Child Of Nadine Sets Sights On The UK
More often than not Thursday morning is a time where we can speak with a fair amount of certainty about the weather across the UK during the weekend, but this week it's a little more tricky.
The reason for this is that tropical storm Nadine is down to the southwest of the British Isles currently and is looking increasingly likely to spawn a new low pressure system and send it towards the UK.
What this will mean that after a mainly dry, bright start to the weekend on Saturday, it'll be replaced by wet and windy weather from the southwest late Saturday onward. Although 'child of Nadine' isn't going to be a tropical storm or anything like that, it's likely to have a good amount of energy within it so there is the potential for some really heavy rain within the system - 50mm plus possible in some places and winds gusting 50-70mph plus.
There is some real uncertainty over all of this though with the models struggling to a) decide how likely this is, and b) nail down the most likely track and intensity of the system should it develop.
This is definitely one to watch though with some severe weather likely should it occur, and at this point the percentage chances are increasing with a 75% likelihood of quite a nasty spell of weather.
At closer range it's that much quieter but we still have some heavy and persistent rain around during the next 24-48 hours - chiefly across southern Scotland and northern England where a band will tend to get pretty stuck, just slowly moving south into the midlands during Friday before dying out.
To the north of that band across central and northern Scotland it's drier and brighter but chilly with a few showers about. Further south there will be some showers into Wales and the Midlands but it's chiefly dry and warmer here today with highs peaking into the high teens.
Don't forget to tune in later for the latest weekly forecast from Michael Fish
when he'll be hoping to fill in more details on the weekend's weather..
20th September 2012 09:37 Updated: 20th September 2012 09:37