday, and turning slightly less cold. [attachment=244445:Alps 8 Feb.JPG] [attachment=244446:Alps 8 Feb + 24.JPG] The High Pressure edges further South East from Tuesday, with the cold feed from the East bring

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February 2015 Forecast

Made using the CFS long range model along with the Climate Simulator. [b]Rainfall[/b] - Ireland, Wales, South West and North of England, Western and Southern Scotland will see rainfall above average. Ireland especially looks to see the most. [attachment=243391:febrain.png] [b]Temperature[/b] - Most of the UK and Ireland look average however there are signs of some mixed mild and cold weather about. Overall Southern England and parts of Wales may end up slightly more milder than average.

Zenarcher

Zenarcher

 

Alps Weather Forecast 30 January 2015

[size=4][font=arial][b]Summary[/b][/font][/size] The last 24-48hours has seen some very good snowfall for the Alps, more especially towards the NW, this is set to continue overnight into Saturday. The weekend starts on a cold unsettled them with winds from North Westerly direction. This is associated with low pressure off the south coast of Scandinavia. This rather unsettled and cold theme continues through the weekend. [attachment=242964:Alps 30 Jan.JPG] [attachment=242965:Alps 30 Jan +

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Weather guide Monday 26th January to Sunday 1st February 2015

[color=rgb(0,0,0)][font=Helvetica] [b]Headline: Mostly dry and quite mild Monday/ Tuesday; cold and often windy with wintry showers and some longer spells of sleet or snow Wednesday onwards[/b] [b]Last weeks highlights[/b] Quite a cold week just gone, the coldest of what has been quite a mild Winter to date, however only a few areas saw much in the way of snow: hard frost across Wales last Sunday night lowest readings -7.6c Llanwnnen, -7.5c Sennybridge and -5.6c Trawsgoed followed by a lo

TonyH

TonyH

 

Alps Weather Forecast 23 January 2015

[size=4][font=arial][b]Summary[/b][/font][/size] Last week was a much better week than recently, the forecasted snow arrived in abundance last weekend, and largely cold conditions have remained ever since. [size=4][font=arial][b]Synoptic Pattern[/b][/font][/size] [font=arial]Currently the Alps has cold winds from the East to North East squeezed between the High to North West and a low pressure system over Italy. [attachment=240930:Alps 23 Jan.JPG] [attachment=240929:ALps 23 Jan +24.JPG]

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Weather guide Monday 19th to Sunday 25th January 2015

[color=rgb(0,0,0)][font=Helvetica][b]Headline: Mostly cold and frosty with a few wintry showers but often dry; more unsettled with snow risk Tuesday to Thursday[/b][/font][/color] [color=rgb(0,0,0)][font=Helvetica][b]Last weeks highlights[/b] A mild start to last week - it reached 12c in places on Monday which was a wet day especially for West Wales (WW). It turned colder on Tuesday with some areas getting snow, parts of WW saw quite a bit, several inches on high ground, even Llanwnnen colle

TonyH

TonyH

 

Weather Models Experiment 2014 Results

[b]Introduction[/b] Hi all, since 2011 I've done a yearly weather model experiment to find the best performing one. The previous winners were, 2011 ECM 2012 UKMO 2013 GEM This time the experiment took part during December 2014. We will be testing the nine weather models listed below, European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts = ECM Japan Meteorological Agency = JMA Met Office = UKMO Canadian Weather Service = GEM Global Forecast System = GFS Global Forecast System Parall

Zenarcher

Zenarcher

 

Alps Weather Forecast 16 January 2015

[size=4][font=arial][b]Summary[/b][/font][/size] It was forecast last week that a mixed week was in prospect for the Alps, and so it proved. The weekend was mild as excepted, however it turned out milder than I anticipated due to the foehn effect with parts of Austria hitting close to 22c. It did turn colder threrafer with some snow with some decent conditions in places. [size=4][font=arial][b]Synoptic Pattern[/b][/font][/size] Not the first time this winter there is a pattern change underw

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Weather guide Monday 12th to Sunday 18th January 2015

[color=rgb(0,0,0)][font=Helvetica][b]Headline: Unsettled and often rather cold: wintry showers and longer spells of rain and (chiefly) hill snow; damaging gales late Wednesday into[/b][b] Thursday[/b][/font][/color] [color=rgb(0,0,0)][font=Helvetica][b]Last weeks highlights[/b] Fog persisted much of last Sunday over parts of the Midlands and by teatime Church Lawford had only managed 1.8c, in contrast Pembrokeshire was quite mild with Milford Haven at 9.2c maximum. After the quiet start plen

TonyH

TonyH

 

Alps Weather Forecast 9 January 2015

[size=4][font=arial][b]Summary[/b] The past week for the Alps have been one for the skiers to enjoy the sunshine, but at the expense of long term snow especially on lower slopes, where temps have been above freezing and snow depths have been effected. A suggested last week, areas further east have faired better with temperatures being much colder, with some snow at the start of this working week. [b]Synoptic Pattern[/b] I have changed the charts a little this week, removing the 850HPa char

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