More to come...
Following on from the torrential rain that left western areas of Wales facing powerful flash floods and and multiple emergency rescues you'd be forgiven for thinking we'd skipped summer entirely and arrived in the middle of the Autumn storm period. Unfortunately, while the expected rainfall for the next day or two pales next to the 150mm that fell in 24 hours around Ceredigion it will still bring some significant totals to areas in the south and south west, and move slowly into the Midlands where the highest cumulative rainfall is expected over the next 36 hours.
There is a risk of flooding should the expected slow moving trough follow the track where the latest high resolution model run forecasts, with in excess of 30mm possible in the Midlands over the next 24 hours. The south eastern corner of England will also see the heavier rain clear very slowly after it arrives later this afternoon, again delivering some quite significant local totals, up to 25mm is possible. Western Wales looks like avoiding the worst of this particular system, though some areas may see heavier rain for a time today. Scotland and North/North East England are under another slow moving band of rain which extends from the western coast of Scotland, through central areas to cover much of northern England, with the exception of more westerly areas, and again this slow moving rain has the potential to deliver some high amounts in places before it fades out during this evening.
It is worth being aware that these areas of heavier rain will bring some embedded thundery downpours, and these will create the highest risk of localised flooding. So please take care if out and about, and watch for some treacherous driving conditions and possible floods.
10th June 2012 15:47 Updated: 10th June 2012 15:47