Another Unsettled Week, But...
For many today has bought something of a respite from the 'summer' weather we've been having but unfortunately it's back to the same old, same old as we move into the new working week.
Tomorrow starts the week on a complicated weather note with low pressure pushing several fronts and troughs across the UK, but the outcome is simple enough - it's going to rain. The heaviest, most persistent rain will be across England and Wales with Scotland seeing showers - these heavier and more widespread in the east.
The persistent rain will sweep west to east relatively speedily during the day which will at least keep the rainfall totals lower than they may have been, although blustery showers will follow in behind. Wettest regions are likely to be across the high ground in the west of England and Wales where 25-40mm is likely, elsewhere typically 10-25mm. Obviously with sodden ground and high river levels this still has the potential to cause some issues though.
It'll be windy too tomorrow, particularly in southern counties where gusts of 40-50mph are possibly in exposed spots. This in turn will make it feel cool with temperatures just into the teens here, perhaps a touch warmer in northeast England and eastern Scotland and eastern Ireland where 20c or so is on the cards.
Tuesday will see that warmth spread to many other regions - so the high teens or low twenties will be the target. There will of course be some rain about though with well scattered showers countrywide making way for some more persistent rain pushing into central and northern England, which will become heavy late on in the day and into Wednesday.
Sharp showers and thunderstorms will also develop in other areas on Wednesday, although the far south of the country may well stay dry under the influence of a ridge of high pressure. We close out the week with sunshine and showers continuing for virtually the whole country, that then continues into the weekend although it's around this time we think we'll start to see some changes taking place.
It's still some way off at this point so the detail may well change, but we are currently expecting high pressure to make it's move toward the UK from the south during the weekend, settling things down as it does so, and that process is likely to continue into next week - it may not be entirely plain sailing but the trend is there at least...
15th July 2012 20:29 Updated: 15th July 2012 20:29