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Long range weather forecast

This long range forecast for the UK is updated once a month. Using the latest long range data from the NCEP and then run through custom software here at Netweather it is on the cutting edge of technology for long range weather forecasting. It is important to bear in mind that forecasting at this range is still in its infancy so can effectively be considered experimental.

Summer 2016

Updated 30th June 2016
A look ahead to the remainder of summer - into the summer holidays.

Take a look at the monthly forecast for the forecast over the next 4 weeks.

A brief look into July, as the month ahead forecast will cover this in more detail and is updated weekly. But based on the current model predictions, after an unsettled end to June, there should be some drier, warmer spells of weather into next month, with pressure forecast to be slightly higher than average for the southern half of the British Isles. The anomaly is quite a weak one though - so no dramatic or immediate changes likely.

Temperatures are currently forecast to be close to average, with rainfall drier than average in some western regions, closer to average elsewhere.

July Air Pressure
Long range forecast
July Rainfall
July Rainfall
July Temperature
July Temperature

Into August, and the tail end of the holidays north of the Border, whilst the holidays in England and Wales are just getting into their stride. Currently the pressure pattern is showing a weak anomaly with higher than average pressure out into the Atlantic and over the southern two-thirds of the British Isles. Like July though, this isn't a clear signal.

Rainfall shows a near average mix, with parts of northern Scotland and southwest England, Wales and Southern Ireland forecast to be slightly drier than or close to average. Other parts are near to average with a lower likelihood of being drier than the norm.

Temperatures, similar to July are expected to be near to the seasonal average. So all in all, the current outlook is for a pretty traditional period of summer weather - some warmer, drier periods but some wetter, cooler ones, with no indications at this stage of long-lasting dramatic swings from the norm.

August Air Pressure
August air pressure
August Rainfall
August Rainfall
August Temperature
August Temperature

Next long range forecast will be issued mid-late July - end of summer and early Autumn update

Subscribers to Netweather Extra can access daily and weekly detailed long range forecast updates and charts.

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The long range weather forecast displayed on this page is based on data from the Climate Forecast System from the NCEP (USA), run out to 9 months in advance and are updated once a month. The raw data is sent daily to Netweather, our systems then average and further process that data to produce the forecast you see below. The average figures you see on the forecast are not the standard 1971 to 2000 figures you may often see, instead they are rolling averages, currently from the period 1981-2010.

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